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Absolute Growth in Commercial Sector Emissions

Figure 6 summarizes absolute growth in carbon emissions by end-use from 1990 to 2010 for the commercial sectors. The striking result from the graph is that miscellaneous electricity is projected to contribute about two-thirds of the net growth in carbon emissions in the cmmercial sector from 1990-2010. This result follows from the relatively large base year emissions for this end-use combined with high annual growth rates.

While growth in many end-uses has been reduced or eliminated by efficiency standards, utility programs, and other government policies, growth in miscellaneous electricity use has traditionally been ignored. This end-use is often treated as an afterthought in even the most detailed bottom-up analyses, in large part because of its complexity. Because it is the category containing previously unknown uses for electricity, understanding it requires constant attention to market data and a deep appreciation for the subtleties of end-use analysis.

 Last Updated On: 8/19/04