1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 1. Total Energy Supply and Disposition Summary | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply, Disposition, and Prices |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Production | +| | | Crude Oil & Lease Condensate..|15.57 15.70 15.22 14.54 13.77 13.08 12.57 12.10 11.73 11.33 11.01 10.74 10.58 10.45 10.36 10.25 10.20 10.32 10.41 10.48 10.80| | Natural Gas Plant Liquids.....| 2.17 2.30 2.36 2.37 2.37 2.39 2.44 2.45 2.47 2.49 2.54 2.58 2.61 2.65 2.68 2.70 2.70 2.73 2.73 2.70 2.70| | Dry Natural Gas 1/............|18.49 18.35 18.19 18.38 18.34 18.51 18.79 18.93 19.12 19.27 19.63 19.99 20.23 20.54 20.65 20.87 20.93 21.14 21.11 20.88 20.89| | Coal..........................|22.46 21.59 21.51 21.49 21.99 22.52 22.74 22.86 23.09 23.24 23.38 23.52 23.75 23.98 24.27 24.28 24.44 24.77 25.39 25.96 26.47| | Nuclear Power.................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other 2/.....| 6.20 6.21 6.28 6.47 6.56 6.64 6.76 6.90 7.01 7.14 7.29 7.39 7.50 7.61 7.72 7.82 7.97 8.13 8.33 8.50 8.69| | Total.....................|71.08 70.74 70.21 69.90 69.91 70.10 70.25 70.25 70.50 70.67 71.06 71.46 71.99 72.53 72.99 73.23 73.53 74.23 74.84 75.21 76.12| | | +| | | Imports | +| | | Crude Oil 3/..................|12.80 12.55 13.24 14.42 15.41 16.02 16.88 17.31 17.74 18.13 18.73 18.85 19.15 19.44 19.56 19.78 20.03 19.99 20.03 19.87 19.62| | Petroleum Products 4/.........| 3.40 2.87 2.71 4.94 5.51 5.82 5.87 6.29 6.32 6.75 6.90 7.29 7.66 7.91 8.40 8.55 8.70 8.97 9.32 9.57 9.81| | Natural Gas 5/................| 1.54 1.78 1.90 2.19 2.59 2.87 2.96 3.05 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.22 3.25 3.28 3.43 3.59 3.79 3.86 3.94 4.05 4.16| | Other Imports 6/..............| 0.73 0.78 0.96 1.07 1.02 1.13 1.30 1.31 1.33 1.32 1.49 1.44 1.35 1.42 1.42 1.47 1.50 1.52 1.56 1.58 1.61| | Total.....................|18.46 17.99 18.82 22.62 24.53 25.84 27.01 27.95 28.48 29.34 30.31 30.80 31.40 32.04 32.81 33.39 34.01 34.34 34.85 35.07 35.21| | | +| | | Exports | +| | | Petroleum.....................| 1.82 2.13 2.02 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12| | Natural Gas...................| 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30| | Coal..........................| 2.70 2.80 2.66 2.14 2.50 2.90 2.96 3.03 3.12 3.21 3.31 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.54 3.59 3.63 3.67 3.71 3.75| | Total.....................| 4.61 5.06 4.84 4.42 4.79 5.21 5.29 5.37 5.47 5.56 5.68 5.72 5.78 5.82 5.87 5.92 5.97 6.02 6.08 6.12 6.17| | | +| | | Discrepancy 7/...................|-0.64 1.08 1.45 -0.08 -0.11 -0.01 -0.24 -0.12 0.10 0.11 0.05 0.14 0.08 0.15 0.04 0.10 0.14 0.16 0.03 0.13 0.07| | | +| | | Consumption | +| | | Petroleum Products 8/.........|33.55 33.50 33.65 34.95 35.59 35.99 36.44 36.90 37.27 37.68 38.23 38.57 39.01 39.50 39.92 40.29 40.69 41.09 41.44 41.69 42.00| | Natural Gas...................|19.31 19.61 20.00 20.48 20.83 21.28 21.64 21.85 22.08 22.27 22.67 23.06 23.32 23.66 23.93 24.31 24.56 24.84 24.88 24.76 24.89| | Coal..........................|19.01 18.77 18.99 19.44 19.61 19.78 19.88 20.00 20.11 20.22 20.29 20.37 20.48 20.75 20.99 20.95 21.06 21.36 21.96 22.47 22.88| | Nuclear Power.................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other 9/.....| 6.23 6.30 6.37 6.49 6.62 6.72 6.82 6.95 7.05 7.19 7.34 7.45 7.57 7.69 7.81 7.94 8.10 8.28 8.49 8.68 8.89| | Total.......................|84.29 84.76 85.64 88.02 89.53 90.72 91.73 92.71 93.61 94.56 95.73 96.69 97.69 98.89 100.0 100.8 101.7 102.7 103.6 104.3 105.2| | | +| | | Net Imports - Petroleum..........|14.37 13.30 13.93 17.24 18.80 19.73 20.63 21.48 21.94 22.77 23.51 24.03 24.69 25.23 25.84 26.22 26.61 26.84 27.23 27.32 27.32| | | +| | | Prices (1992 dollars per unit) | +| | | World Oil Price ($ per bbl) 10/.|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | Gas Wellhead Price($ per Mcf)11/| 1.85 1.69 1.83 1.94 2.03 2.11 2.19 2.29 2.35 2.39 2.42 2.47 2.55 2.65 2.75 2.89 3.01 3.17 3.30 3.35 3.47| | Coal Minemouth Price ($ per ton)|23.22 22.04 21.39 21.75 22.06 23.46 24.50 24.41 24.17 25.05 25.29 26.04 26.58 26.79 27.15 27.00 28.50 28.98 28.95 30.27 30.87| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 2. Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Source | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Residential | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87| | Kerosene......................| 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33| | Natural Gas...................| 4.52 4.70 4.82 4.98 5.02 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.99 5.00 5.00 4.99 4.98 4.98 4.97 4.98 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.99| | Coal..........................| 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05| | Renewable Energy 1/...........| 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66| | Electricity...................| 3.15 3.22 3.20 3.25 3.27 3.29 3.31 3.34 3.36 3.37 3.39 3.42 3.43 3.45 3.47 3.49 3.52 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.63| | Total.......................| 9.61 9.89 10.06 10.31 10.36 10.36 10.37 10.38 10.40 10.40 10.41 10.43 10.43 10.44 10.45 10.46 10.49 10.51 10.53 10.56 10.60| | | +| | | Commercial | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49| | Kerosene......................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01| | Motor Gasoline 2/.............| 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11| | Residual Fuel.................| 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22| | Natural Gas...................| 2.70 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.86 2.87 2.88 2.89 2.90 2.92 2.93 2.94 2.95 2.96 2.98 2.99 3.01| | Other 3/......................| 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15| | Renewable Energy 4/...........| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Electricity...................| 2.86 2.91 2.96 3.00 3.03 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.26 3.30 3.34 3.38 3.41 3.42 3.44 3.47 3.48 3.50 3.49 3.51| | Total.......................| 6.57 6.68 6.75 6.82 6.87 6.94 7.00 7.06 7.13 7.16 7.22 7.27 7.32 7.36 7.38 7.41 7.45 7.47 7.50 7.51 7.55| | | +| | | Industrial 5/ | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 1.18 1.14 1.19 1.21 1.25 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.53 1.55 1.56| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 1.61 1.75 1.71 1.73 1.77 1.81 1.84 1.88 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.03 2.06 2.12 2.17 2.20 2.23 2.28 2.32 2.36 2.40| | Motor Gasoline................| 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.15 1.18 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.35 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.59| | Residual Fuel.................| 0.42 0.34 0.37 0.50 0.54 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45| | Other Petroleum 6/............| 3.82 3.52 3.47 3.99 4.06 4.17 4.30 4.32 4.32 4.32 4.38 4.37 4.38 4.40 4.42 4.43 4.48 4.52 4.53 4.56 4.55| | Natural Gas 7/................| 8.52 8.66 8.71 8.76 8.90 9.05 9.17 9.19 9.29 9.43 9.61 9.75 9.84 10.00 10.11 10.20 10.28 10.39 10.48 10.57 10.69| | Metallurgical Coal............| 1.04 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.88 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.74 0.72 0.71 0.69 0.67 0.65 0.63 0.62 0.60 0.59 0.57| | Steam Coal....................| 1.71 1.69 1.60 1.70 1.73 1.78 1.79 1.82 1.85 1.95 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.04 2.08 2.11 2.13 2.17 2.20 2.21 2.24| | Net Coal Coke Imports.........| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Renewable Energy..............| 1.96 1.93 1.99 2.06 2.13 2.18 2.23 2.28 2.31 2.35 2.40 2.44 2.48 2.53 2.58 2.62 2.66 2.72 2.76 2.80 2.84| | Electricity...................| 3.23 3.23 3.27 3.39 3.50 3.55 3.58 3.65 3.70 3.77 3.84 3.90 3.96 4.05 4.13 4.18 4.24 4.32 4.38 4.44 4.50| | Total.......................|24.78 24.48 24.57 25.60 26.16 26.56 26.95 27.21 27.45 27.88 28.27 28.58 28.90 29.34 29.74 30.02 30.34 30.74 31.07 31.36 31.68| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 2. Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Source (Continued) | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 3.83 4.03 4.15 4.29 4.44 4.53 4.58 4.64 4.69 4.77 4.87 4.95 5.03 5.14 5.23 5.32 5.42 5.54 5.64 5.71 5.82| | Jet Fuel 8/...................| 3.13 3.18 3.23 3.27 3.33 3.35 3.40 3.48 3.56 3.63 3.72 3.79 3.87 3.94 4.01 4.08 4.16 4.24 4.31 4.37 4.44| | Motor Gasoline 2/.............|13.58 13.55 13.71 13.98 14.17 14.37 14.46 14.59 14.72 14.86 15.03 15.15 15.26 15.36 15.42 15.50 15.57 15.61 15.66 15.70 15.76| | Residual Fuel.................| 1.03 1.04 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.17 1.20 1.23 1.26 1.29 1.32 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.46 1.49 1.51 1.55 1.58 1.61 1.64| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20| | Other Petroleum 9/............| 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24| | Pipeline Fuel Natural Gas.....| 0.68 0.62 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73| | Compressed Natural Gas........| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.35 0.37| | Renewables (ethanol) 10/......| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06| | Liquid Hydrogen...............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Methanol 11/..................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06| | Electricity...................| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19| | Total.......................|22.56 22.73 23.14 23.62 24.08 24.45 24.72 25.06 25.38 25.74 26.16 26.49 26.85 27.23 27.55 27.91 28.26 28.61 28.92 29.18 29.50| | | +| | | Electric Utilities 12/ | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11| | Residual Fuel.................| 1.23 1.16 0.90 0.95 0.92 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.85 0.81| | Natural Gas...................| 2.88 2.87 3.01 3.27 3.40 3.68 3.89 4.05 4.14 4.18 4.36 4.57 4.72 4.85 4.98 5.24 5.36 5.48 5.39 5.14 5.10| | Steam Coal 13/................|16.10 16.02 16.31 16.70 16.86 16.99 17.12 17.23 17.33 17.36 17.49 17.55 17.64 17.88 18.10 18.05 18.17 18.43 19.02 19.54 19.93| | Nuclear Power.................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other 14/....| 3.64 3.73 3.73 3.77 3.81 3.86 3.91 3.98 4.05 4.14 4.23 4.29 4.36 4.42 4.48 4.55 4.66 4.77 4.92 5.06 5.21| | Total.......................|30.07 30.39 30.62 31.37 31.92 32.41 32.79 33.25 33.63 33.86 34.30 34.66 35.06 35.54 35.97 36.24 36.54 36.87 37.24 37.39 37.74| | | +| | | Primary Energy Consumption | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 6.36 6.55 6.75 6.97 7.17 7.28 7.35 7.43 7.49 7.59 7.72 7.83 7.94 8.09 8.22 8.31 8.43 8.57 8.68 8.75 8.86| | Kerosene......................| 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07| | Jet Fuel......................| 3.13 3.18 3.23 3.27 3.33 3.35 3.40 3.48 3.56 3.63 3.72 3.79 3.87 3.94 4.01 4.08 4.16 4.24 4.31 4.37 4.44| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 2.09 2.24 2.20 2.22 2.26 2.30 2.33 2.38 2.41 2.45 2.49 2.53 2.57 2.63 2.69 2.74 2.79 2.85 2.90 2.95 3.00| | Motor Gasoline................|13.87 13.85 14.01 14.29 14.49 14.69 14.78 14.92 15.05 15.20 15.37 15.49 15.61 15.71 15.77 15.86 15.93 15.98 16.03 16.08 16.14| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.15 1.18 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.35 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.59| | Residual Fuel.................| 2.91 2.77 2.58 2.79 2.83 2.72 2.76 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.94 2.94 2.99 3.02 3.07 3.12 3.12 3.13 3.15 3.11 3.11| | Other Petroleum 15/...........| 4.02 3.71 3.66 4.19 4.25 4.37 4.51 4.52 4.53 4.53 4.59 4.58 4.59 4.62 4.64 4.65 4.71 4.75 4.76 4.80 4.79| | Natural Gas...................|19.31 19.61 20.00 20.48 20.83 21.28 21.64 21.85 22.08 22.27 22.67 23.06 23.32 23.66 23.93 24.31 24.56 24.84 24.88 24.76 24.89| | Metallurgical Coal............| 1.04 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.88 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.74 0.72 0.71 0.69 0.67 0.65 0.63 0.62 0.60 0.59 0.57| | Steam Coal....................|17.96 17.86 18.06 18.54 18.73 18.92 19.05 19.19 19.33 19.45 19.54 19.64 19.78 20.06 20.32 20.29 20.43 20.74 21.36 21.89 22.31| | Net Coal Coke Imports.........| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Nuclear Power.................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other 16/....| 6.22 6.29 6.36 6.49 6.61 6.71 6.81 6.93 7.04 7.17 7.32 7.44 7.55 7.67 7.79 7.92 8.08 8.26 8.47 8.66 8.87| | Total.......................|84.29 84.76 85.64 88.02 89.53 90.72 91.73 92.71 93.61 94.56 95.73 96.69 97.69 98.89 100.0 100.8 101.7 102.7 103.6 104.3 105.2| | | +| | | Elect. Consump. (all sectors)...| 9.30 9.42 9.49 9.70 9.87 9.99 10.11 10.25 10.37 10.48 10.62 10.74 10.87 11.01 11.13 11.25 11.37 11.50 11.62 11.71 11.84| | | +| | | Industrial Electricity | +| | | Gross Consumption.............| 3.59 3.58 3.63 3.77 3.89 3.94 3.98 4.05 4.11 4.18 4.26 4.33 4.40 4.49 4.58 4.64 4.70 4.78 4.86 4.92 4.99| | Self-generation - Own Use.....| 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.49| | Purchased Electricity.........| 3.23 3.23 3.27 3.39 3.50 3.55 3.58 3.65 3.70 3.77 3.84 3.90 3.96 4.05 4.13 4.18 4.24 4.32 4.38 4.44 4.50| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 3. Energy Prices by End-Use Sector and Source | | (1992 Dollars per Million Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Residential.....................|13.09 12.72 12.29 12.43 12.50 12.73 12.97 13.12 13.25 13.42 13.60 13.82 14.02 14.16 14.38 14.61 14.81 15.15 15.46 15.73 15.92| | Primary Energy................| 6.67 6.40 6.38 6.64 6.70 6.83 6.97 7.09 7.19 7.25 7.32 7.41 7.55 7.65 7.78 7.94 8.04 8.23 8.41 8.51 8.63| | Petroleum Products..........| 9.27 8.65 7.69 7.93 7.79 7.83 7.92 8.02 8.21 8.34 8.51 8.73 8.90 9.09 9.27 9.40 9.55 9.71 9.86 10.02 10.14| | Distillate Fuel...........| 8.19 7.57 6.68 7.05 6.87 6.91 6.98 7.08 7.24 7.36 7.51 7.71 7.88 8.04 8.22 8.34 8.43 8.57 8.70 8.84 8.94| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas...|11.70 11.15 10.05 10.16 10.14 10.21 10.32 10.44 10.73 10.88 11.13 11.41 11.62 11.89 12.12 12.30 12.60 12.84 13.04 13.28 13.49| | Natural Gas.................| 6.01 5.82 6.06 6.34 6.45 6.61 6.76 6.90 6.97 7.01 7.05 7.12 7.24 7.32 7.44 7.62 7.71 7.90 8.10 8.18 8.30| | Electricity...................|24.98 24.64 23.77 23.85 23.95 24.24 24.57 24.68 24.80 25.07 25.39 25.74 25.96 26.12 26.42 26.66 26.96 27.44 27.90 28.35 28.58| | | +| | | Commercial......................|12.75 12.41 12.38 12.54 12.58 12.76 12.91 13.04 13.18 13.28 13.45 13.64 13.80 13.97 14.05 14.15 14.32 14.48 14.71 14.80 14.90| | Primary Energy................| 5.21 4.90 4.97 5.19 5.25 5.40 5.54 5.66 5.76 5.82 5.89 5.98 6.12 6.22 6.35 6.50 6.59 6.78 6.96 7.04 7.16| | Petroleum Products..........| 6.13 5.43 5.03 5.09 5.02 5.10 5.23 5.33 5.50 5.61 5.77 5.97 6.13 6.31 6.49 6.59 6.71 6.88 7.02 7.13 7.24| | Distillate Fuel...........| 5.99 5.26 4.76 4.81 4.62 4.65 4.72 4.81 4.96 5.08 5.22 5.42 5.58 5.74 5.91 6.02 6.12 6.26 6.39 6.53 6.63| | Residual Fuel.............| 3.66 2.79 2.62 2.89 2.85 2.99 3.11 3.22 3.37 3.41 3.56 3.69 3.84 4.03 4.14 4.23 4.34 4.52 4.67 4.62 4.72| | Natural Gas.................| 5.01 4.81 5.04 5.33 5.43 5.59 5.74 5.88 5.95 5.99 6.04 6.10 6.22 6.30 6.42 6.60 6.68 6.87 7.07 7.15 7.27| | Electricity...................|22.50 22.10 21.86 21.82 21.80 21.90 21.93 21.96 22.05 22.18 22.38 22.59 22.70 22.90 22.91 22.90 23.12 23.23 23.49 23.64 23.72| | | +| | | Industrial......................| 5.73 5.42 5.22 5.18 5.22 5.32 5.42 5.52 5.63 5.73 5.86 6.01 6.13 6.28 6.41 6.53 6.64 6.78 6.92 7.05 7.20| | Primary Energy................| 4.06 3.72 3.47 3.46 3.48 3.60 3.72 3.82 3.94 4.03 4.16 4.30 4.43 4.57 4.71 4.84 4.95 5.09 5.22 5.35 5.45| | Petroleum Products..........| 5.35 4.85 4.42 4.14 4.12 4.25 4.40 4.51 4.71 4.87 5.06 5.29 5.47 5.69 5.88 6.03 6.16 6.34 6.49 6.67 6.80| | Distillate Fuel...........| 6.02 5.18 4.88 4.75 4.57 4.60 4.68 4.79 4.92 5.06 5.20 5.40 5.55 5.72 5.90 6.00 6.11 6.26 6.39 6.53 6.65| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas...| 5.84 5.74 4.95 5.40 5.39 5.39 5.58 5.70 6.01 6.15 6.41 6.71 6.93 7.20 7.42 7.61 7.83 8.06 8.24 8.49 8.67| | Residual Fuel.............| 3.30 2.70 2.54 2.81 2.79 2.95 3.06 3.17 3.30 3.40 3.54 3.70 3.85 4.03 4.18 4.28 4.38 4.54 4.68 4.71 4.80| | Natural Gas 1/..............| 3.46 3.20 3.07 3.29 3.35 3.46 3.56 3.66 3.74 3.79 3.85 3.93 4.03 4.13 4.24 4.37 4.47 4.61 4.75 4.83 4.93| | Metallurgical Coal..........| 1.87 1.84 1.80 1.79 1.85 2.02 2.09 2.06 2.04 2.08 2.08 2.14 2.17 2.20 2.23 2.25 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.22 2.20| | Steam Coal..................| 1.64 1.61 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.66 1.64 1.65 1.71 1.70 1.74 1.73 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.92 1.91| | Electricity...................|15.22 14.95 14.87 14.82 14.80 14.84 14.82 14.82 14.84 14.92 15.03 15.15 15.19 15.30 15.31 15.32 15.42 15.50 15.62 15.75 16.11| | | +| | | Transportation..................| 8.92 8.23 7.87 7.52 7.89 8.06 8.39 8.48 8.67 8.79 8.98 9.19 9.32 9.49 9.70 9.80 9.88 10.05 10.20 10.35 10.42| | Primary Energy................| 8.90 8.22 7.85 7.50 7.87 8.04 8.37 8.46 8.65 8.77 8.96 9.16 9.30 9.46 9.68 9.77 9.85 10.02 10.16 10.32 10.38| | Petroleum Products..........| 8.90 8.22 7.85 7.50 7.87 8.04 8.37 8.46 8.64 8.76 8.95 9.16 9.30 9.46 9.67 9.77 9.84 10.02 10.16 10.31 10.37| | Distillate Fuel 2/........| 9.08 8.37 8.02 7.69 8.62 8.61 8.76 8.82 9.00 9.10 9.28 9.47 9.65 9.84 10.03 10.19 10.28 10.47 10.64 10.74 10.87| | Jet Fuel 3/...............| 6.08 4.99 4.52 4.24 4.23 4.30 4.76 4.92 5.08 5.21 5.38 5.57 5.74 5.93 6.08 6.20 6.30 6.48 6.65 6.80 6.91| | Motor Gasoline 4/.........|10.00 9.40 9.09 8.64 8.98 9.23 9.62 9.73 9.94 10.08 10.30 10.53 10.66 10.83 11.09 11.17 11.24 11.43 11.57 11.76 11.79| | Residual Fuel.............| 3.19 2.92 2.14 2.62 2.53 2.63 2.72 2.85 2.96 3.09 3.23 3.37 3.51 3.64 3.82 3.90 4.03 4.16 4.28 4.41 4.52| | Natural Gas 5/..............| 4.12 4.17 5.13 6.03 6.89 7.86 8.97 9.07 9.28 9.40 9.61 9.83 9.96 10.11 10.36 10.45 10.52 10.71 10.86 11.04 11.08| | Electricity...................|15.03 14.90 14.86 14.73 14.82 14.90 14.98 15.04 15.11 15.21 15.33 15.40 15.43 15.46 15.48 15.49 15.51 15.55 15.61 15.69 15.78| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 3. Energy Prices by End-Use Sector and Source (Continued) | | (1992 Dollars per Million Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Total End-Use Energy............| 8.85 8.42 8.12 7.98 8.14 8.29 8.50 8.60 8.74 8.85 9.01 9.19 9.33 9.47 9.64 9.77 9.88 10.07 10.24 10.40 10.52| | Primary Energy................| 8.52 8.07 7.80 7.64 7.82 7.96 8.16 8.26 8.41 8.51 8.67 8.85 8.98 9.12 9.28 9.40 9.50 9.67 9.82 9.97 10.07| | Electricity...................|20.77 20.47 20.05 20.01 19.98 20.12 20.23 20.25 20.31 20.45 20.63 20.83 20.93 21.04 21.11 21.16 21.34 21.52 21.76 21.98 22.19| | | +| | | Electric Utilities | +| | | Fossil Fuel Average...........| 1.80 1.68 1.62 1.69 1.70 1.77 1.83 1.86 1.87 1.92 1.96 2.04 2.09 2.13 2.17 2.21 2.28 2.34 2.38 2.41 2.45| | Petroleum Products..........| 3.54 2.68 2.56 2.85 2.84 2.98 3.08 3.20 3.34 3.42 3.58 3.79 3.94 4.15 4.32 4.39 4.49 4.68 4.82 4.84 4.94| | Distillate Fuel...........| 5.37 4.78 4.52 4.43 4.25 4.27 4.31 4.41 4.56 4.68 4.84 5.03 5.19 5.37 5.56 5.67 5.76 5.90 6.07 6.21 6.31| | Residual Fuel.............| 3.50 2.63 2.51 2.78 2.76 2.90 3.02 3.12 3.26 3.33 3.48 3.67 3.82 3.99 4.13 4.22 4.33 4.51 4.64 4.65 4.75| | Natural Gas.................| 2.43 2.26 2.19 2.44 2.48 2.57 2.66 2.70 2.79 2.84 2.92 3.04 3.16 3.25 3.36 3.51 3.60 3.77 3.91 3.97 4.08| | Steam Coal..................| 1.56 1.50 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.53 1.57 1.58 1.57 1.61 1.63 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.70 1.76 1.79 1.81 1.88 1.92| | | +| | | Average Price to All Users 6/ | +| | | Petroleum Products............| 7.83 7.23 6.88 6.56 6.80 6.95 7.21 7.30 7.49 7.62 7.81 8.03 8.18 8.35 8.55 8.66 8.76 8.94 9.08 9.24 9.33| | Distillate Fuel 2/..........| 8.14 7.46 7.04 6.87 7.38 7.39 7.51 7.59 7.75 7.87 8.04 8.23 8.41 8.59 8.77 8.93 9.03 9.22 9.38 9.50 9.64| | Jet Fuel....................| 6.08 4.99 4.52 4.24 4.23 4.30 4.76 4.92 5.08 5.21 5.38 5.57 5.74 5.93 6.08 6.20 6.30 6.48 6.65 6.80 6.91| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.....| 7.05 6.83 6.02 6.42 6.40 6.40 6.57 6.68 6.99 7.13 7.37 7.64 7.86 8.13 8.35 8.56 8.82 9.06 9.25 9.50 9.69| | Motor Gasoline 4/...........|10.00 9.40 9.09 8.64 8.98 9.23 9.62 9.73 9.94 10.08 10.30 10.53 10.66 10.83 11.09 11.17 11.24 11.43 11.57 11.76 11.79| | Residual Fuel...............| 3.37 2.76 2.37 2.73 2.68 2.80 2.90 3.02 3.14 3.24 3.38 3.54 3.68 3.83 3.99 4.08 4.19 4.34 4.47 4.53 4.64| | Natural Gas...................| 4.19 3.99 4.02 4.27 4.33 4.43 4.53 4.62 4.69 4.74 4.77 4.84 4.94 5.01 5.12 5.26 5.34 5.51 5.68 5.78 5.89| | Coal..........................| 1.57 1.52 1.47 1.49 1.50 1.54 1.59 1.59 1.58 1.63 1.64 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.73 1.71 1.77 1.80 1.82 1.89 1.92| | Electricity...................|20.77 20.47 20.05 20.01 19.98 20.12 20.23 20.25 20.31 20.45 20.63 20.83 20.93 21.04 21.11 21.16 21.34 21.52 21.76 21.98 22.19| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 4. Electricity Supply, Disposition, and Prices | | (Billion Kilowatthours, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply, Disposition, and Prices |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Electric Utilities | +| | | Generation by Fuel Type | +| | | Coal..........................| 1560 1551 1577 1613 1626 1637 1646 1655 1665 1672 1687 1694 1702 1725 1745 1741 1749 1766 1813 1855 1886| | Petroleum.....................| 117 111 80 84 83 77 78 82 85 84 85 84 86 89 91 90 88 85 84 78 74| | Natural Gas...................| 264 264 254 278 286 303 320 330 327 326 335 353 363 375 378 392 390 400 391 380 373| | Nuclear Power.................| 577 613 618 620 640 648 647 653 660 670 671 673 681 681 680 680 679 664 639 623 612| | Pumped Storage/Other 1/.......| -2 -4 -9 -9 -9 -10 -10 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11| | Renewable Sources 2/..........| 292 289 300 300 301 302 303 304 304 305 305 306 307 307 308 309 310 313 317 321 326| | Total.......................| 2808 2825 2820 2886 2927 2957 2985 3012 3031 3046 3072 3100 3128 3166 3191 3201 3204 3218 3235 3245 3260| | | +| | | Nonutilities (excluding cogen.) 3/| +| | | Generation by Fuel Type | +| | | Coal..........................| 1 1 2 2 3 4 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 14 24 33 44 54| | Petroleum/Other 4/............| 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0| | Natural Gas...................| 9 14 21 19 23 31 34 42 56 64 72 76 82 86 99 119 141 150 151 141 144| | Renewable Sources 2/..........| 29 33 34 37 38 40 42 47 53 61 69 74 79 84 89 95 103 110 120 129 139| | Total.......................| 39 49 57 58 65 77 85 99 119 134 151 160 171 180 198 224 258 285 305 315 338| | | +| | | Cogeneration 5/ | +| | | Sales to Utilities ...........| 77 90 86 81 83 83 84 84 85 85 86 87 87 88 89 89 90 90 91 91 92| | Generation for Own Use .......| 101 109 105 111 114 115 117 118 120 122 124 126 127 130 132 134 135 137 139 141 143| | | +| | | Net Imports.....................| 2 22 28 31 31 31 30 30 30 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 29 29 29 30 30| | | +| | | Electricity Sales by Sector | +| | | Residential.....................| 924 942 939 952 958 964 971 978 983 989 995 1001 1007 1012 1017 1024 1031 1039 1046 1055 1065| | Commercial......................| 839 854 866 880 889 905 921 934 948 954 967 977 989 999 1002 1009 1016 1020 1026 1024 1030| | Industrial......................| 946 947 959 993 1025 1039 1050 1070 1084 1104 1126 1143 1161 1186 1209 1226 1243 1265 1284 1300 1318| | Transportation..................| 17 17 17 18 19 19 20 22 23 24 25 26 28 32 35 39 43 46 50 53 56| | Total.........................| 2726 2760 2782 2843 2891 2928 2962 3004 3039 3071 3112 3148 3185 3228 3263 3298 3332 3371 3406 3433 3469| | | +| | | End-Use Prices (1992 cents/kwh) 6/| +| | | Residential.....................| 8.5 8.4 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.7 9.8| | Commercial......................| 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1| | Industrial......................| 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5| | Transportation..................| 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4| | All Sectors Average...........| 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6| | | +| | | Price Components(1992 cents/kwh)6/| +| | | Capital Component...............| 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7| | Fuel Component..................| 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7| | O&M Component...................| 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6| | Wholesale Power Cost............| 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6| | Total.........................| 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 5. Electricity Generating Capability | | (Thousand Megawatts) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Summer Capability 1/ |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Electric Utilities | +| | | Capability | +| | | Coal Steam....................|299.5 298.4 298.7 298.2 298.1 296.8 297.0 295.5 295.5 296.3 297.2 297.1 297.9 297.9 298.6 299.2 299.2 300.2 305.1 310.9 317.1| | Other Fossil Steam 2/.........|143.9 141.9 142.5 140.5 137.2 135.7 134.3 133.4 132.9 131.6 129.7 128.6 127.4 126.7 125.2 123.5 122.5 121.9 121.4 120.8 120.4| | Combined Cycle................| 7.2 7.3 7.8 9.4 10.2 11.5 12.4 13.6 15.5 16.5 17.6 20.9 23.3 24.9 25.8 28.4 29.5 32.8 33.2 35.0 35.0| | Combustion Turbine/Diesel.....| 45.6 47.2 47.9 48.9 50.3 53.1 55.2 57.5 59.6 61.9 64.4 66.2 67.9 69.2 70.0 70.4 71.5 72.7 73.4 73.6 73.9| | Nuclear Power.................| 99.6 99.6 99.0 99.0 100.3 100.3 100.3 101.4 101.4 102.6 102.6 102.6 103.8 103.8 103.8 103.8 103.0 100.4 95.9 94.2 90.7| | Pumped Storage/Other 3/.......| 17.6 18.7 19.1 19.1 19.1 20.0 20.1 20.1 20.1 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2| | Renewable Sources 4/..........| 76.0 76.0 76.2 76.2 76.5 76.6 76.9 77.1 77.3 77.4 77.5 77.6 77.7 77.8 77.9 78.1 78.5 79.3 80.6 81.8 83.4| | Total.......................|689.4 689.0 691.2 691.2 691.7 693.9 696.3 698.6 702.3 706.4 709.2 713.2 718.1 720.4 721.5 723.5 724.4 727.4 729.8 736.4 740.7| | | +| | | Cumulative Planned Additions 5/ | +| | | Coal Steam....................| 0.00 0.79 1.29 1.29 1.85 2.24 3.56 3.56 4.44 6.27 8.30 8.72 9.89 10.55 12.20 13.35 13.95 13.95 15.51 16.00 16.25| | Other Fossil Steam 2/.........| 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.98 1.26 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.64| | Combined Cycle................| 0.00 0.11 0.67 2.23 3.13 4.40 4.53 5.04 6.95 8.04 9.14 11.67 13.31 13.92 14.15 14.30 14.49 14.58 14.99 14.99 14.99| | Combustion Turbine/Diesel.....| 0.00 1.70 2.50 3.46 4.90 7.33 9.61 11.72 14.00 16.24 18.84 20.79 23.00 23.49 23.99 24.18 24.30 24.30 24.55 24.55 24.55| | Nuclear Power.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 2.32 2.32 2.32 3.49 3.49 4.70 4.70 4.70 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91 5.91| | Pumped Storage/Other 3/.......| 0.00 1.06 1.41 1.41 1.45 2.32 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56| | Renewable Sources 4/..........| 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.35 0.51 0.66 0.85 1.00 1.06 1.11 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14| | Total.......................| 0.00 3.68 7.10 10.83 15.13 20.25 24.30 28.52 33.94 40.46 46.20 51.21 57.45 59.21 61.60 63.08 63.99 64.08 66.29 66.78 67.03| | | +| | | Cumulative Unplanned Additions 5/| +| | | Coal Steam....................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.58 5.37 11.31 17.79| | Other Fossil Steam 2/.........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Combined Cycle................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.81 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 2.18 2.90 3.90 4.57 7.09 8.00 11.13 11.20 12.94 12.94| | Combustion Turbine/Diesel.....| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.37 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.67 2.47 2.68 3.70 4.88 5.37 5.54 5.93| | Nuclear Power.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Pumped Storage/Other 3/.......| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Renewable Sources 4/..........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.15 0.22 0.29 0.37 0.42 0.54 0.65 0.75 0.88 1.30 2.06 3.42 4.60 6.22| | Total.......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 1.25 2.09 2.17 2.24 2.31 3.10 3.93 6.22 7.79 10.65 13.01 19.66 25.37 34.39 42.87| | | +| | | Cumulative Total Additions.......| 0.00 3.68 7.10 10.83 15.13 20.62 25.55 30.62 36.11 42.70 48.52 54.31 61.38 65.42 69.39 73.72 76.99 83.74 91.67 101.2 109.9| | | +| | | Cumulative Retirements...........| 1.20 5.25 6.46 10.22 14.30 17.59 20.18 23.02 24.85 27.29 30.34 32.22 34.39 36.10 39.07 41.38 43.79 47.54 53.02 55.93 60.43| | | +| | | Nonutilities (excludes cogen.) 6/ | +| | | Installed Capability 7/ | +| | | Coal Steam....................| 0.09 0.18 0.35 0.35 0.64 0.85 1.39 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.53 1.53 2.21 3.81 5.23 6.88 8.55| | Other Fossil Steam 2/.........| 0.23 0.31 0.40 0.52 0.56 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83| | Combined Cycle................| 1.27 1.99 2.88 3.11 3.80 4.38 4.38 5.28 7.00 8.38 9.47 9.61 10.23 11.20 12.63 15.93 19.10 21.40 23.19 23.19 23.19| | Combustion Turbine/Diesel.....| 0.90 1.02 1.48 1.48 1.57 2.38 3.42 4.53 4.66 5.14 5.50 6.14 7.01 7.09 7.84 9.34 10.96 11.43 11.84 12.63 12.85| | Nuclear Power.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Pumped Storage/Other 8/.......| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Renewable Sources 4/..........| 6.64 7.18 7.42 7.91 8.19 8.61 8.84 9.48 10.94 12.33 13.52 14.32 15.08 15.80 16.61 17.49 18.89 20.42 22.45 24.24 26.19| | Total.......................| 9.13 10.67 12.53 13.37 14.77 17.03 18.83 21.60 24.91 28.18 30.82 32.41 34.65 36.43 39.43 45.11 51.99 57.88 63.53 67.75 71.59| | | +| | | Cogenerators 9/..................|33.74 37.50 37.78 38.94 40.65 42.57 43.23 43.18 43.30 43.36 43.49 43.56 43.69 43.78 43.88 43.99 44.13 44.24 44.30 44.37 44.47| | | +| | | Cumulative Additions 7/..........| 0.00 5.30 7.44 9.44 12.55 16.72 19.19 21.92 25.34 28.68 31.45 33.10 35.47 37.35 40.44 46.24 53.25 59.25 64.97 69.25 73.20| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 6. Renewable Energy | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Electricity and Nonelectric |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Electricity | +| | | Capability (gigawatts) | +| | | Conventional Hydropower.......|74.64 74.64 74.93 75.03 75.34 75.47 75.67 75.80 76.69 77.50 77.53 77.54 77.55 77.56 77.58 77.59 77.60 77.62 77.62 77.62 77.62| | Geothermal 1/.................| 2.91 2.86 2.89 2.97 3.02 3.12 3.14 3.74 4.34 4.94 5.54 5.75 5.96 6.16 6.36 6.56 6.95 7.23 7.75 8.14 8.54| | Municipal Solid Waste.........| 1.89 2.35 2.44 2.62 2.76 3.01 3.14 3.17 3.20 3.24 3.38 3.53 3.70 3.82 3.97 4.14 4.30 4.46 4.61 4.77 4.92| | Biomass/Other Waste 2/........| 1.28 1.28 1.37 1.42 1.51 1.53 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 2.06 2.51 2.96 3.41 3.86 4.32 4.77 5.22 5.67 6.12 6.57| | Solar 3/......................| 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.44 0.51 0.59 0.66 0.73 0.78 0.83 0.88 0.93 0.98 1.05 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.33| | Wind 4/.......................| 1.55 1.63 1.65 1.75 1.75 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.84 1.98 2.72 4.05 6.26 8.14 10.65| | Cogenerators 5/...............| 6.48 6.58 6.76 6.98 7.22 7.40 7.59 7.75 7.87 8.02 8.19 8.34 8.49 8.68 8.86 9.00 9.15 9.33 9.51 9.66 9.83| | Total.......................|89.11 89.72 90.40 91.14 91.96 92.65 93.33 94.34 96.06 97.72 99.2 100.2 101.3 102.3 103.4 104.5 106.5 109.0 112.6 115.7 119.5| | | +| | | Generation (billion kilowatthrs)| +| | | Conventional Hydropower.......|284.9 282.4 292.4 293.0 294.0 294.7 295.6 296.1 298.0 301.1 301.5 301.6 301.7 301.8 301.9 301.9 302.0 302.2 302.2 302.2 302.3| | Geothermal 1/.................|15.86 16.00 17.59 17.63 18.12 18.66 18.91 23.26 27.51 31.76 36.01 37.45 38.97 40.38 41.79 43.19 45.96 47.96 51.57 54.36 57.15| | Municipal Solid Waste.........|10.96 13.02 12.48 13.79 14.53 15.71 16.99 17.17 17.42 17.70 18.74 19.90 21.14 22.10 23.19 24.46 25.70 26.92 28.00 29.19 30.32| | Biomass/Other Waste 2/........| 6.50 7.63 8.18 8.65 9.16 9.35 9.62 10.00 10.00 10.00 12.80 15.61 18.42 21.23 24.04 26.84 29.65 32.46 35.27 38.07 40.88| | Solar 3/......................| 0.70 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 1.12 1.43 1.74 2.05 2.35 2.55 2.75 2.96 3.16 3.36 3.65 3.94 4.23 4.52 4.81| | Wind 4/.......................| 2.38 2.72 2.79 2.85 2.90 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.92 2.92 2.92 3.10 3.55 5.85 9.88 16.37 21.90 29.09| | Cogenerators 5/...............|32.12 32.66 33.52 34.64 35.81 36.70 37.63 38.45 39.04 39.78 40.65 41.40 42.13 43.04 43.94 44.63 45.38 46.31 47.19 47.93 48.79| | Total.......................|353.4 355.3 367.7 371.4 375.3 378.8 382.8 389.3 396.6 405.3 414.9 421.4 428.0 434.4 441.1 448.0 458.2 469.7 484.9 498.2 513.3| | | +| | | Consumption Equivalent | +| | | Conventional Hydropower.......| 2.94 2.92 3.02 3.03 3.04 3.05 3.06 3.06 3.08 3.11 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12| | Geothermal 1/.................| 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.53 0.56 0.59| | Municipal Solid Waste.........| 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31| | Biomass/Other Waste 2/........| 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.31 0.34 0.36 0.39 0.42| | Solar 3/......................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05| | Wind 4/.......................| 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.23 0.30| | Cogenerators 5/...............| 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50| | Total.......................| 3.65 3.67 3.80 3.84 3.88 3.91 3.96 4.02 4.10 4.19 4.29 4.36 4.42 4.49 4.56 4.63 4.74 4.85 5.01 5.15 5.30| | | +| | | Nonelectric Renewable Energy | +| | | Residential, Commercial, & Ind. | +| | | Geothermal....................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Biofuels......................| 2.53 2.49 2.57 2.66 2.73 2.77 2.83 2.87 2.90 2.95 3.00 3.04 3.08 3.13 3.17 3.22 3.26 3.31 3.36 3.39 3.44| | Solar Thermal.................| 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04| | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Ethanol.......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13| | | +| | | Total...........................| 2.55 2.52 2.60 2.76 2.83 2.87 2.95 3.01 3.05 3.10 3.16 3.21 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.39 3.44 3.50 3.55 3.59 3.63| | | +| | | Total Renewable Energy............| 6.20 6.19 6.40 6.60 6.71 6.79 6.90 7.04 7.15 7.29 7.45 7.56 7.67 7.79 7.91 8.02 8.18 8.35 8.56 8.74 8.94| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 7. Macroeconomic Indicators | | (Billion 1987 Dollars, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Indicators |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | GDP Implicit Price Deflator | +| | | (index 1987=1.000)................|1.132 1.178 1.208 1.235 1.265 1.297 1.329 1.364 1.402 1.443 1.488 1.535 1.585 1.637 1.691 1.749 1.810 1.873 1.937 2.005 2.075| | | +| | | Real Gross Domestic Product.......| 4877 4821 4920 5072 5235 5354 5491 5630 5756 5896 6041 6178 6316 6468 6607 6736 6867 7017 7148 7267 7397| | Real Consumption..................| 3260 3241 3312 3408 3499 3581 3646 3706 3769 3832 3898 3961 4024 4093 4159 4226 4297 4375 4452 4525 4606| | Real Investment...................| 739 661 712 804 890 943 971 1014 1049 1096 1137 1170 1202 1245 1282 1308 1336 1378 1405 1422 1449| | Real Government Spending..........| 930 941 938 930 939 933 948 963 974 985 998 1010 1023 1037 1052 1068 1080 1093 1106 1118 1129| | | +| | | Real Exports......................| 510 539 571 596 622 658 709 761 811 864 922 984 1048 1117 1179 1234 1290 1352 1414 1473 1530| | Real Imports......................| 562 561 614 666 716 760 783 815 846 880 915 947 983 1025 1065 1100 1137 1181 1229 1271 1317| | | +| | | Real Disposable Personal Income...| 3517 3509 3584 3667 3766 3862 3926 3996 4062 4130 4202 4269 4336 4410 4484 4563 4642 4725 4804 4881 4970| | | +| | | Index of Manufacturing Gross | +| | | Output (index 1987=1.000)........|1.087 1.057 1.094 1.141 1.178 1.202 1.227 1.263 1.294 1.328 1.366 1.397 1.432 1.475 1.515 1.550 1.584 1.626 1.666 1.704 1.747| | | +| | | AA Utility Bond Rate (percent)....| 9.66 9.10 8.55 8.00 8.34 8.36 8.43 8.68 8.71 8.62 8.59 8.58 8.57 8.53 8.49 8.47 8.45 8.39 8.33 8.30 8.26| | | +| | | 90-Day U.S. Government | +| | | Treasury Bill Rate (percent)......| 7.49 5.38 3.43 3.20 4.07 3.98 4.24 4.73 4.72 4.69 4.69 4.70 4.71 4.72 4.70 4.67 4.63 4.60 4.55 4.51 4.49| | | +| | | Real Yield on Government 10 Year | +| | | Bonds (percent)...................| 4.91 3.93 3.61 3.98 4.99 4.96 4.65 4.79 4.69 4.52 4.41 4.29 4.21 4.15 4.06 4.01 3.96 3.91 3.82 3.74 3.71| | | +| | | Energy Intensity (thousand Btu | +| | | per 1987 dollar of GDP)...........|17.28 17.58 17.41 17.35 17.10 16.94 16.71 16.47 16.26 16.04 15.85 15.65 15.47 15.29 15.13 14.96 14.81 14.64 14.50 14.35 14.23| | | +| | | Consumer Price Index (1982=1.00)..| 1.31 1.36 1.40 1.44 1.49 1.54 1.59 1.64 1.70 1.76 1.83 1.90 1.97 2.04 2.12 2.20 2.29 2.37 2.46 2.56 2.65| | Employment Cost Index (1987=1.00).| 1.05 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.31 1.35 1.40 1.46 1.52 1.58 1.64 1.71 1.78 1.85 1.93 2.01 2.09 2.18| | | +| | | Unemployment Rate (percent).......| 5.52 6.75 7.40 7.00 6.29 5.90 5.79 5.63 5.69 5.69 5.66 5.69 5.73 5.66 5.63 5.69 5.78 5.76 5.76 5.87 5.92| | | +| | | Million Units | +| | | Truck Deliveries, Light-Duty....| 4.39 3.93 4.50 5.11 5.30 5.32 5.18 5.30 5.44 5.55 5.66 5.77 5.92 6.11 6.23 6.26 6.25 6.36 6.39 6.41 6.52| | Unit Sales of Automobiles.......| 9.51 8.39 8.35 9.06 9.42 9.29 9.54 9.73 9.78 9.78 9.77 9.76 9.78 9.85 9.99 10.12 10.24 10.48 10.50 10.42 10.38| | | +| | | U.S. Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate.| 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.77| | | +| | | Millions of People | +| | | Pop. w/Armed Forces Overseas...|250.3 253.0 255.8 258.4 261.0 263.6 266.1 268.5 270.9 273.3 275.6 277.9 280.2 282.5 284.8 287.1 289.4 291.8 294.1 296.5 298.9| | Population (aged 16 and over)..|192.7 194.5 196.3 198.2 200.1 202.1 204.2 206.4 208.5 210.7 212.8 214.9 217.1 219.2 221.5 223.8 226.2 228.6 230.9 233.2 235.4| | Employment, Non-Agriculture....|109.8 108.3 108.4 109.6 112.2 114.9 117.2 119.3 121.0 122.7 124.5 126.2 127.8 129.6 131.3 132.8 134.2 135.8 137.2 138.4 139.6| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 8. Petroleum Supply and Disposition Balance | | (Million Barrels per Day, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply and Disposition |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Production | +| | | Crude Oil 1/..................| 7.36 7.42 7.17 6.87 6.50 6.18 5.92 5.72 5.54 5.35 5.18 5.07 5.00 4.93 4.88 4.84 4.82 4.87 4.90 4.95 5.10| | Alaska......................| 1.77 1.80 1.71 1.47 1.30 1.16 1.10 1.06 1.03 0.96 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.71 0.65 0.60 0.54 0.58 0.59 0.62 0.74| | Lower 48 States.............| 5.58 5.62 5.46 5.40 5.20 5.02 4.83 4.66 4.51 4.39 4.31 4.26 4.23 4.22 4.23 4.25 4.28 4.29 4.31 4.33 4.35| | Natural Gas Plant Liquids.....| 1.56 1.66 1.70 1.71 1.71 1.72 1.75 1.76 1.78 1.79 1.82 1.86 1.88 1.91 1.92 1.94 1.95 1.97 1.96 1.94 1.95| | Total.......................| 8.91 9.07 8.87 8.58 8.21 7.90 7.67 7.48 7.32 7.14 7.01 6.93 6.88 6.84 6.80 6.78 6.76 6.84 6.87 6.89 7.05| | | +| | | Net Imports | +| | | Crude Oil (including SPR) 2/..| 5.78 5.67 5.99 6.53 6.98 7.26 7.64 7.86 8.05 8.23 8.49 8.57 8.70 8.84 8.87 9.00 9.11 9.09 9.09 9.03 8.92| | Refined Products 3/...........| 0.90 0.51 0.45 1.51 1.79 1.94 1.96 2.17 2.19 2.40 2.46 2.66 2.83 2.96 3.18 3.27 3.34 3.47 3.63 3.76 3.88| | Total.......................| 6.68 6.17 6.44 8.04 8.77 9.21 9.60 10.02 10.24 10.63 10.94 11.23 11.54 11.79 12.05 12.26 12.44 12.56 12.71 12.79 12.80| | | +| | | Other Inputs 4/.................| 0.49 0.51 0.58 0.54 0.50 0.53 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.71 0.69 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.74| | Refinery Processing Gain 5/.....| 0.68 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.80 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.84| | SPR Fill Rate Additions(-) 2/...|-0.02 0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02| | | +| | | Total Primary Supply 6/.........|16.75 16.53 16.64 17.94 18.27 18.42 18.64 18.87 18.94 19.15 19.41 19.60 19.83 20.09 20.30 20.51 20.71 20.91 21.10 21.24 21.41| | | +| | | Refined Petroleum Products Supp.| +| | | Motor Gasoline 7/.............| 7.23 7.19 7.27 7.45 7.56 7.66 7.71 7.78 7.85 7.93 8.02 8.08 8.14 8.19 8.23 8.27 8.31 8.33 8.36 8.39 8.42| | Jet Fuel 8/...................| 1.52 1.47 1.45 1.58 1.61 1.62 1.64 1.68 1.72 1.75 1.80 1.83 1.87 1.90 1.94 1.97 2.01 2.05 2.08 2.11 2.14| | Distillate Fuel...............| 3.02 2.92 2.98 3.28 3.37 3.42 3.46 3.49 3.52 3.57 3.63 3.68 3.73 3.81 3.86 3.91 3.96 4.03 4.08 4.12 4.17| | Residual Fuel.................| 1.23 1.16 1.09 1.22 1.23 1.19 1.20 1.24 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.37 1.36 1.36| | Other 9/......................| 3.98 3.97 4.24 4.14 4.22 4.31 4.41 4.46 4.50 4.54 4.61 4.65 4.69 4.77 4.84 4.89 4.96 5.04 5.10 5.17 5.21| | Total.......................|16.99 16.71 17.03 17.67 17.99 18.20 18.42 18.66 18.85 19.06 19.34 19.52 19.74 19.99 20.21 20.40 20.61 20.81 21.00 21.13 21.30| | | +| | | Refined Petroleum Products Supp.| +| | | Residential and Commercial....| 1.15 1.14 1.16 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.19 1.19 1.18 1.18 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.16 1.16 1.15 1.15 1.14 1.14 1.13 1.13| | Industrial 10/................| 4.32 4.25 4.33 4.54 4.65 4.72 4.83 4.89 4.92 4.98 5.06 5.10 5.15 5.23 5.30 5.35 5.43 5.50 5.57 5.63 5.69| | Transportation................|10.98 10.80 11.01 11.49 11.71 11.88 12.00 12.16 12.30 12.47 12.66 12.81 12.97 13.13 13.26 13.41 13.56 13.71 13.84 13.95 14.08| | Electric Utilities 11/........| 0.55 0.51 0.52 0.43 0.43 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.48 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.42 0.41| | Total.......................|16.99 16.71 17.03 17.67 17.99 18.20 18.42 18.66 18.85 19.06 19.34 19.52 19.74 19.99 20.21 20.40 20.61 20.81 21.00 21.13 21.30| | | +| | | Discrepancy 12/.................|-0.24 -0.18 -0.39 0.27 0.28 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.11| | | +| | | World Oil Price (1992 $/bbl) 13/|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | Domestic Refinery Distill. Cap..| 15.6 15.7 15.5 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.5 15.5 15.6 15.6 15.6| | Capacity Utilization Rate (%)...| 87.1 86.0 87.9 87.4 88.1 87.9 88.5 88.6 88.8 88.7 89.3 89.1 89.5 89.6 89.3 89.8 89.9 89.9 89.9 89.7 89.9| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 9. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices | | (Trillion Cubic Feet per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply, Disposition, and Prices |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Production | +| | | Dry Gas Production 1/.........|17.81 17.69 17.54 17.71 17.68 17.84 18.12 18.25 18.43 18.58 18.93 19.28 19.51 19.80 19.92 20.13 20.18 20.38 20.35 20.16 20.19| | Supplemental Natural Gas 2/...| 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.07| | | +| | | Net Imports.....................| 1.45 1.64 1.73 2.02 2.40 2.66 2.74 2.81 2.85 2.89 2.93 2.95 2.97 3.00 3.16 3.31 3.50 3.57 3.63 3.74 3.85| | Canada........................| 1.43 1.69 1.83 2.08 2.40 2.60 2.62 2.63 2.65 2.66 2.67 2.68 2.69 2.72 2.74 2.76 2.79 2.82 2.86 2.89 2.92| | Mexico........................|-0.02 -0.06 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.17| | LNG...........................| 0.03 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.08 0.14 0.20 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.43 0.55 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.71 0.75| | | +| | | Total Supply....................|19.38 19.45 19.38 19.84 20.19 20.62 20.97 21.17 21.40 21.58 21.97 22.34 22.60 22.92 23.19 23.56 23.80 24.07 24.11 23.99 24.11| | | +| | | Consumption by Sector | +| | | Residential...................| 4.39 4.56 4.68 4.84 4.87 4.86 4.86 4.85 4.86 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.84 4.84 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.84 4.85| | Commercial....................| 2.62 2.68 2.70 2.72 2.73 2.75 2.75 2.76 2.77 2.79 2.80 2.81 2.82 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.87 2.88 2.89 2.91 2.93| | Industrial 3/.................| 7.02 7.26 7.27 7.29 7.43 7.56 7.64 7.65 7.74 7.86 8.01 8.13 8.20 8.34 8.45 8.52 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.88 9.00| | Electric Utilities 4/.........| 2.79 2.78 2.91 3.16 3.29 3.56 3.76 3.92 4.01 4.04 4.22 4.42 4.57 4.69 4.82 5.06 5.18 5.30 5.21 4.97 4.93| | Lease and Plant Fuel 5/.......| 1.24 1.15 1.19 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.32 1.34 1.35 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.39 1.39 1.38 1.38| | Pipeline Fuel.................| 0.66 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.70| | Transportation 6/.............| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.18 0.20 0.24 0.27 0.29 0.32 0.34 0.35| | Total.......................|18.73 19.02 19.40 19.87 20.21 20.64 20.99 21.20 21.42 21.60 21.99 22.37 22.63 22.95 23.22 23.58 23.82 24.09 24.13 24.02 24.14| | | +| | | Discrepancy 7/..................| 0.64 0.42 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03| | | +| | | Average Wellhead Price (1992 $ | +| | | per thousand cubic feet) 8/....| 1.85 1.69 1.83 1.94 2.03 2.11 2.19 2.29 2.35 2.39 2.42 2.47 2.55 2.65 2.75 2.89 3.01 3.17 3.30 3.35 3.47| | | +| | | Delivered Prices (1992 dollars | +| | | per thousand cubic feet) | +| | | Residential..................| 6.19 5.99 6.24 6.53 6.64 6.81 6.96 7.10 7.18 7.22 7.26 7.33 7.46 7.54 7.66 7.85 7.94 8.14 8.34 8.43 8.55| | Commercial...................| 5.16 4.96 5.19 5.49 5.59 5.76 5.92 6.06 6.13 6.17 6.22 6.29 6.41 6.49 6.61 6.80 6.88 7.08 7.28 7.36 7.49| | Industrial 9/................| 3.57 3.29 3.17 3.39 3.45 3.56 3.67 3.77 3.85 3.91 3.96 4.05 4.16 4.25 4.36 4.50 4.60 4.75 4.89 4.97 5.08| | Electric Utilities...........| 2.52 2.34 2.27 2.53 2.57 2.66 2.75 2.80 2.89 2.94 3.02 3.15 3.26 3.36 3.48 3.63 3.72 3.89 4.05 4.11 4.22| | Transportation...............| 4.25 4.30 5.29 6.22 7.09 8.10 9.24 9.35 9.56 9.68 9.90 10.12 10.25 10.41 10.67 10.76 10.83 11.03 11.18 11.37 11.41| | Average 10/...............| 4.32 4.11 4.15 4.40 4.46 4.56 4.67 4.77 4.84 4.88 4.92 4.99 5.09 5.17 5.28 5.42 5.51 5.68 5.85 5.95 6.07| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 10. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices | | (Million Short Tons per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply, Disposition, and Prices |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Production 1/ | +| | | East of the Mississippi.......| 630 591 596 594 610 619 620 624 632 630 630 627 626 632 638 630 643 645 639 644 650| | West of the Mississippi.......| 399 405 402 405 411 422 430 432 434 443 451 460 472 475 484 491 485 498 534 558 573| | Total.......................| 1029 996 998 999 1021 1041 1051 1056 1066 1073 1081 1087 1098 1107 1122 1121 1128 1143 1173 1201 1223| | | +| | | Net Imports | +| | | Imports........................| 3 3 4 4 5 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11| | Exports........................| 106 109 104 83 98 114 118 121 125 129 133 135 137 139 142 144 145 147 149 151 152| | Total.........................| -103 -106 -100 -79 -93 -108 -110 -113 -117 -120 -123 -125 -128 -129 -132 -134 -135 -137 -139 -140 -142| | | +| | | Total Supply 2/.................| 926 890 898 920 928 933 940 943 949 953 958 962 971 978 990 987 993 1006 1034 1061 1081| | | +| | | Consumption by Sector | +| | | Residential and Commercial....| 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5| | Industrial 3/.................| 76 75 72 77 78 81 81 83 84 89 87 89 91 92 94 94 96 98 99 100 101| | Coke Plants...................| 39 34 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 29 28 27 26 26 25 24 24 23 22 22 21| | Electric Utilities 4/.........| 774 772 787 803 811 814 820 824 828 830 837 840 843 854 865 862 867 879 908 934 950| | Total.......................| 895 888 900 920 928 933 938 943 948 953 958 962 967 978 990 987 992 1006 1035 1061 1079| | | +| | | Discrepancy and Stock Change 5/| 31 3 -2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 3| | | +| | | Average Minemouth Price 6/ | +| | | (1992 dollars per short ton)...|23.22 22.04 21.39 21.75 22.06 23.46 24.50 24.41 24.17 25.05 25.29 26.04 26.58 26.79 27.15 27.00 28.50 28.98 28.95 30.27 30.87| | | +| | | Average Price to All Users | +| | | (1992 dollars per million Btu).| 1.58 1.52 1.47 1.49 1.50 1.54 1.59 1.59 1.58 1.63 1.64 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.73 1.71 1.77 1.80 1.82 1.89 1.92| | | +| | | Deliv. Prices (1992$ /short ton)| +| | | Industrial....................|35.85 36.13 34.50 34.46 34.95 35.04 36.44 35.92 36.41 37.68 37.43 38.38 37.94 38.82 39.33 40.37 40.62 40.83 41.18 42.51 42.30| | Coke Plants...................|50.93 49.25 48.30 48.06 49.70 54.04 56.07 55.25 54.68 55.80 55.81 57.23 58.20 59.03 59.63 60.38 60.18 59.95 59.71 59.50 58.91| | Electric Utilities............|32.46 31.22 30.21 30.64 30.80 31.96 32.88 33.04 32.85 33.75 34.11 35.15 35.46 35.61 35.90 35.52 36.88 37.48 37.89 39.40 40.32| | Average 7/..................|33.59 32.33 31.26 31.60 31.82 32.99 33.96 34.01 33.85 34.78 35.05 36.08 36.32 36.54 36.83 36.60 37.81 38.33 38.69 40.11 40.88| | Exports 8/....................|45.49 45.95 44.44 44.52 45.87 49.78 52.65 50.36 50.00 51.14 50.96 52.01 52.77 53.65 54.03 54.71 56.43 56.95 55.59 56.20 55.95| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 11. International Petroleum Supply and Disposition Summary | | (Million Barrels per Day, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Supply and Disposition |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | World Oil Price (1992 $ / bbl) 1/|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | | +| | | Production 2/ | +| | | U.S. (50 states)...............| 9.59 9.79 9.64 9.56 9.19 8.87 8.63 8.44 8.30 8.13 8.01 7.94 7.89 7.87 7.83 7.81 7.82 7.90 7.93 7.97 8.13| | Canada.........................| 2.03 2.04 2.08 2.10 2.11 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.13 2.17 2.22 2.28 2.34 2.40 2.46 2.52 2.51 2.50 2.48 2.47 2.45| | OECD Europe 3/.................| 4.58 4.80 5.08 5.17 5.60 5.89 6.09 6.29 6.33 6.37 6.42 6.19 5.96 5.74 5.51 5.28 5.18 5.07 4.96 4.86 4.75| | OPEC...........................|25.04 25.62 26.26 27.39 28.80 30.73 31.76 32.62 33.68 34.64 35.54 36.76 37.90 38.97 39.97 40.92 41.65 42.28 42.92 43.50 44.02| | Rest of the World 4/...........|11.06 11.32 11.56 11.67 12.11 12.22 12.49 12.78 12.83 12.88 12.95 12.80 12.66 12.53 12.40 12.27 12.23 12.19 12.15 12.11 12.07| | Total Production.............|52.30 53.58 54.63 55.89 57.80 59.81 61.07 62.23 63.26 64.20 65.13 65.96 66.75 67.50 68.17 68.80 69.38 69.94 70.45 70.91 71.42| | | +| | | Net Eurasian Exports.............| 1.88 1.25 1.26 1.33 1.03 1.06 1.10 1.13 1.17 1.21 1.24 1.28 1.31 1.35 1.39 1.42 1.46 1.49 1.53 1.56 1.60| | | +| | | Total Supply.....................|53.60 54.66 55.69 57.18 58.83 60.87 62.17 63.36 64.43 65.40 66.37 67.24 68.06 68.85 69.55 70.22 70.84 71.43 71.98 72.47 73.02| | | +| | | Consumption | +| | | U.S. (50 states)...............|16.99 16.71 17.03 17.68 17.98 18.20 18.42 18.66 18.85 19.06 19.34 19.52 19.74 19.99 20.21 20.40 20.61 20.81 20.99 21.13 21.30| | U.S. Territories...............| 0.21 0.24 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27| | Canada.........................| 1.69 1.62 1.64 1.68 1.73 1.76 1.80 1.83 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.88 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89| | Japan..........................| 5.14 5.28 5.34 5.44 5.57 5.99 6.18 6.36 6.52 6.66 6.78 6.89 6.97 7.04 7.09 7.14 7.18 7.21 7.22 7.23 7.23| | Australia & New Zealand........| 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.07| | OECD Europe....................|12.90 13.38 13.58 13.47 13.74 14.59 14.84 15.08 15.25 15.39 15.49 15.64 15.73 15.80 15.84 15.88 15.91 15.92 15.93 15.94 15.95| | Rest of the World 4/...........|15.78 16.39 17.36 18.15 19.02 19.52 20.10 20.59 21.10 21.54 21.99 22.40 22.80 23.18 23.55 23.93 24.26 24.59 24.92 25.26 25.60| | Total Consumption............|53.53 54.44 55.99 57.48 59.13 61.17 62.47 63.66 64.73 65.70 66.67 67.54 68.36 69.15 69.85 70.52 71.14 71.73 72.28 72.77 73.32| | | +| | | Discrepancy......................|-0.07 -0.22 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30| | | +| | | Consumption Aggregations | +| | | OECD...........................|37.75 38.05 38.63 39.34 40.11 41.65 42.37 43.07 43.63 44.16 44.68 45.14 45.57 45.98 46.30 46.60 46.88 47.14 47.35 47.52 47.71| | OPEC...........................| 4.61 4.74 4.91 5.05 5.19 5.34 5.44 5.55 5.66 5.78 5.89 6.01 6.13 6.25 6.38 6.51 6.64 6.77 6.90 7.04 7.18| | Rest of the World 4/...........|11.18 11.65 12.44 13.09 13.83 14.19 14.66 15.04 15.44 15.77 16.10 16.39 16.67 16.92 17.18 17.42 17.63 17.82 18.02 18.22 18.42| | | +| | | Non-OPEC Production 4/...........|27.26 27.96 28.37 28.50 29.01 29.08 29.31 29.61 29.58 29.56 29.59 29.20 28.85 28.53 28.20 27.88 27.73 27.66 27.53 27.41 27.40| | | +| | | OPEC Summary | +| | | Market Share...................| 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.60| | Production Capacity 5/.........|29.80 27.30 28.90 31.30 33.05 34.80 35.70 36.60 37.20 37.80 38.40 39.54 40.68 41.82 42.96 44.10 44.83 45.56 46.29 47.02 47.75| | Capacity Utilization...........| 0.84 0.94 0.91 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 12. Yearly Supply and Disposition of Total Energy, Supply Detail | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total Supply |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | World Oil Price..................|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | | +| | | Domestic Production | +| | | Petroleum......................|17.74 18.00 17.59 16.91 16.14 15.47 15.01 14.55 14.20 13.81 13.55 13.32 13.19 13.10 13.04 12.95 12.90 13.05 13.14 13.18 13.50| | Natural Gas 1/.................|18.49 18.35 18.19 18.38 18.34 18.51 18.79 18.93 19.12 19.27 19.63 19.99 20.23 20.54 20.65 20.87 20.93 21.14 21.11 20.88 20.89| | Coal...........................|22.46 21.59 21.51 21.49 21.99 22.52 22.74 22.86 23.09 23.24 23.38 23.52 23.75 23.98 24.27 24.28 24.44 24.77 25.39 25.96 26.47| | Nuclear Power..................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other 2/......| 6.20 6.21 6.28 6.47 6.56 6.64 6.76 6.90 7.01 7.14 7.29 7.39 7.50 7.61 7.72 7.82 7.97 8.13 8.33 8.50 8.69| | Total Domestic Production....|71.08 70.74 70.21 69.90 69.91 70.10 70.25 70.25 70.50 70.67 71.06 71.46 71.99 72.53 72.99 73.23 73.53 74.23 74.84 75.21 76.12| | | +| | | Imports | +| | | Petroleum......................|16.73 15.93 16.63 20.12 21.58 22.55 23.60 24.43 24.89 25.70 26.58 27.04 27.59 28.20 28.79 29.20 29.61 29.86 30.28 30.37 30.38| | Natural Gas....................| 1.54 1.78 1.90 2.19 2.59 2.87 2.96 3.05 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.22 3.25 3.28 3.43 3.59 3.79 3.86 3.94 4.05 4.16| | Coal...........................| 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27| | Net Coal Coke Imports..........| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Electricity....................| 0.02 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18| | Oxygenates.....................| 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19| | Total Imports................|18.46 17.99 18.82 22.62 24.53 25.84 27.01 27.95 28.48 29.34 30.31 30.80 31.40 32.04 32.81 33.39 34.01 34.34 34.85 35.07 35.21| | | +| | | SPR Fill Rate Additions (-)......|-0.04 0.11 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04| | | +| | | Available Supply | +| | | Petroleum......................|34.42 34.04 34.17 36.97 37.70 38.01 38.56 38.93 39.05 39.47 40.08 40.31 40.74 41.25 41.79 42.10 42.47 42.86 43.37 43.50 43.84| | Natural Gas....................|20.02 20.13 20.10 20.57 20.93 21.38 21.75 21.97 22.21 22.41 22.82 23.21 23.48 23.81 24.08 24.46 24.71 25.00 25.04 24.93 25.06| | Coal...........................|22.53 21.69 21.61 21.60 22.13 22.70 22.92 23.06 23.30 23.48 23.64 23.78 24.01 24.24 24.54 24.55 24.71 25.04 25.66 26.24 26.75| | Nuclear Power..................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Other Supply 3/................| 6.22 6.29 6.36 6.56 6.67 6.77 6.89 7.03 7.14 7.27 7.42 7.53 7.64 7.75 7.86 7.98 8.13 8.30 8.50 8.68 8.88| | SPR Fill Rate Additions (-)....|-0.04 0.11 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04| | | +| | | Total Supply (before | +| | | adjustments)...................|89.34 88.84 88.84 92.31 94.29 95.81 97.03 97.97 98.75 99.8 101.1 102.0 103.1 104.3 105.5 106.4 107.3 108.3 109.4 110.0 111.1| | | +| | | Adjustments....................|-0.99 0.55 1.06 -0.48 -0.57 -0.50 -0.71 -0.65 -0.47 -0.51 -0.66 -0.62 -0.75 -0.74 -0.91 -0.91 -0.96 -1.05 -1.32 -1.35 -1.57| | | +| | | Total Supply.....................|88.50 89.39 90.06 91.99 93.85 95.44 96.51 97.51 98.46 99.5 100.7 101.6 102.6 103.8 104.8 105.7 106.5 107.5 108.3 108.9 109.7| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 13. Yearly Supply and Disposition of Total Energy, Disposition Detail | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total Disposition |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Exports | +| | | Petroleum......................| 1.82 2.13 2.02 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12 2.12| | Natural Gas....................| 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30| | Coal...........................| 2.70 2.80 2.66 2.14 2.50 2.90 2.96 3.03 3.12 3.21 3.31 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.54 3.59 3.63 3.67 3.71 3.75| | Total Exports................| 4.61 5.06 4.84 4.42 4.79 5.21 5.29 5.37 5.47 5.56 5.68 5.72 5.78 5.82 5.87 5.92 5.97 6.02 6.08 6.12 6.17| | | +| | | Consumption | +| | | Residential and Commercial | +| | | Petroleum....................| 2.17 2.22 2.26 2.29 2.29 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.26 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.23 2.22 2.21 2.20 2.20 2.18 2.18 2.17 2.16| | Natural Gas..................| 7.22 7.45 7.60 7.78 7.83 7.83 7.84 7.85 7.86 7.86 7.87 7.89 7.89 7.90 7.91 7.91 7.93 7.94 7.95 7.98 8.01| | Coal.........................| 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13| | Renewable Energy.............| 0.62 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70| | Electricity..................| 6.01 6.13 6.16 6.25 6.30 6.38 6.46 6.53 6.59 6.63 6.69 6.75 6.81 6.86 6.89 6.94 6.98 7.03 7.07 7.10 7.15| | Total......................|16.18 16.57 16.81 17.12 17.23 17.29 17.38 17.45 17.52 17.56 17.63 17.69 17.75 17.80 17.83 17.88 17.94 17.98 18.03 18.07 18.14| | | +| | | Industrial | +| | | Petroleum....................| 8.31 8.06 8.06 8.80 9.01 9.14 9.34 9.45 9.51 9.60 9.75 9.80 9.90 10.02 10.15 10.24 10.38 10.52 10.62 10.74 10.82| | Natural Gas..................| 8.53 8.66 8.71 8.76 8.90 9.05 9.17 9.19 9.29 9.43 9.61 9.75 9.84 10.00 10.11 10.20 10.28 10.39 10.48 10.57 10.69| | Coal.........................| 2.75 2.60 2.53 2.60 2.61 2.64 2.62 2.63 2.64 2.72 2.65 2.67 2.70 2.72 2.75 2.76 2.76 2.79 2.81 2.80 2.82| | Net Coal Coke Imports........| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Renewable Energy.............| 1.96 1.93 1.99 2.06 2.13 2.18 2.23 2.28 2.31 2.35 2.40 2.44 2.48 2.53 2.58 2.62 2.66 2.72 2.76 2.80 2.84| | Electricity..................| 3.23 3.23 3.27 3.39 3.50 3.55 3.58 3.65 3.70 3.77 3.84 3.90 3.96 4.05 4.13 4.18 4.24 4.32 4.38 4.44 4.50| | Total......................|24.78 24.48 24.57 25.60 26.16 26.56 26.95 27.21 27.45 27.88 28.27 28.58 28.90 29.34 29.74 30.02 30.34 30.74 31.07 31.36 31.68| | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Petroleum....................|21.81 22.04 22.40 22.88 23.32 23.66 23.90 24.21 24.51 24.84 25.23 25.53 25.86 26.18 26.45 26.75 27.05 27.34 27.60 27.82 28.10| | Natural Gas..................| 0.69 0.62 0.68 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.83 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.94 0.97 0.99 1.03 1.06 1.07 1.09| | Renewable Energy.............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06| | Others 1/....................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06| | Electricity..................| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19| | Total......................|22.56 22.73 23.14 23.62 24.08 24.45 24.72 25.06 25.38 25.74 26.16 26.49 26.85 27.23 27.55 27.91 28.26 28.61 28.92 29.18 29.50| | | +| | | Total Non-Utility Consumption..|63.52 63.78 64.51 66.35 67.47 68.31 69.05 69.71 70.35 71.17 72.05 72.77 73.50 74.37 75.12 75.81 76.53 77.33 78.02 78.61 79.33| | Less Total Electricity | +| | | Consumption....................| 9.30 9.42 9.49 9.70 9.87 9.99 10.11 10.25 10.37 10.48 10.62 10.74 10.87 11.01 11.13 11.25 11.37 11.50 11.62 11.71 11.84| | Total Non-Utility Consumption| +| | | (excluding electricity)....|54.22 54.36 55.02 56.65 57.61 58.31 58.94 59.46 59.99 60.70 61.44 62.03 62.63 63.36 63.99 64.55 65.16 65.83 66.40 66.90 67.49| | | +| | | Electric Utilities | +| | | Petroleum......................| 1.26 1.19 0.93 0.99 0.98 0.91 0.92 0.97 1.01 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.08 1.11 1.10 1.07 1.05 1.04 0.96 0.92| | Natural Gas....................| 2.88 2.87 3.01 3.27 3.40 3.68 3.89 4.05 4.14 4.18 4.36 4.57 4.72 4.85 4.98 5.24 5.36 5.48 5.39 5.14 5.10| | Coal...........................|16.10 16.02 16.31 16.70 16.86 16.99 17.12 17.23 17.33 17.36 17.49 17.55 17.64 17.88 18.10 18.05 18.17 18.43 19.02 19.54 19.93| | Nuclear Power..................| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Renewable Energy/Other.........| 3.24 3.31 3.30 3.32 3.34 3.37 3.39 3.42 3.44 3.47 3.48 3.48 3.48 3.49 3.49 3.51 3.51 3.52 3.52 3.53 3.54| | Total Utility Consumption....|29.67 29.97 30.19 30.92 31.45 31.92 32.28 32.68 33.01 33.20 33.55 33.85 34.19 34.61 34.98 35.19 35.40 35.62 35.84 35.86 36.06| | | +| | | Total Disposition................|88.50 89.39 90.06 91.99 93.85 95.44 96.51 97.51 98.46 99.5 100.7 101.6 102.6 103.8 104.8 105.7 106.5 107.5 108.3 108.9 109.7| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 14. Petroleum Product Prices | | (1992 cents per gallon) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Fuel |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | World Oil Price ($/bbl).........|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | | +| | | Delivered Sector Product Prices | +| | | | +| | | Residential | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............|113.5 105.0 92.7 97.8 95.3 95.8 96.8 98.2 100.4 102.0 104.2 107.0 109.2 111.6 114.0 115.7 116.9 118.9 120.7 122.6 124.0| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......|101.0 95.9 86.7 87.7 87.5 88.1 89.1 90.1 92.6 93.9 96.0 98.4 100.3 102.6 104.6 106.1 108.7 110.9 112.6 114.6 116.4| | | +| | | Commercial | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 83.1 73.0 66.0 66.6 64.1 64.5 65.4 66.7 68.7 70.5 72.5 75.2 77.3 79.6 82.0 83.5 84.9 86.9 88.7 90.5 92.0| | Residual Fuel.................| 54.8 41.8 39.3 43.3 42.7 44.7 46.5 48.2 50.4 51.1 53.3 55.2 57.4 60.3 62.0 63.3 65.0 67.6 69.9 69.2 70.7| | Residual Fuel($/bbl)..........|23.02 17.56 16.50 18.19 17.95 18.78 19.54 20.24 21.16 21.46 22.37 23.20 24.11 25.31 26.04 26.58 27.28 28.40 29.35 29.06 29.69| | | +| | | Industrial | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 83.4 71.8 67.6 65.9 63.3 63.8 64.9 66.4 68.2 70.2 72.2 74.8 77.0 79.4 81.8 83.3 84.7 86.9 88.6 90.6 92.2| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 50.4 49.4 42.7 46.6 46.5 46.5 48.1 49.2 51.8 53.1 55.4 57.9 59.8 62.2 64.0 65.7 67.6 69.5 71.1 73.3 74.8| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 83.7 69.8 64.1 43.1 40.1 42.5 43.5 45.1 46.4 48.8 50.6 52.7 54.7 57.3 59.5 60.7 62.4 64.5 66.3 69.1 70.4| | Residual Fuel.................| 49.4 40.3 38.0 42.0 41.7 44.2 45.8 47.4 49.4 50.9 53.0 55.5 57.6 60.4 62.6 64.1 65.6 67.9 70.1 70.4 71.8| | Residual Fuel($/bbl)..........|20.77 16.95 15.95 17.65 17.53 18.55 19.22 19.91 20.76 21.39 22.26 23.29 24.20 25.36 26.31 26.92 27.57 28.53 29.43 29.59 30.17| | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Distillate Fuel 1/............|125.9 116.1 111.2 106.6 119.6 119.5 121.4 122.3 124.8 126.2 128.7 131.3 133.8 136.5 139.1 141.3 142.6 145.2 147.6 148.9 150.7| | Jet Fuel 2/...................| 82.0 67.4 61.0 57.2 57.2 58.0 64.3 66.4 68.5 70.3 72.6 75.3 77.5 80.0 82.1 83.7 85.1 87.4 89.7 91.9 93.3| | Motor Gasoline 3/.............|125.1 117.5 113.7 108.0 112.4 115.4 120.4 121.6 124.3 126.0 128.8 131.7 133.4 135.4 138.7 139.7 140.5 143.0 144.7 147.1 147.5| | Residual Fuel.................| 47.7 43.6 32.1 39.2 37.9 39.4 40.7 42.6 44.3 46.2 48.3 50.4 52.5 54.5 57.1 58.4 60.3 62.2 64.0 66.0 67.7| | Residual Fuel($/bbl)..........|20.03 18.33 13.47 16.46 15.92 16.56 17.11 17.89 18.59 19.40 20.28 21.17 22.06 22.88 24.00 24.52 25.34 26.14 26.89 27.71 28.43| | | +| | | Electric Utilities | +| | | Distillate Fuel...............| 74.5 66.3 62.6 61.5 58.9 59.2 59.8 61.1 63.2 64.8 67.2 69.8 72.0 74.4 77.2 78.6 79.8 81.9 84.2 86.1 87.5| | Residual Fuel.................| 52.4 39.3 37.5 41.6 41.3 43.5 45.3 46.8 48.8 49.9 52.0 55.0 57.1 59.8 61.9 63.2 64.8 67.5 69.5 69.5 71.1| | Residual Fuel($/bbl)..........|21.99 16.51 15.77 17.48 17.34 18.26 19.01 19.65 20.49 20.96 21.86 23.08 24.00 25.11 25.98 26.55 27.21 28.34 29.18 29.21 29.88| | | +| | | Refined Petroleum Prod. Prices4/| +| | | Distillate Fuel...............|112.9 103.5 97.6 95.3 102.3 102.5 104.1 105.2 107.5 109.1 111.5 114.1 116.6 119.1 121.6 123.8 125.3 127.8 130.1 131.8 133.7| | Jet Fuel......................| 82.0 67.4 61.0 57.2 57.2 58.0 64.3 66.4 68.5 70.3 72.6 75.3 77.5 80.0 82.1 83.7 85.1 87.4 89.7 91.9 93.3| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 60.9 58.7 51.9 55.5 55.2 55.3 56.7 57.7 60.3 61.5 63.6 66.0 67.9 70.2 72.1 73.9 76.1 78.2 79.8 82.0 83.6| | Motor Gasoline................|125.1 117.5 113.7 108.1 112.4 115.5 120.4 121.6 124.4 126.0 128.8 131.7 133.4 135.4 138.7 139.7 140.6 143.0 144.7 147.1 147.5| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 83.7 69.8 64.1 43.1 40.1 42.5 43.5 45.1 46.4 48.8 50.6 52.7 54.7 57.3 59.5 60.7 62.4 64.5 66.3 69.1 70.4| | Residual Fuel.................| 50.5 41.3 35.5 40.9 40.1 42.0 43.5 45.2 47.0 48.5 50.6 52.9 55.1 57.4 59.7 61.0 62.8 65.0 66.9 67.8 69.4| | Residual Fuel($/bbl)..........|21.20 17.34 14.90 17.16 16.85 17.62 18.26 18.98 19.76 20.38 21.25 22.24 23.14 24.11 25.09 25.64 26.36 27.28 28.08 28.48 29.14| | Average.......................|104.2 95.7 90.8 87.2 90.5 92.5 96.0 97.1 99.5 101.0 103.4 106.1 108.0 110.1 112.6 113.9 115.1 117.3 119.1 121.2 122.2| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 15. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Region | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Region |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Residential | +| | | New England...................| 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21| | Middle Atlantic...............| 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.80| | East North Central............| 1.37 1.43 1.46 1.52 1.53 1.52 1.52 1.51 1.51 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.46 1.46| | West North Central............| 0.43 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46| | South Atlantic................| 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46| | East South Central............| 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21| | West South Central............| 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42| | Mountain......................| 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30| | Pacific.......................| 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67| | Total.......................| 4.52 4.70 4.82 4.98 5.02 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.99 5.00 5.00 4.99 4.98 4.98 4.97 4.98 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.99| | | +| | | Commercial | +| | | New England...................| 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13| | Middle Atlantic...............| 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44| | East North Central............| 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68| | West North Central............| 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30| | South Atlantic................| 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35| | East South Central............| 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13| | West South Central............| 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34| | Mountain......................| 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16| | Pacific.......................| 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.49| | Total.......................| 2.70 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.86 2.87 2.88 2.89 2.90 2.92 2.93 2.94 2.95 2.96 2.98 2.99 3.01| | | +| | | Industrial 1/ | +| | | New England...................| 0.08 0.13 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13| | Middle Atlantic...............| 0.44 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.53| | East North Central............| 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.31 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.38 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.52 1.54 1.56| | West North Central............| 0.39 0.41 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50| | South Atlantic................| 0.65 0.61 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80| | East South Central............| 0.44 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58| | West South Central............| 3.05 3.10 3.16 3.21 3.26 3.31 3.32 3.30 3.35 3.41 3.48 3.52 3.56 3.60 3.65 3.67 3.71 3.75 3.79 3.83 3.88| | Mountain......................| 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30| | Pacific.......................| 0.79 0.83 0.81 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.85 0.86 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.99| | Total.......................| 7.25 7.47 7.49 7.51 7.65 7.78 7.87 7.88 7.97 8.09 8.25 8.37 8.45 8.59 8.70 8.77 8.85 8.95 9.05 9.15 9.27| | | +| | | Electric Utilities 2/ | +| | | New England...................| 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16| | Middle Atlantic...............| 0.28 0.18 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.33 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.38 0.40 0.36 0.35| | East North Central............| 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.13 0.19 0.23 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.38| | West North Central............| 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.12| | South Atlantic................| 0.23 0.28 0.33 0.35 0.40 0.49 0.55 0.60 0.63 0.65 0.75 0.86 0.90 0.90 0.91 1.10 1.16 1.22 1.17 1.09 1.07| | East South Central............| 0.08 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07| | West South Central............| 1.34 1.30 1.42 1.44 1.44 1.48 1.55 1.61 1.65 1.67 1.68 1.70 1.71 1.74 1.74 1.78 1.85 1.84 1.76 1.72 1.75| | Mountain......................| 0.34 0.35 0.31 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.40 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.31 0.28 0.24| | Pacific.......................| 0.43 0.46 0.54 0.67 0.72 0.79 0.85 0.88 0.90 0.87 0.89 0.94 0.98 1.04 1.11 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.05 0.99 0.96| | Total.......................| 2.88 2.87 3.01 3.27 3.40 3.68 3.89 4.05 4.14 4.18 4.36 4.57 4.72 4.85 4.98 5.24 5.36 5.48 5.39 5.14 5.10| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 15. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Region (Continued) | | (Quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Region |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | New England...................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Middle Atlantic...............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06| | East North Central............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06| | West North Central............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | South Atlantic................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07| | East South Central............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | West South Central............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04| | Mountain......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Pacific.......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06| | Total.......................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.35 0.37| | | +| | | All Sectors | +| | | New England...................| 0.45 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.64 0.64| | Middle Atlantic...............| 1.94 1.91 1.95 1.98 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.04 2.06 2.07 2.11 2.14 2.15 2.17 2.19 2.19 2.18 2.19 2.22 2.18 2.17| | East North Central............| 3.26 3.37 3.38 3.47 3.50 3.52 3.55 3.57 3.59 3.60 3.65 3.67 3.69 3.73 3.79 3.87 3.92 4.00 4.08 4.10 4.13| | West North Central............| 1.20 1.24 1.22 1.23 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.31 1.31 1.32 1.34 1.34 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.36 1.38 1.41| | South Atlantic................| 1.46 1.51 1.60 1.65 1.73 1.84 1.93 1.99 2.04 2.09 2.20 2.33 2.39 2.41 2.45 2.66 2.75 2.83 2.80 2.75 2.75| | East South Central............| 0.82 0.85 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00| | West South Central............| 5.04 5.07 5.25 5.34 5.40 5.50 5.58 5.63 5.72 5.81 5.89 5.95 6.01 6.09 6.13 6.22 6.31 6.36 6.32 6.34 6.43| | Mountain......................| 0.98 1.03 0.99 1.10 1.14 1.20 1.18 1.17 1.14 1.14 1.13 1.13 1.14 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.11 1.09 1.09 1.06 1.03| | Pacific.......................| 2.20 2.31 2.39 2.47 2.54 2.62 2.72 2.76 2.79 2.78 2.81 2.91 2.96 3.09 3.17 3.16 3.19 3.23 3.21 3.17 3.17| | Total.......................|17.35 17.80 18.10 18.56 18.91 19.34 19.67 19.87 20.09 20.26 20.62 20.98 21.22 21.53 21.80 22.17 22.41 22.67 22.71 22.62 22.74| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 16. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Region | | (1992 Dollars per Million Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Region |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Residential | +| | | New England...................| 8.16 8.11 8.48 8.71 8.78 9.02 9.12 9.25 9.35 9.40 9.44 9.55 9.77 9.78 9.89 10.22 10.18 10.43 10.80 10.93 11.08| | Middle Atlantic...............| 7.21 6.99 7.44 7.67 7.77 8.00 8.08 8.21 8.29 8.34 8.38 8.48 8.68 8.68 8.78 9.10 9.05 9.28 9.64 9.75 9.89| | East North Central............| 5.38 5.15 5.46 5.80 5.92 6.10 6.24 6.36 6.44 6.47 6.50 6.55 6.63 6.72 6.83 6.99 7.13 7.31 7.47 7.56 7.67| | West North Central............| 5.01 4.72 4.94 5.28 5.41 5.60 5.73 5.85 5.92 5.95 5.97 6.00 6.08 6.17 6.26 6.41 6.53 6.71 6.84 6.92 7.02| | South Atlantic................| 6.96 6.62 7.03 7.25 7.36 7.58 7.68 7.79 7.87 7.92 7.96 8.04 8.23 8.23 8.31 8.61 8.56 8.78 9.12 9.22 9.34| | East South Central............| 5.67 5.54 5.72 6.06 6.19 6.36 6.50 6.61 6.68 6.71 6.74 6.79 6.86 6.94 7.04 7.18 7.31 7.49 7.63 7.70 7.80| | West South Central............| 5.78 5.44 5.63 5.94 6.07 6.22 6.35 6.44 6.50 6.52 6.54 6.58 6.64 6.72 6.80 6.94 7.05 7.21 7.33 7.37 7.49| | Mountain......................| 5.40 5.20 5.15 5.18 5.47 5.49 5.93 6.16 6.22 6.25 6.30 6.35 6.40 6.63 6.73 6.86 6.99 7.15 7.26 7.30 7.42| | Pacific.......................| 5.91 6.09 5.96 6.22 6.22 6.25 6.43 6.66 6.72 6.77 6.88 6.96 7.13 7.28 7.52 7.55 7.69 7.87 7.98 8.04 8.17| | Average.....................| 6.01 5.82 6.06 6.34 6.45 6.61 6.76 6.90 6.97 7.01 7.05 7.12 7.24 7.32 7.44 7.62 7.71 7.90 8.10 8.18 8.30| | | +| | | Commercial | +| | | New England...................| 6.56 6.31 6.78 7.01 7.08 7.32 7.41 7.55 7.64 7.70 7.74 7.85 8.07 8.08 8.19 8.52 8.48 8.73 9.10 9.23 9.38| | Middle Atlantic...............| 5.78 5.50 5.97 6.20 6.31 6.53 6.62 6.74 6.83 6.88 6.92 7.01 7.22 7.22 7.32 7.63 7.58 7.82 8.18 8.29 8.43| | East North Central............| 4.83 4.65 4.93 5.27 5.39 5.57 5.71 5.83 5.91 5.94 5.97 6.02 6.10 6.20 6.30 6.46 6.60 6.79 6.94 7.03 7.14| | West North Central............| 4.12 3.89 4.09 4.42 4.55 4.74 4.87 4.99 5.06 5.09 5.11 5.14 5.23 5.31 5.40 5.55 5.68 5.85 5.99 6.07 6.16| | South Atlantic................| 5.48 5.10 5.52 5.76 5.88 6.09 6.19 6.31 6.39 6.44 6.47 6.55 6.72 6.73 6.82 7.10 7.07 7.29 7.60 7.70 7.82| | East South Central............| 4.95 4.75 4.97 5.30 5.44 5.61 5.75 5.86 5.93 5.96 5.99 6.04 6.11 6.19 6.29 6.43 6.56 6.74 6.87 6.95 7.05| | West South Central............| 4.41 4.11 4.27 4.58 4.71 4.87 4.99 5.09 5.14 5.17 5.18 5.22 5.29 5.36 5.44 5.58 5.70 5.86 5.97 6.01 6.13| | Mountain......................| 4.47 4.32 4.27 4.31 4.58 4.60 5.01 5.24 5.31 5.33 5.39 5.44 5.49 5.72 5.83 5.96 6.09 6.25 6.36 6.41 6.53| | Pacific.......................| 5.08 5.15 5.03 5.35 5.29 5.37 5.56 5.76 5.81 5.86 5.99 6.07 6.22 6.35 6.58 6.61 6.75 6.92 7.03 7.08 7.22| | Average.....................| 5.01 4.81 5.04 5.33 5.43 5.59 5.74 5.88 5.95 5.99 6.04 6.10 6.22 6.30 6.42 6.60 6.68 6.87 7.07 7.15 7.27| | | +| | | Industrial 1/ | +| | | New England...................| 5.36 5.12 5.03 5.28 5.32 5.51 5.60 5.72 5.83 5.90 5.97 6.09 6.28 6.34 6.45 6.71 6.71 6.93 7.23 7.34 7.47| | Middle Atlantic...............| 4.59 4.42 4.37 4.65 4.71 4.89 4.98 5.09 5.18 5.25 5.32 5.43 5.61 5.65 5.75 6.00 5.99 6.20 6.49 6.58 6.71| | East North Central............| 4.07 3.85 3.84 4.09 4.17 4.30 4.39 4.50 4.59 4.64 4.69 4.77 4.87 4.98 5.10 5.23 5.35 5.51 5.63 5.71 5.81| | West North Central............| 3.31 3.03 2.96 3.37 3.46 3.58 3.69 3.79 3.88 3.93 3.97 4.04 4.13 4.23 4.34 4.46 4.57 4.72 4.84 4.92 5.00| | South Atlantic................| 3.84 3.61 3.63 3.87 3.94 4.10 4.18 4.28 4.38 4.44 4.50 4.60 4.75 4.80 4.90 5.11 5.11 5.29 5.53 5.62 5.73| | East South Central............| 3.42 3.09 3.15 3.38 3.47 3.58 3.69 3.79 3.87 3.92 3.98 4.06 4.15 4.25 4.35 4.47 4.58 4.72 4.84 4.92 5.01| | West South Central............| 2.78 2.42 2.38 2.62 2.69 2.79 2.89 2.98 3.06 3.11 3.16 3.25 3.33 3.42 3.52 3.63 3.73 3.86 3.97 4.03 4.12| | Mountain......................| 3.35 3.12 2.94 2.99 3.08 3.09 3.28 3.43 3.50 3.54 3.62 3.67 3.77 3.93 4.03 4.15 4.32 4.46 4.56 4.64 4.76| | Pacific.......................| 4.15 4.02 3.24 3.22 3.14 3.21 3.26 3.36 3.41 3.47 3.54 3.62 3.73 3.84 4.01 4.07 4.25 4.40 4.52 4.62 4.75| | Average.....................| 3.46 3.20 3.07 3.29 3.35 3.46 3.56 3.66 3.74 3.79 3.85 3.93 4.03 4.13 4.24 4.37 4.47 4.61 4.75 4.83 4.93| | | +| | | Electric Utilities 2/ | +| | | New England...................| 2.61 2.36 3.47 3.57 3.52 3.56 3.54 3.54 3.63 3.69 3.73 3.84 4.01 4.05 4.15 4.41 4.38 4.53 4.80 4.99 5.13| | Middle Atlantic...............| 2.51 2.40 2.05 2.26 2.58 2.76 2.90 2.95 3.02 3.11 3.18 3.29 3.44 3.47 3.56 3.78 3.80 4.03 4.23 4.36 4.47| | East North Central............| 1.92 1.80 2.46 2.51 2.54 2.67 2.70 2.74 2.75 2.84 2.86 2.92 2.89 2.96 3.11 3.31 3.47 3.66 3.83 3.93 4.03| | West North Central............| 1.95 1.90 2.19 2.63 2.77 2.78 2.81 2.82 2.89 2.94 2.92 2.96 3.02 3.09 3.18 3.31 3.42 3.59 3.71 3.79 3.89| | South Atlantic................| 2.65 2.31 2.57 2.81 2.94 3.06 3.05 3.02 3.10 3.18 3.24 3.37 3.50 3.57 3.68 3.89 3.95 4.12 4.30 4.37 4.47| | East South Central............| 1.93 1.77 2.07 2.62 2.66 2.73 2.78 2.79 2.87 2.92 2.93 3.00 3.07 3.14 3.27 3.53 3.69 3.87 4.00 4.08 4.18| | West South Central............| 2.26 2.14 1.95 2.20 2.26 2.39 2.47 2.46 2.56 2.59 2.63 2.71 2.81 2.88 2.97 3.08 3.17 3.32 3.44 3.49 3.62| | Mountain......................| 2.25 1.99 1.79 1.81 1.84 1.81 2.00 2.23 2.32 2.36 2.44 2.51 2.58 2.86 3.01 3.18 3.34 3.52 3.64 3.72 3.90| | Pacific.......................| 3.11 2.87 2.60 2.98 2.80 2.79 2.85 2.93 2.98 3.05 3.17 3.34 3.46 3.55 3.70 3.77 3.88 4.02 4.12 4.17 4.28| | Average.....................| 2.43 2.26 2.19 2.44 2.48 2.57 2.66 2.70 2.79 2.84 2.92 3.04 3.16 3.25 3.36 3.51 3.60 3.77 3.91 3.97 4.08| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 16. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Region (Continued) | | (1992 Dollars per Million Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Region |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | New England...................| 3.98 3.77 5.09 6.07 7.15 8.46 9.79 9.86 10.12 10.18 10.46 10.67 10.80 10.95 11.18 11.30 11.35 11.56 11.74 11.95 11.98| | Middle Atlantic...............| 4.94 4.72 5.76 6.49 7.33 8.37 9.43 9.50 9.75 9.82 10.09 10.30 10.42 10.57 10.79 10.91 10.96 11.17 11.35 11.55 11.58| | East North Central............| 3.20 3.60 4.66 5.63 6.65 7.65 8.94 9.05 9.24 9.36 9.59 9.82 9.94 10.10 10.33 10.43 10.50 10.71 10.86 11.05 11.08| | West North Central............| 5.83 3.67 4.65 5.71 6.76 7.76 8.71 8.83 9.05 9.16 9.40 9.59 9.72 9.88 10.10 10.20 10.27 10.46 10.60 10.77 10.80| | South Atlantic................| 4.61 4.70 5.49 6.27 7.04 7.83 8.77 8.86 9.11 9.16 9.44 9.64 9.77 9.93 10.15 10.26 10.32 10.53 10.68 10.87 10.90| | East South Central............| 2.30 4.09 5.00 5.95 6.91 7.81 8.89 8.96 9.15 9.24 9.48 9.68 9.81 9.97 10.19 10.30 10.36 10.56 10.71 10.89 10.92| | West South Central............| 3.30 3.86 4.78 5.78 6.80 7.84 8.92 9.01 9.20 9.28 9.53 9.73 9.85 10.01 10.24 10.34 10.40 10.60 10.75 10.93 10.96| | Mountain......................| 3.91 4.04 4.71 5.59 6.70 7.70 8.85 8.94 9.11 9.20 9.41 9.63 9.77 9.94 10.16 10.28 10.32 10.52 10.61 10.83 10.82| | Pacific.......................| 4.23 4.25 5.20 6.19 6.60 7.54 8.71 8.88 9.00 9.33 9.30 9.58 9.72 9.84 10.21 10.24 10.34 10.48 10.58 10.70 10.82| | Average.....................| 4.12 4.17 5.13 6.03 6.89 7.86 8.97 9.07 9.28 9.40 9.61 9.83 9.96 10.11 10.36 10.45 10.52 10.71 10.86 11.04 11.08| | | +| | | All Sectors | +| | | New England...................| 6.16 5.85 6.23 6.46 6.48 6.61 6.68 6.78 6.88 6.93 6.99 7.10 7.30 7.33 7.45 7.76 7.73 7.90 8.22 8.42 8.58| | Middle Atlantic...............| 5.61 5.57 5.78 6.02 6.12 6.30 6.39 6.47 6.55 6.58 6.58 6.63 6.80 6.80 6.88 7.16 7.18 7.40 7.67 7.85 8.00| | East North Central............| 4.77 4.55 4.75 5.06 5.17 5.32 5.44 5.55 5.63 5.66 5.68 5.74 5.82 5.90 5.97 6.08 6.18 6.31 6.42 6.50 6.60| | West North Central............| 4.01 3.77 3.95 4.34 4.47 4.61 4.72 4.82 4.89 4.93 4.93 4.98 5.05 5.12 5.23 5.36 5.49 5.66 5.78 5.84 5.91| | South Atlantic................| 4.66 4.33 4.51 4.75 4.80 4.90 4.91 4.95 5.03 5.08 5.06 5.09 5.22 5.28 5.39 5.51 5.51 5.68 5.96 6.11 6.24| | East South Central............| 3.99 3.74 4.06 4.34 4.44 4.56 4.65 4.72 4.78 4.82 4.81 4.85 4.92 5.01 5.12 5.29 5.43 5.60 5.74 5.83 5.93| | West South Central............| 2.96 2.67 2.61 2.86 2.94 3.05 3.15 3.21 3.28 3.32 3.37 3.44 3.53 3.61 3.71 3.82 3.91 4.06 4.18 4.24 4.35| | Mountain......................| 3.72 3.49 3.45 3.38 3.49 3.44 3.75 3.99 4.10 4.16 4.24 4.32 4.37 4.62 4.75 4.90 5.08 5.27 5.41 5.53 5.73| | Pacific.......................| 4.60 4.54 4.13 4.30 4.19 4.20 4.28 4.40 4.46 4.53 4.62 4.70 4.82 4.90 5.06 5.14 5.28 5.44 5.58 5.69 5.83| | Average.....................| 4.19 3.99 4.02 4.27 4.33 4.43 4.53 4.62 4.69 4.74 4.77 4.84 4.94 5.01 5.12 5.26 5.34 5.51 5.68 5.78 5.89| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 17. Residential Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption | | (Quadrillion BTU per year, Unless otherwise noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Key Indicators and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Household Characteristics | +| | | | +| | | Households (millions) | +| | | Single-Family.................|64.36 64.88 65.60 66.40 67.21 68.01 68.81 69.55 70.25 70.94 71.64 72.33 73.00 73.69 74.38 75.09 75.82 76.61 77.35 78.04 78.70| | Multifamily...................|24.42 24.34 24.27 24.22 24.22 24.25 24.32 24.39 24.47 24.58 24.72 24.86 25.01 25.15 25.29 25.43 25.59 25.78 25.98 26.18 26.37| | Mobile Homes..................| 5.21 5.18 5.19 5.21 5.23 5.25 5.26 5.27 5.28 5.29 5.31 5.32 5.34 5.36 5.37 5.38 5.39 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.39| | Total.......................|93.99 94.41 95.06 95.83 96.66 97.50 98.39 99.2 100.0 100.8 101.7 102.5 103.3 104.2 105.0 105.9 106.8 107.8 108.7 109.6 110.5| | | +| | | Housing Starts (millions) | +| | | Single-Family.................| 0.90 0.84 1.04 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.08 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.03 1.05 1.06 1.08 1.11 1.16 1.12 1.08 1.04| | Multifamily...................| 0.30 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.24 0.27 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.35 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46| | Mobile Homes..................| 0.19 0.17 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21| | Total.......................| 1.39 1.19 1.42 1.55 1.61 1.63 1.67 1.62 1.59 1.62 1.66 1.66 1.65 1.66 1.68 1.69 1.74 1.83 1.80 1.75 1.71| | | +| | | Energy Intensity | +| | | (million Btu / household) | +| | | Heating........................|54.59 56.79 58.45 60.36 60.20 59.38 58.74 58.13 57.66 57.06 56.55 56.06 55.50 55.01 54.46 53.91 53.37 52.70 52.10 51.61 51.19| | Total..........................|102.2 104.7 105.8 107.6 107.2 106.2 105.4 104.7 104.0 103.1 102.4 101.7 100.9 100.2 99.5 98.82 98.21 97.49 96.82 96.32 95.93| | | +| | | Fuel Consumption | +| | | | +| | | Distillate | +| | | Space Heating.................| 0.75 0.79 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.80| | Water Heating.................| 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07| | Other Uses 1/.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.......................| 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87| | | +| | | Liquefied Petroleum Gas | +| | | Space Heating.................| 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22| | Water Heating.................| 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07| | Cooking 2/....................| 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04| | Other Uses....................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01| | Total 1/....................| 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33| | | +| | | Natural Gas | +| | | Space Heating.................| 3.12 3.30 3.41 3.57 3.60 3.58 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.55 3.54 3.53 3.52 3.51 3.50 3.49 3.48 3.49| | Space Cooling.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01| | Water Heating.................| 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.15 1.16| | Cooking 2/....................| 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21| | Clothes Dryers................| 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06| | Other Uses 3/.................| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07| | Total.......................| 4.52 4.70 4.82 4.98 5.02 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.99 5.00 5.00 4.99 4.98 4.98 4.97 4.98 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.99| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 17. Residential Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption (Continued) | | (Quadrillion BTU per year, Unless otherwise noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Key Indicators and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Electricity | +| | | Space Heating.................| 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41| | Space Cooling.................| 0.52 0.56 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.54| | Water Heating.................| 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35| | Refrigeration.................| 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.33| | Cooking.......................| 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18| | Clothes Dryers................| 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18| | Freezers......................| 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07| | Lighting......................| 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34| | Other Uses 4/.................| 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.95 0.98 1.01 1.04 1.07 1.10 1.13 1.16 1.20 1.23| | Total.......................| 3.15 3.22 3.20 3.25 3.27 3.29 3.31 3.34 3.36 3.37 3.39 3.42 3.43 3.45 3.47 3.49 3.52 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.63| | | +| | | Renewables | +| | | Wood 5/.......................| 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63| | Geothermal 6/.................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Solar 7/......................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01| | Total.......................| 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66| | | +| | | Other Fuels 8/..................| 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11| | | +| | | Total Fuels | +| | | Space Heating.................| 5.13 5.36 5.56 5.78 5.82 5.79 5.78 5.77 5.77 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.74 5.73 5.72 5.71 5.70 5.68 5.67 5.66 5.66| | Space Cooling.................| 0.52 0.56 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.56| | Water Heating.................| 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.61 1.62 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.66 1.67| | Cooking.......................| 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42| | Clothes Dryers................| 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24| | Other Uses....................| 1.73 1.74 1.76 1.77 1.78 1.80 1.81 1.83 1.84 1.86 1.87 1.89 1.90 1.92 1.93 1.95 1.97 1.99 2.01 2.03 2.05| | Total.......................| 9.61 9.89 10.06 10.31 10.36 10.36 10.37 10.38 10.40 10.40 10.41 10.43 10.43 10.44 10.45 10.46 10.49 10.51 10.53 10.56 10.60| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 18. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption | | (Quadrillion BTU per year, Unless otherwise noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Key Indicators and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | | +| | | Key Indicators | +| | | | +| | | Total Employment (millions).....|109.8 108.3 108.4 109.6 112.2 114.9 117.2 119.3 121.0 122.7 124.5 126.2 127.8 129.6 131.3 132.8 134.2 135.8 137.2 138.4 139.6| | | +| | | Total Floorspace (bill. sq. ft.)| +| | | Surviving.....................| 62.7 63.8 64.7 65.6 66.4 67.3 68.1 68.9 69.7 70.4 71.0 71.6 72.2 72.8 73.4 74.0 74.6 75.1 75.7 76.3 77.0| | New Additions.................| 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6| | Total.......................| 64.3 65.2 66.1 67.0 67.9 68.8 69.6 70.4 71.1 71.8 72.4 73.0 73.7 74.2 74.8 75.4 76.0 76.6 77.3 77.9 78.6| | | +| | | Energy Consumption Intensity | +| | | (thousand Btu/sq. ft.)........|102.3 102.5 102.1 101.7 101.1 100.8 100.6 100.4 100.2 99.8 99.7 99.5 99.3 99.1 98.6 98.3 98.0 97.5 97.1 96.4 96.0| | | +| | | End-Use Consumption | +| | | | +| | | Electricity | +| | | Space Heating.................| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04| | Space Cooling.................| 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26| | Lighting......................| 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.21 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19| | Water Heating.................| 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06| | Office Equipment..............| 0.39 0.43 0.46 0.50 0.52 0.57 0.62 0.66 0.71 0.73 0.78 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00 0.99 1.01| | Other Uses 1/.................| 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96| | Total Electricity...........| 2.86 2.91 2.96 3.00 3.03 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.26 3.30 3.34 3.38 3.41 3.42 3.44 3.47 3.48 3.50 3.49 3.51| | | +| | | Natural Gas | +| | | Space Heating.................| 1.36 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.37 1.36 1.35 1.35 1.34 1.33 1.33 1.32 1.32 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28| | Space Cooling.................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Water Heating.................| 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37| | Other Uses 2/.................| 0.96 0.98 1.00 1.01 1.03 1.05 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.12 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.26 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34| | Total Natural Gas...........| 2.70 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.86 2.87 2.88 2.89 2.90 2.92 2.93 2.94 2.95 2.96 2.98 2.99 3.01| | | +| | | Distillate | +| | | Space Heating.................| 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32| | Water Heating.................| 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02| | Other Uses 2/.................| 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15| | Total Distillate............| 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49| | | +| | | Other Fuels 3/..................| 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49| | | +| | | Renewables 4/...................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | | +| | | Total Consumption.................| 6.57 6.68 6.75 6.82 6.87 6.94 7.00 7.06 7.13 7.16 7.22 7.27 7.32 7.36 7.38 7.41 7.45 7.47 7.50 7.51 7.55| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 19. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption | | (Quadrillion Btu per year, Unless otherwise noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Key Indicators and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Key Indicators | +| | | | +| | | Value of Gross Output (bill.87$)| +| | | Manufacturing.................| 2536 2465 2552 2662 2749 2803 2863 2947 3019 3099 3186 3260 3340 3440 3535 3616 3696 3794 3886 3976 4076| | Nonmanufacturing..............| 883 847 875 912 960 991 1010 1012 1017 1035 1061 1080 1098 1120 1139 1158 1177 1204 1221 1232 1246| | Total.......................| 3419 3312 3427 3574 3709 3794 3873 3960 4036 4134 4247 4340 4439 4560 4674 4774 4874 4998 5107 5208 5322| | | +| | | Energy Prices (1992$ / mmBtu) | +| | | Electricity...................|15.22 14.95 14.87 14.82 14.80 14.84 14.82 14.82 14.84 14.92 15.03 15.15 15.19 15.30 15.31 15.32 15.42 15.50 15.62 15.75 16.11| | Natural Gas...................| 3.46 3.20 3.07 3.29 3.35 3.46 3.56 3.66 3.74 3.79 3.85 3.93 4.03 4.13 4.24 4.37 4.47 4.61 4.75 4.83 4.93| | Steam Coal....................| 1.64 1.61 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.66 1.64 1.65 1.71 1.70 1.74 1.73 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.92 1.91| | Residual Oil..................| 3.30 2.70 2.54 2.81 2.79 2.95 3.06 3.17 3.30 3.40 3.54 3.70 3.85 4.03 4.18 4.28 4.38 4.54 4.68 4.71 4.80| | Distillate Oil................| 6.02 5.18 4.88 4.75 4.57 4.60 4.68 4.79 4.92 5.06 5.20 5.40 5.55 5.72 5.90 6.00 6.11 6.26 6.39 6.53 6.65| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 5.84 5.74 4.95 5.40 5.39 5.39 5.58 5.70 6.01 6.15 6.41 6.71 6.93 7.20 7.42 7.61 7.83 8.06 8.24 8.49 8.67| | Motor Gasoline................|10.01 9.39 9.07 8.69 9.04 9.27 9.62 9.73 9.94 10.07 10.30 10.53 10.67 10.83 11.09 11.18 11.24 11.44 11.58 11.77 11.80| | Metallurgical Coal............| 1.87 1.84 1.80 1.79 1.85 2.02 2.09 2.06 2.04 2.08 2.08 2.14 2.17 2.20 2.23 2.25 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.22 2.20| | | +| | | Energy Consumption | +| | | | +| | | Consumption (quad. Btu/ year) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity.........| 3.23 3.23 3.27 3.39 3.50 3.55 3.58 3.65 3.70 3.77 3.84 3.90 3.96 4.05 4.13 4.18 4.24 4.32 4.38 4.44 4.50| | Natural Gas...................| 8.53 8.66 8.71 8.76 8.90 9.05 9.17 9.19 9.29 9.43 9.61 9.75 9.84 10.00 10.11 10.20 10.28 10.39 10.48 10.57 10.69| | Steam Coal....................| 1.71 1.69 1.60 1.70 1.73 1.78 1.79 1.82 1.85 1.95 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.04 2.08 2.11 2.13 2.17 2.20 2.21 2.24| | Metallurgical Coal and Coke...| 1.05 0.91 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.86 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.78 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.71 0.69 0.67 0.65 0.64 0.62 0.61 0.59| | Residual Fuel.................| 0.42 0.34 0.37 0.50 0.54 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45| | Distillate....................| 1.18 1.14 1.19 1.21 1.25 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.53 1.55 1.56| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 1.61 1.75 1.71 1.73 1.77 1.81 1.84 1.88 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.03 2.06 2.12 2.17 2.20 2.23 2.28 2.32 2.36 2.40| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.15 1.18 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.35 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.59| | Other Petroleum 2/............| 4.00 3.71 3.67 4.19 4.26 4.39 4.52 4.53 4.54 4.54 4.61 4.60 4.61 4.64 4.66 4.68 4.73 4.78 4.79 4.82 4.81| | Renewables....................| 1.96 1.93 1.99 2.06 2.13 2.18 2.23 2.28 2.31 2.35 2.40 2.44 2.48 2.53 2.58 2.62 2.66 2.72 2.76 2.80 2.84| | Total.......................|24.78 24.48 24.57 25.60 26.16 26.56 26.95 27.21 27.45 27.88 28.27 28.58 28.90 29.34 29.74 30.02 30.34 30.74 31.07 31.36 31.68| | | +| | | Consumption per Unit of Output | +| | | (thousand Btu per 1987 dollar)| +| | | Purchased Electricity.........| 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.85| | Natural Gas 3/................| 2.49 2.61 2.54 2.45 2.40 2.39 2.37 2.32 2.30 2.28 2.26 2.25 2.22 2.19 2.16 2.14 2.11 2.08 2.05 2.03 2.01| | Steam Coal....................| 0.50 0.51 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42| | Metallurgical Coal and Coke 4/| 0.31 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11| | Residual Fuel.................| 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08| | Distillate....................| 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.......| 0.47 0.53 0.50 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45| | Petrochemical Feedstocks......| 0.32 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30| | Other Petroleum...............| 1.17 1.12 1.07 1.17 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.12 1.10 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.02 1.00 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.90| | Renewables....................| 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.53| | Total.......................| 7.25 7.39 7.17 7.16 7.05 7.00 6.96 6.87 6.80 6.74 6.66 6.59 6.51 6.43 6.36 6.29 6.22 6.15 6.08 6.02 5.95| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 20. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Key Indicators and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Key Indicators | +| | | Level of Travel Index (1990= 1.0)| +| | | Light-Duty Vehicles.............| 1.00 0.99 1.01 1.03 1.05 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.13 1.15 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.26 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.38| | Freight Trucks..................| 1.00 1.06 1.09 1.14 1.19 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28 1.31 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.42 1.44 1.47 1.50 1.53 1.56 1.58 1.61| | Air.............................| 1.00 1.02 1.07 1.12 1.18 1.23 1.27 1.31 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.49 1.53 1.58 1.62 1.67 1.71 1.76 1.80 1.84 1.89| | Rail............................| 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.15 1.16 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34| | Marine..........................| 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.19 1.20| | | +| | | Energy Efficiency Indicators | +| | | New Car MPG 1/...................|28.20 28.46 28.05 27.43 27.86 28.17 28.67 28.80 29.06 29.23 29.50 29.79 29.96 30.17 30.49 30.60 30.69 30.94 31.12 31.35 31.41| | New Light Truck MPG 1/...........|20.91 21.60 20.98 20.60 21.01 21.30 21.69 21.81 22.03 22.18 22.41 22.64 22.79 22.97 23.25 23.38 23.49 23.71 23.87 24.08 24.16| | Light-Duty Fleet MPG 2/..........|18.90 19.10 19.26 19.34 19.49 19.58 19.76 19.87 19.98 20.11 20.21 20.34 20.46 20.60 20.76 20.90 21.04 21.20 21.35 21.50 21.63| | Aircraft Efficiency Index........| 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.14| | Freight Truck Efficiency Index...| 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18| | Rail Efficiency Index............| 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.07| | Domestic Shipping Efficien. Index| 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02| | | +| | | Energy Use by Mode (quad. Btu /yr)| +| | | Light-Duty Vehicles 3/...........|12.74 12.67 12.81 13.06 13.26 13.47 13.60 13.77 13.94 14.11 14.30 14.44 14.59 14.74 14.87 15.03 15.18 15.29 15.41 15.52 15.64| | Freight Trucks 3/................| 5.22 5.54 5.70 5.92 6.12 6.24 6.30 6.35 6.39 6.49 6.60 6.68 6.78 6.89 6.98 7.08 7.19 7.32 7.41 7.47 7.58| | Air..............................| 3.17 3.23 3.27 3.31 3.37 3.39 3.44 3.52 3.60 3.67 3.76 3.83 3.91 3.98 4.06 4.13 4.21 4.28 4.35 4.41 4.48| | Rail.............................| 0.51 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.63| | Marine...........................| 1.53 1.54 1.59 1.63 1.67 1.70 1.74 1.77 1.81 1.84 1.88 1.92 1.96 2.01 2.04 2.08 2.11 2.15 2.19 2.23 2.26| | Pipeline Fuel....................| 0.68 0.62 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73| | Other 4/.........................| 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19| | Total 5/........................|22.56 22.73 23.14 23.62 24.08 24.45 24.72 25.06 25.38 25.74 26.16 26.49 26.85 27.23 27.55 27.91 28.26 28.61 28.92 29.18 29.50| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 21. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries | | (quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Residential | +| | | Distillate Fuel.................| 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87| | Kerosene........................| 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33| | Petroleum Subtotal............| 1.27 1.31 1.35 1.38 1.38 1.36 1.35 1.34 1.33 1.33 1.32 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.27 1.27 1.26| | Natural Gas.....................| 4.52 4.70 4.82 4.98 5.02 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.99 5.00 5.00 4.99 4.98 4.98 4.97 4.98 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.99| | Coal............................| 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05| | Primary Energy Subtotal.......| 5.85 6.06 6.23 6.42 6.45 6.42 6.41 6.40 6.39 6.37 6.37 6.36 6.34 6.34 6.32 6.31 6.31 6.30 6.30 6.30 6.30| | Electricity.....................| 3.15 3.22 3.20 3.25 3.27 3.29 3.31 3.34 3.36 3.37 3.39 3.42 3.43 3.45 3.47 3.49 3.52 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.63| | Net Consumption--MER Basis....| 9.00 9.28 9.43 9.66 9.72 9.71 9.72 9.74 9.75 9.75 9.76 9.78 9.78 9.79 9.79 9.81 9.83 9.85 9.87 9.90 9.93| | Electrical System Losses........| 7.04 7.16 7.13 7.26 7.31 7.38 7.44 7.49 7.53 7.53 7.57 7.61 7.65 7.69 7.74 7.76 7.79 7.82 7.87 7.89 7.95| | Total Consumption, excl. Renew|16.04 16.44 16.56 16.92 17.03 17.09 17.16 17.22 17.27 17.28 17.33 17.38 17.42 17.47 17.53 17.56 17.61 17.67 17.73 17.79 17.89| | Renewable Energy 1/.............| 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66| | Net Consumption, incl. Renew..| 9.61 9.89 10.06 10.31 10.36 10.36 10.37 10.38 10.40 10.40 10.41 10.43 10.43 10.44 10.45 10.46 10.49 10.51 10.53 10.56 10.60| | Total Consumption, incl. Renew|16.65 17.05 17.19 17.56 17.67 17.74 17.81 17.87 17.92 17.93 17.98 18.03 18.08 18.13 18.19 18.22 18.27 18.33 18.40 18.45 18.55| | Commercial | +| | | Distillate Fuel.................| 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49| | Kerosene........................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01| | Motor Gasoline 2/...............| 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11| | Residual Fuel...................| 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07| | Petroleum Subtotal............| 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.90| | Natural Gas.....................| 2.70 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.86 2.87 2.88 2.89 2.90 2.92 2.93 2.94 2.95 2.96 2.98 2.99 3.01| | Coal............................| 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09| | Primary Energy Subtotal.......| 3.70 3.76 3.78 3.80 3.82 3.83 3.85 3.86 3.87 3.88 3.89 3.90 3.91 3.92 3.93 3.94 3.95 3.96 3.97 3.98 4.00| | Electricity, Purchased..........| 2.86 2.91 2.96 3.00 3.03 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.26 3.30 3.34 3.38 3.41 3.42 3.44 3.47 3.48 3.50 3.49 3.51| | Net Consumption--MER Basis....| 6.56 6.67 6.73 6.80 6.85 6.92 6.99 7.04 7.10 7.14 7.19 7.24 7.29 7.33 7.35 7.38 7.42 7.44 7.47 7.48 7.51| | Electrical System Losses........| 6.39 6.49 6.58 6.71 6.78 6.93 7.05 7.15 7.26 7.27 7.36 7.43 7.51 7.59 7.62 7.65 7.67 7.68 7.72 7.66 7.69| | Total Consumption, excl. Renew|12.95 13.16 13.32 13.51 13.64 13.85 14.04 14.20 14.36 14.40 14.55 14.67 14.80 14.92 14.97 15.03 15.09 15.12 15.18 15.14 15.20| | Renewables, End-Use.............| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Renewables, Electricity Gener...| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Renewable Energy Subtotal.....| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Net Consumption, incl. Renew..| 6.57 6.68 6.75 6.82 6.87 6.94 7.00 7.06 7.13 7.16 7.22 7.27 7.32 7.36 7.38 7.41 7.45 7.47 7.50 7.51 7.55| | Total Consumption, incl. Renew|12.96 13.17 13.33 13.53 13.65 13.87 14.05 14.22 14.38 14.43 14.58 14.69 14.83 14.95 15.00 15.06 15.12 15.15 15.22 15.17 15.24| | Residential and Commercial Summary| +| | | Petroleum.......................| 2.17 2.22 2.26 2.29 2.29 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.26 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.23 2.22 2.21 2.20 2.20 2.18 2.18 2.17 2.16| | Natural Gas.....................| 7.22 7.45 7.60 7.78 7.83 7.83 7.84 7.85 7.86 7.86 7.87 7.89 7.89 7.90 7.91 7.91 7.93 7.94 7.95 7.98 8.01| | Coal............................| 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13| | Primary Energy Subtotal.......| 9.54 9.82 10.00 10.21 10.27 10.25 10.26 10.25 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.25 10.25 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.28 10.30| | Electricity, Purchased..........| 6.01 6.13 6.16 6.25 6.30 6.38 6.46 6.53 6.59 6.63 6.69 6.75 6.81 6.86 6.89 6.94 6.98 7.03 7.07 7.10 7.15| | Net Consumption--MER Basis....|15.56 15.95 16.16 16.47 16.57 16.63 16.71 16.78 16.85 16.89 16.95 17.01 17.07 17.12 17.14 17.19 17.25 17.29 17.33 17.37 17.45| | Electrical System Losses........|13.43 13.65 13.71 13.97 14.09 14.31 14.49 14.64 14.78 14.80 14.93 15.03 15.16 15.27 15.36 15.40 15.46 15.50 15.59 15.56 15.64| | Total Consumption, excl. Renew|28.99 29.60 29.88 30.44 30.66 30.94 31.20 31.42 31.64 31.68 31.88 32.05 32.23 32.39 32.51 32.59 32.70 32.79 32.92 32.93 33.09| | Renewable Energy 1/.............| 0.62 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70| | Net Consumption, incl. Renew..|16.18 16.57 16.81 17.12 17.23 17.29 17.38 17.45 17.52 17.56 17.63 17.69 17.75 17.80 17.83 17.88 17.94 17.98 18.03 18.07 18.14| | Total Consumption, incl. Renew|29.61 30.22 30.52 31.09 31.32 31.60 31.86 32.09 32.31 32.36 32.56 32.73 32.91 33.08 33.19 33.28 33.39 33.48 33.61 33.62 33.78| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 21. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries (Continued) | | (quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industrial | +| | | Distillate Fuel.................| 1.18 1.14 1.19 1.21 1.25 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.53 1.55 1.56| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 1.61 1.75 1.71 1.73 1.77 1.81 1.84 1.88 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.03 2.06 2.12 2.17 2.20 2.23 2.28 2.32 2.36 2.40| | Motor Gasoline 2/...............| 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26| | Petrochemical Feedstocks........| 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.15 1.18 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.35 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.59| | Residual Fuel...................| 0.42 0.34 0.37 0.50 0.54 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45| | Other Petroleum 4/..............| 3.82 3.52 3.47 3.99 4.06 4.17 4.30 4.32 4.32 4.32 4.38 4.37 4.38 4.40 4.42 4.43 4.48 4.52 4.53 4.56 4.55| | Petroleum Subtotal............| 8.31 8.06 8.06 8.80 9.01 9.14 9.34 9.45 9.51 9.60 9.75 9.80 9.90 10.02 10.15 10.24 10.38 10.52 10.62 10.74 10.82| | Natural Gas 5/..................| 8.53 8.66 8.71 8.76 8.90 9.05 9.17 9.19 9.29 9.43 9.61 9.75 9.84 10.00 10.11 10.20 10.28 10.39 10.48 10.57 10.69| | Metallurgical Coal..............| 1.04 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.88 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.74 0.72 0.71 0.69 0.67 0.65 0.63 0.62 0.60 0.59 0.57| | Steam Coal 6/...................| 1.71 1.69 1.60 1.70 1.73 1.78 1.79 1.82 1.85 1.95 1.91 1.95 1.99 2.04 2.08 2.11 2.13 2.17 2.20 2.21 2.24| | Coal Subtotal.................| 2.75 2.60 2.53 2.60 2.61 2.64 2.62 2.63 2.64 2.72 2.65 2.67 2.70 2.72 2.75 2.76 2.76 2.79 2.81 2.80 2.82| | Hydroelectric Power.............| 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Net Imports of Coal Coke........| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Primary Energy Subtotal.......|19.63 19.36 19.34 20.19 20.56 20.87 21.17 21.31 21.48 21.79 22.06 22.28 22.49 22.79 23.07 23.25 23.47 23.74 23.96 24.16 24.38| | Electricity, Purchased..........| 3.23 3.23 3.27 3.39 3.50 3.55 3.58 3.65 3.70 3.77 3.84 3.90 3.96 4.05 4.13 4.18 4.24 4.32 4.38 4.44 4.50| | Net Consumption--MER Basis....|22.85 22.59 22.61 23.57 24.06 24.42 24.76 24.96 25.18 25.56 25.90 26.18 26.45 26.84 27.19 27.44 27.71 28.06 28.35 28.59 28.88| | Electrical System Losses........| 7.20 7.19 7.29 7.57 7.82 7.96 8.04 8.19 8.30 8.41 8.57 8.69 8.82 9.01 9.20 9.29 9.39 9.52 9.66 9.73 9.84| | Total Consumption, excluding | +| | | Non-Hydro Renewables........|30.06 29.78 29.90 31.15 31.89 32.37 32.80 33.15 33.48 33.97 34.47 34.86 35.27 35.85 36.39 36.73 37.10 37.58 38.00 38.32 38.72| | Renewables, End-Use.............| 1.18 1.16 1.20 1.25 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.42 1.44 1.48 1.51 1.53 1.57 1.60 1.63 1.66 1.69 1.72 1.74 1.77| | Renewables, Hydroelectric Power.| 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Renewables, Other Electricity...| 0.78 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.05 1.07| | Renewable Energy Subtotal.....| 1.99 1.96 2.02 2.09 2.16 2.21 2.26 2.31 2.34 2.38 2.43 2.47 2.51 2.56 2.61 2.65 2.69 2.75 2.79 2.83 2.87| | Net Consumption, incl. Renew. |24.82 24.52 24.60 25.64 26.19 26.59 26.99 27.24 27.49 27.91 28.30 28.62 28.93 29.37 29.77 30.05 30.37 30.78 31.11 31.39 31.72| | Total Consumption, incl. Renew|32.02 31.71 31.88 33.21 34.01 34.55 35.03 35.43 35.79 36.32 36.87 37.30 37.75 38.38 38.97 39.35 39.76 40.29 40.76 41.12 41.56| | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Distillate Fuel.................| 3.83 4.03 4.15 4.29 4.44 4.53 4.58 4.64 4.69 4.77 4.87 4.95 5.03 5.14 5.23 5.32 5.42 5.54 5.64 5.71 5.82| | Jet Fuel........................| 3.13 3.18 3.23 3.27 3.33 3.35 3.40 3.48 3.56 3.63 3.72 3.79 3.87 3.94 4.01 4.08 4.16 4.24 4.31 4.37 4.44| | Motor Gasoline 2/...............|13.58 13.55 13.71 13.98 14.17 14.37 14.46 14.59 14.72 14.86 15.03 15.15 15.26 15.36 15.42 15.50 15.57 15.61 15.66 15.70 15.76| | Residual Fuel...................| 1.03 1.04 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.17 1.20 1.23 1.26 1.29 1.32 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.46 1.49 1.51 1.55 1.58 1.61 1.64| | Other Petroleum 7/..............| 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.43 0.44| | Petroleum Subtotal............|21.81 22.04 22.40 22.88 23.32 23.66 23.90 24.21 24.51 24.84 25.23 25.53 25.86 26.18 26.45 26.75 27.05 27.34 27.60 27.82 28.10| | Natural Gas.....................| 0.68 0.62 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73| | Primary Energy Subtotal.......|22.49 22.66 23.07 23.55 23.99 24.33 24.57 24.89 25.18 25.52 25.92 26.23 26.57 26.90 27.17 27.47 27.77 28.07 28.33 28.55 28.82| | Electricity.....................| 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19| | Net Consumption--MER Basis....|22.55 22.72 23.13 23.61 24.05 24.40 24.64 24.96 25.26 25.60 26.00 26.32 26.66 27.01 27.29 27.60 27.91 28.22 28.50 28.73 29.02| | Electrical System Losses........| 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.37 0.40 0.42| | Total Consumption, excluding | +| | | Alcohols & Liquid Hydrogen|22.69 22.85 23.27 23.75 24.20 24.55 24.80 25.13 25.43 25.78 26.19 26.52 26.88 27.25 27.56 27.90 28.24 28.57 28.87 29.12 29.43| | Liquid Hydrogen.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Methanol........................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06| | Ethanol.........................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06| | Compressed Natural Gas..........| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.35 0.37| | Net Consumption, including | +| | | Alcohol Fuels.............|22.56 22.73 23.14 23.62 24.08 24.45 24.72 25.06 25.38 25.74 26.16 26.49 26.85 27.23 27.55 27.91 28.26 28.61 28.92 29.18 29.50| | Total Consumption, including | +| | | Alcohol Fuels.............|22.69 22.86 23.27 23.75 24.22 24.60 24.87 25.23 25.55 25.92 26.35 26.69 27.07 27.47 27.82 28.20 28.58 28.96 29.29 29.58 29.92| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 21. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries (Continued) | | (quadrillion Btu per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Energy Consumption by Source | +| | | (as defined in the MER, Table 1.4)| +| | | Coal............................|19.01 18.77 18.99 19.44 19.61 19.78 19.88 20.00 20.11 20.22 20.29 20.37 20.48 20.75 20.99 20.95 21.06 21.36 21.96 22.47 22.88| | Natural Gas.....................|19.31 19.61 20.00 20.48 20.83 21.28 21.64 21.85 22.08 22.27 22.67 23.06 23.32 23.66 23.93 24.31 24.56 24.84 24.88 24.76 24.89| | Petroleum.......................|33.55 33.50 33.65 34.95 35.59 35.99 36.44 36.90 37.27 37.68 38.23 38.57 39.01 39.50 39.92 40.29 40.69 41.09 41.44 41.69 42.00| | Nuclear Electric Power..........| 6.20 6.58 6.64 6.65 6.87 6.96 6.95 7.02 7.09 7.20 7.21 7.23 7.31 7.31 7.30 7.30 7.29 7.13 6.87 6.69 6.57| | Hydroelectric Power.............| 3.27 3.34 3.33 3.35 3.38 3.41 3.43 3.45 3.47 3.50 3.51 3.51 3.52 3.52 3.53 3.54 3.54 3.55 3.56 3.56 3.57| | Other...........................| 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Total.........................|81.34 81.81 82.61 84.88 86.30 87.42 88.35 89.23 90.04 90.89 91.92 92.76 93.66 94.75 95.69 96.41 97.17 97.99 98.72 99.2 99.9| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 22. Carbon Emissions by End-Use Sector and Source | | (Million Metric Tons per Year) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sector and Source |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Residential | +| | | Petroleum.....................| 24.0 24.9 25.7 26.2 26.2 25.9 25.7 25.5 25.4 25.2 25.1 24.9 24.9 24.7 24.6 24.6 24.5 24.3 24.2 24.1 24.0| | Natural Gas...................| 65.0 67.6 69.3 71.7 72.2 72.0 72.0 72.0 72.0 71.9 71.9 71.9 71.7 71.7 71.6 71.6 71.6 71.6 71.6 71.7 71.9| | Coal..........................| 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2| | Renewable Energy..............| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.......................| 90.6 93.8 96.4 99.3 99.7 99.3 99.1 98.8 98.7 98.4 98.3 98.1 97.9 97.7 97.5 97.4 97.4 97.2 97.0 97.0 97.0| | | +| | | Commercial | +| | | Petroleum.....................| 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.2 18.3 18.3 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.3 18.3 18.2 18.2 18.1 18.0 18.0 18.0| | Natural Gas...................| 38.7 39.6 39.9 40.2 40.4 40.6 40.7 40.9 41.0 41.2 41.4 41.5 41.7 41.9 42.1 42.2 42.4 42.6 42.7 43.0 43.3| | Coal..........................| 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2| | Renewable Energy..............| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.......................| 59.2 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.1 61.3 61.5 61.7 61.9 62.0 62.2 62.3 62.4 62.5 62.6 62.8 62.8 62.9 63.2 63.4| | | +| | | Industrial 1/ | +| | | Petroleum.....................| 91.9 86.6 85.1 97.7 99.9 100.6 103.1 104.1 104.5 105.2 106.5 106.3 107.0 107.7 108.7 109.6 110.8 112.1 112.8 113.8 114.3| | Natural Gas 2/................|119.6 121.9 123.0 123.6 125.7 127.9 129.7 130.1 131.5 133.4 136.1 138.1 139.3 141.7 143.2 144.4 145.6 147.1 148.5 149.6 151.2| | Coal..........................| 67.8 64.1 62.2 63.9 64.4 65.1 64.6 64.9 65.1 67.2 65.6 66.1 66.8 67.4 68.1 68.3 68.4 69.0 69.5 69.3 69.7| | Renewable Energy..............| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.......................|279.3 272.6 270.4 285.3 290.1 293.6 297.4 299.0 301.1 305.8 308.2 310.6 313.1 316.8 320.1 322.3 324.8 328.2 330.8 332.7 335.2| | | +| | | Transportation | +| | | Petroleum.....................|422.3 423.3 428.8 436.3 443.0 448.4 452.3 458.2 463.7 469.4 476.2 481.5 487.0 492.3 496.7 501.3 506.1 510.3 514.3 517.9 522.1| | Natural Gas 3/................| 9.9 9.0 9.8 9.7 10.1 10.5 10.9 11.2 11.6 11.9 12.2 12.5 12.9 13.5 14.0 14.6 15.1 15.7 16.1 16.4 16.7| | Renewable/ Other 4/...........| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6| | Total.......................|432.2 432.3 438.6 446.1 453.1 458.8 463.2 469.5 475.4 481.5 488.6 494.2 500.3 506.3 511.3 516.6 522.0 526.9 531.6 535.5 540.2| | | +| | | Electric Utilities 5/ | +| | | Petroleum.....................| 26.8 25.2 17.2 18.3 18.1 16.7 16.8 17.8 18.6 18.3 18.6 18.3 18.6 19.7 20.2 20.0 19.4 18.8 18.6 17.1 16.2| | Natural Gas...................| 41.2 41.1 42.8 46.4 48.4 52.4 55.4 57.7 59.0 59.5 62.2 65.2 67.4 69.2 71.0 74.7 76.5 78.2 76.9 73.3 72.7| | Steam Coal....................|408.8 407.3 414.8 424.5 428.5 432.0 435.2 437.9 440.5 441.1 444.6 446.3 448.6 454.6 460.1 458.9 461.8 468.7 483.6 496.8 506.9| | Renewable Energy..............| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.......................|476.7 473.6 474.8 489.3 494.9 501.1 507.5 513.4 518.1 519.0 525.4 529.8 534.6 543.5 551.3 553.6 557.7 565.7 579.1 587.3 595.9| | | +| | | Total Energy Consumption | +| | | Petroleum.....................|583.2 578.1 574.9 596.7 605.4 609.8 616.3 623.9 630.5 636.6 644.8 649.4 655.8 662.7 668.5 673.7 678.9 683.6 688.1 690.9 694.6| | Natural Gas...................|274.4 279.2 284.8 291.7 296.8 303.3 308.7 311.8 315.2 317.9 323.7 329.3 333.1 338.0 342.0 347.5 351.1 355.2 355.8 354.0 355.8| | Coal..........................|480.4 475.1 480.7 492.1 496.6 500.8 503.5 506.4 509.2 511.9 513.8 515.9 518.9 525.5 531.7 530.7 533.6 541.1 556.5 569.5 579.9| | Renewable Energy..............| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9| | Other 4/......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7| | Total.......................| 1338 1332 1340 1380 1399 1414 1429 1442 1455 1467 1483 1495 1508 1527 1543 1553 1565 1581 1602 1616 1632| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 23. Electricity Trade | | (Billion Kilowatthours, Unless Otherwise Noted) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Electricity Trade |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Interregional Electricity Trade | +| | | | +| | | Gross Domestic Firm Power Sales...|146.3 146.3 146.3 133.4 129.5 127.1 127.6 128.8 127.3 123.5 118.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4| | Gross Domestic Economy Sales......| 89.0 88.7 89.6 90.3 91.4 88.5 82.8 81.4 80.4 86.9 86.0 83.9 82.6 86.4 87.2 85.8 91.9 102.7 96.7 100.0 101.0| | Gross Domestic Trade............|235.4 235.1 235.9 223.8 220.9 215.6 210.3 210.2 207.8 210.4 204.4 199.3 198.1 201.9 202.6 201.2 207.4 218.1 212.2 215.4 216.4| | | +| | | Gross Domestic Firm Power Sales | +| | | (million 1992 dollars)..........| 6189 6297 6407 5945 5870 5860 5986 6151 6185 6106 5954 5908 6011 6116 6223 6332 6443 6556 6670 6787 6906| | Gross Domestic Economy Sales | +| | | (million 1992 dollars)..........| 1721 1670 1646 1726 1783 1972 1979 1939 1884 2098 2107 2300 2320 2546 2599 2586 2818 3220 3101 3225 3317| | Gross Domestic Sales | +| | | (million 1992 dollars)........| 7909 7967 8053 7671 7653 7832 7965 8089 8070 8204 8061 8207 8331 8662 8822 8918 9261 9776 9771 10012 10223| | | +| | | International Electricity Trade | +| | | | +| | | Firm Power Imports From Can. &Mex.| 5.6 9.3 14.2 16.4 15.8 16.0 15.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4| | Economy Imports From Canada & Mex.| 16.9 21.5 23.8 24.2 24.6 25.0 25.4 25.9 26.3 26.7 27.2 27.6 28.1 28.5 29.0 29.5 29.9 30.4 30.9 31.4 31.9| | Gross Imports From Canada & Mex.| 22.5 30.8 38.0 40.6 40.4 41.0 40.8 40.3 40.7 41.1 41.6 42.1 42.5 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.4 44.9 45.4 45.9 46.4| | | +| | | Firm Power Exports To Canada &Mex.| 1.7 1.8 4.7 3.6 3.6 4.4 5.2 4.0 4.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8| | Economy Exports To Canada & Mex...| 18.8 6.7 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.7| | Gross Exports To Canada & Mex...| 20.5 8.5 10.3 9.3 9.4 10.3 11.2 10.1 11.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 15.4 15.5 15.6 15.7 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.3 16.4| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 24. Inputs to Macroeconomic Activity Module | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Macroeconomic Inputs |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | National Industry Steam Coal Price| 1.64 1.61 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.66 1.64 1.65 1.71 1.70 1.74 1.73 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.92 1.91| | National Industry Natural Gas | +| | | Price...........................| 3.46 3.20 3.07 3.29 3.35 3.46 3.56 3.66 3.74 3.79 3.85 3.93 4.03 4.13 4.24 4.37 4.47 4.61 4.75 4.83 4.93| | National Industry Electricity | +| | | Price...........................|15.22 14.95 14.87 14.82 14.80 14.84 14.82 14.82 14.84 14.92 15.03 15.15 15.19 15.30 15.31 15.32 15.42 15.50 15.62 15.75 16.11| | World Oil Price...................|23.22 19.18 18.19 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16| | Implicit GDP Price Deflator | +| | | (1987 = 1.0)....................| 1.13 1.18 1.21 1.24 1.26 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.40 1.44 1.49 1.54 1.59 1.64 1.69 1.75 1.81 1.87 1.94 2.01 2.08| | Wholesale Price Index for Fuel | +| | | and Power (WPI05)...............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.77 0.81 0.85 0.89 0.94 0.99 1.05 1.11 1.18 1.25 1.33 1.40 1.48 1.57 1.65 1.75 1.84| | | +| | | National Residential | +| | | Electricity Price...............|24.98 24.64 23.77 23.85 23.95 24.24 24.57 24.68 24.80 25.07 25.39 25.74 25.96 26.12 26.42 26.66 26.96 27.44 27.90 28.35 28.58| | Natural Gas Price...............| 6.01 5.82 6.06 6.34 6.45 6.61 6.76 6.90 6.97 7.01 7.05 7.12 7.24 7.32 7.44 7.62 7.71 7.90 8.10 8.18 8.30| | Fuel Oil (distillate) Price.....| 8.19 7.57 6.68 7.05 6.87 6.91 6.98 7.08 7.24 7.36 7.51 7.71 7.88 8.04 8.22 8.34 8.43 8.57 8.70 8.84 8.94| | | +| | | National Transportation | +| | | Motor Gasoline Price............|10.00 9.40 9.09 8.64 8.98 9.23 9.62 9.73 9.94 10.08 10.30 10.53 10.66 10.83 11.09 11.17 11.24 11.43 11.57 11.76 11.79| | Motor Gasoline Quantity.........|13.58 13.55 13.71 13.98 14.17 14.37 14.46 14.59 14.72 14.86 15.03 15.15 15.26 15.36 15.42 15.50 15.57 15.61 15.66 15.70 15.76| | Diesel Price....................| 9.08 8.37 8.02 7.69 8.62 8.61 8.76 8.82 9.00 9.10 9.28 9.47 9.65 9.84 10.03 10.19 10.28 10.47 10.64 10.74 10.87| | Diesel Quantity.................| 3.83 4.03 4.15 4.29 4.44 4.53 4.58 4.64 4.69 4.77 4.87 4.95 5.03 5.14 5.23 5.32 5.42 5.54 5.64 5.71 5.82| | | +| | | Scenario Specific Incremental | +| | | Investment by Industry | +| | | Electric Utilities (for | +| | | generation and distribution)..| 0.49 0.49 0.55 0.63 0.62 0.66 11.79 0.54 0.77 0.48 0.60 0.48 0.62 0.61 0.63 1.13 0.56 0.67 1.54 0.75 0.67| | Natural Gas Utilities (for | +| | | production and distribution...| 7.15 1.52 3.86 2.34 4.68 2.83 3.16 1.79 1.64 1.38 1.63 1.61 1.52 1.48 1.59 2.93 1.48 1.72 1.60 1.21 2.19| | Petroleum Producers (for | +| | | exploration, extraction, and | +| | | distribution).................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Petroleum Refiners..............| 0.28 0.00 0.28 0.28 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.00| | Coal Producers..................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | | +| | | Scenario Specific Incremental | +| | | Pollution Abatement Expenditures| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Excise Tax Collections ( e.g., | +| | | from carbon tax)..............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 25. Output from Macroeconomic Activity Module | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Macroeconomic Outputs |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Real Output (billion 1987 dollars)| +| | | Total Industrial................| 3419 3312 3427 3574 3709 3794 3873 3960 4036 4134 4247 4340 4439 4560 4674 4774 4874 4998 5107 5208 5322| | Total Manufacturing.............| 2536 2465 2552 2662 2749 2803 2863 2947 3019 3099 3186 3260 3340 3440 3535 3616 3696 3794 3886 3976 4076| | Coal Mining.....................| 29.3 28.3 29.5 29.5 30.2 30.9 31.2 31.4 31.7 31.9 32.2 32.3 32.5 32.9 33.3 33.3 33.5 34.0 34.9 35.6 36.3| | Oil and Gas Extraction..........| 80.1 80.3 79.7 78.5 76.7 75.6 75.2 74.7 74.4 74.0 74.1 74.5 74.4 74.7 74.6 74.9 74.7 75.4 75.4 75.0 75.5| | Refining........................|116.3 116.9 117.6 114.2 114.6 115.0 116.5 116.7 118.0 118.0 119.7 119.5 119.8 120.8 120.8 121.6 122.6 123.1 123.3 123.4 123.7| | Paper...........................|110.6 110.2 113.4 117.3 121.2 124.3 127.6 130.6 132.9 135.3 138.1 140.6 143.0 146.0 148.9 151.3 153.8 156.8 159.9 162.6 165.6| | Chemicals.......................|251.2 244.5 253.3 263.4 272.2 278.5 285.0 292.1 297.8 305.0 312.6 319.3 326.0 334.7 342.9 348.6 354.8 362.8 370.7 378.3 386.7| | Stone, Clay, and Glass..........| 61.7 56.7 58.9 63.6 68.1 70.4 71.4 71.9 72.3 73.7 75.6 77.1 78.6 80.4 82.2 83.7 85.1 87.3 88.5 89.5 90.8| | Primary Metals..................|118.0 110.6 114.3 120.9 127.7 128.4 127.8 130.5 132.0 134.5 136.9 138.6 140.5 143.8 146.6 148.3 149.7 151.7 153.4 155.0 156.7| | Basic Steel.....................| 51.5 46.1 47.9 51.1 54.8 55.0 54.2 54.8 54.8 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.6 57.3 57.9 58.0 57.8 57.9 57.8 57.6 57.6| | Primary Aluminum................| 9.1 10.1 10.4 10.7 11.1 10.8 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.1 11.2 11.4 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.1| | Fabricated Metals...............|142.7 136.9 141.6 148.7 155.9 160.2 163.1 166.1 168.6 172.8 177.8 181.9 186.3 191.1 196.6 200.8 204.7 209.8 214.3 218.2 222.8| | Industrial Machinery............|221.7 207.4 210.6 224.8 241.4 251.4 261.4 277.4 289.2 302.7 316.7 330.0 343.8 359.5 376.1 390.0 403.7 419.7 436.6 453.1 470.8| | Electrical Machinery............|248.0 247.4 265.9 286.1 301.2 307.9 318.6 334.7 350.8 367.2 385.7 401.6 417.6 435.4 455.2 471.0 487.5 506.5 525.6 545.5 567.1| | Transportation Equipment........|349.8 330.6 350.1 365.7 366.7 366.2 371.6 386.9 402.1 416.8 431.0 441.7 456.5 479.7 496.4 511.4 524.9 539.9 555.7 571.3 587.9| | | +| | | Real Disposable Income by Region | +| | | (billion 1987 dollars) | +| | | New England Region..............| 220 212 219 221 225 228 230 233 238 243 248 253 257 262 266 270 273 277 280 283 287| | Middle Atlantic Region..........| 605 599 606 613 626 639 647 656 665 674 685 694 703 713 723 734 745 757 769 780 793| | East North Central Region.......| 586 586 596 608 622 634 642 652 661 670 679 688 697 708 718 728 739 750 760 770 782| | West North Central Region.......| 237 239 245 251 257 263 267 271 275 279 283 287 291 295 300 305 309 314 318 323 328| | South Atlantic Region...........| 609 609 618 631 651 674 690 706 720 735 751 766 782 800 818 837 857 878 898 918 939| | East South Central Region.......| 177 180 186 192 197 201 204 207 209 212 215 218 221 224 227 231 234 237 241 244 247| | West South Central Region.......| 332 338 348 358 369 379 385 392 399 406 413 420 427 434 441 449 457 465 473 481 490| | Mountain Region.................| 166 168 176 183 190 196 200 204 208 212 216 220 224 228 232 237 241 246 250 255 260| | Pacific Region..................| 585 579 591 610 630 649 661 674 687 698 711 722 734 746 759 773 786 801 815 828 843| | United States...................| 3517 3509 3584 3667 3766 3862 3926 3996 4062 4130 4202 4269 4336 4410 4484 4563 4642 4725 4804 4881 4970| | | +| | | Non-Agricultural Employment of | +| | | People by Region (millions) | +| | | New England Region..............| 6.3 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3| | Middle Atlantic Region..........| 17.0 16.5 16.2 16.2 16.5 16.8 17.1 17.3 17.5 17.7 17.9 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.7 18.8 19.0 19.2 19.3 19.5 19.6| | East North Central Region.......| 18.9 18.7 18.8 19.0 19.3 19.7 20.0 20.3 20.6 20.8 21.0 21.3 21.5 21.7 22.0 22.2 22.3 22.5 22.7 22.8 23.0| | West North Central Region.......| 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.3| | South Atlantic Region...........| 19.7 19.4 19.4 19.7 20.3 20.9 21.5 22.0 22.3 22.7 23.1 23.5 23.8 24.2 24.7 25.0 25.4 25.9 26.3 26.6 26.9| | East South Central Region.......| 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.7| | West South Central Region.......| 10.8 10.9 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.8 13.0 13.1 13.3 13.5 13.7 13.8 14.0 14.2 14.3 14.5 14.6| | Mountain Region.................| 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4| | Pacific Region..................| 17.0 16.6 16.4 16.5 17.0 17.5 17.9 18.2 18.6 18.9 19.2 19.5 19.7 20.0 20.3 20.6 20.9 21.1 21.4 21.6 21.8| | United States...................|109.8 108.3 108.4 109.6 112.2 114.9 117.2 119.3 121.0 122.7 124.5 126.2 127.8 129.6 131.3 132.8 134.2 135.8 137.2 138.4 139.6| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 27. Equilibrium Import Petroleum Supply | | (Prices - 1990 Dollars per Barrel, Quantities - Thousand Barrels per Day) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Prices and Supply |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Crude Oil Prices | +| | | Low Sulfur Light................|25.41 21.21 20.46 18.90 18.35 19.07 19.57 20.21 21.05 21.76 22.54 23.53 24.30 25.21 26.12 26.73 27.26 28.03 28.82 29.46 30.07| | Medium Sulfur Heavy.............|25.46 21.20 20.31 18.71 18.02 18.82 19.29 19.98 20.81 21.56 22.36 23.36 24.13 25.11 26.00 26.60 27.25 28.04 28.80 29.49 30.21| | High Sulfur Light...............|24.26 20.05 19.25 17.73 17.22 18.03 18.51 19.19 20.02 20.77 21.60 22.59 23.34 24.33 25.20 25.85 26.46 27.21 27.95 28.57 29.31| | High Sulfur Heavy...............|23.92 19.63 19.00 17.54 17.34 18.22 18.78 19.45 20.34 21.09 21.99 23.00 23.77 24.77 25.68 26.41 26.95 27.70 28.49 29.05 29.77| | High Sulfur Very Heavy..........|22.99 18.50 18.18 16.82 17.23 18.31 19.00 19.70 20.70 21.49 22.48 23.56 24.39 25.43 26.41 27.30 27.75 28.48 29.33 29.79 30.48| | Average.......................|24.39 20.10 19.39 17.80 17.46 18.29 18.81 19.48 20.33 21.07 21.90 22.91 23.68 24.66 25.56 26.24 26.81 27.56 28.32 28.93 29.66| | | +| | | Crude Oil Quantities | +| | | Low Sulfur Light................| 1006 931.4 968.1 738.6 853.1 746.9 806.4 737.7 679.0 628.9 513.1 518.0 523.0 527.8 532.8 808.7 534.9 531.9 528.9 593.9 590.1| | Medium Sulfur Heavy.............|546.3 560.1 573.7 602.1 601.0 614.7 614.8 624.3 629.3 621.3 624.0 598.1 634.1 560.1 634.1 634.1 634.1 639.0 629.2 560.1 720.3| | High Sulfur Light...............| 1299 1477 1889 2459 2716 2988 3240 3474 3681 3875 4214 4282 4358 4541 4476 4869 4680 4753 4987 4642 4608| | High Sulfur Heavy...............| 1706 1566 1607 2168 2207 2246 2277 2309 2340 2371 2386 2415 2426 2438 2450 1902 2471 2371 2141 2431 2189| | High Sulfur Very Heavy..........|468.8 519.0 584.0 649.1 714.5 780.6 793.6 806.5 819.5 832.3 845.4 851.9 858.3 864.8 871.3 877.8 884.4 890.8 897.4 903.7 910.1| | Total.........................| 5026 5053 5622 6616 7092 7376 7732 7951 8149 8329 8582 8665 8800 8932 8965 9092 9204 9186 9183 9131 9018| | | +| | | Refined Products Prices | +| | | Motor Gasoline..................|28.81 24.71 24.12 22.87 22.70 23.11 24.77 25.14 26.46 27.24 28.30 29.45 30.36 31.07 31.16 32.40 33.07 32.90 33.93 34.57 35.04| | Distillate Fuel Oil.............|26.86 22.67 22.63 20.92 20.37 20.83 21.08 21.91 22.30 23.18 24.06 25.60 26.49 27.22 28.20 28.68 29.06 29.93 30.54 31.19 31.53| | Low Sulfur Resid................|19.64 15.72 15.30 10.94 10.51 11.07 11.54 15.05 15.77 13.34 13.80 14.51 15.39 16.06 16.75 21.34 17.69 18.20 18.81 19.21 24.25| | High Sulfur Resid...............|16.31 13.04 12.05 10.99 10.70 11.39 11.98 12.63 13.37 14.00 14.86 15.77 16.63 17.37 18.51 18.87 19.62 20.25 21.02 21.54 21.99| | Jet Fuel........................|27.76 23.76 23.46 21.54 21.29 21.77 22.09 22.75 23.56 24.52 25.50 26.52 27.36 28.48 29.04 29.75 30.43 31.14 31.84 32.55 32.92| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........|18.15 14.33 13.57 12.05 11.79 11.93 13.31 13.89 14.53 15.36 16.32 17.04 18.05 18.94 19.76 20.45 20.26 20.85 21.71 22.40 22.99| | Average.......................|22.67 18.32 17.67 16.85 16.00 16.47 17.94 19.12 20.42 21.10 21.81 22.87 23.95 24.78 25.08 26.28 26.50 26.82 27.61 28.19 29.32| | | +| | | Refined Products Quantities | +| | | Motor Gasoline..................|360.2 304.9 292.2 474.9 406.7 393.1 434.4 521.9 554.9 685.6 638.8 645.0 723.1 728.5 722.5 699.2 743.1 727.7 753.5 758.6 791.9| | Distillate Fuel Oil.............|141.0 131.3 165.2 205.1 141.1 145.0 135.0 140.8 138.0 140.4 142.8 171.2 181.6 195.4 207.2 218.4 239.3 254.0 263.5 277.8 298.1| | Low Sulfur Resid................|378.8 332.0 406.8 220.4 219.7 218.5 219.8 221.3 223.0 224.7 226.5 236.4 242.6 236.8 265.6 275.2 285.5 295.1 305.1 316.4 328.6| | High Sulfur Resid...............|289.4 316.4 324.7 247.2 254.7 262.4 266.1 270.2 275.0 278.2 284.2 293.4 302.5 311.5 321.4 332.1 318.4 305.9 293.5 281.1 269.1| | Jet Fuel........................|92.46 71.30 93.75 88.18 89.80 87.80 86.28 95.61 118.3 123.2 153.5 196.1 206.0 237.7 284.5 320.3 321.1 374.7 398.5 427.9 449.3| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........|63.30 92.60 112.0 280.5 298.8 264.8 163.9 235.0 172.4 209.2 226.3 235.8 257.1 267.3 345.6 360.2 328.3 382.4 440.1 489.1 499.7| | Total.........................| 1325 1248 1395 1516 1411 1372 1305 1485 1482 1661 1672 1778 1913 1977 2147 2205 2236 2340 2454 2551 2637| | | +| | | Oxygenate Prices | +| | | Methanol........................|27.67 23.44 23.38 0.00 24.52 23.26 23.84 24.07 25.31 25.83 26.56 27.60 28.87 29.27 30.18 30.73 31.36 32.19 32.69 33.27 33.86| | MTBE............................|19.93 16.18 15.78 13.53 12.95 13.80 14.36 15.41 15.92 16.96 17.35 18.71 19.56 20.28 20.87 21.62 22.28 23.41 23.73 24.54 24.96| | Average.......................|20.08 16.33 15.93 13.53 13.63 15.70 17.41 18.39 19.03 19.92 21.11 22.58 23.88 24.60 25.53 26.32 27.06 28.11 28.62 29.38 29.96| | | +| | | Oxygenate Quantities | +| | | Methanol........................| 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.00 4.68 18.84 35.52 39.30 37.05 37.56 51.76 57.96 64.82 69.33 75.22 79.99 83.25 86.31 89.98 93.37 96.00| | MTBE............................|75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00| | Total.........................|76.50 76.50 76.50 75.00 79.68 93.84 110.5 114.3 112.1 112.6 126.8 133.0 139.8 144.3 150.2 155.0 158.3 161.3 165.0 168.4 171.0| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 28. Oil and Gas Supply | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Production and Supply |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Crude Oil | +| | | | +| | | Lower 48 Average Wellhead Price | +| | | (1992$ per barrel)................|23.38 19.10 17.77 16.58 16.31 16.81 17.41 17.98 18.68 19.43 20.19 21.03 21.90 22.72 23.43 23.99 24.63 25.27 25.91 26.50 26.98| | | +| | | Production (million barrels/day)1/| +| | | U.S. Total........................| 7.36 7.42 7.17 6.87 6.50 6.18 5.91 5.72 5.54 5.35 5.17 5.07 5.00 4.93 4.87 4.84 4.82 4.87 4.89 4.95 5.10| | Lower 48 Onshore................| 4.63 4.60 4.38 4.43 4.31 4.18 4.02 3.91 3.79 3.69 3.62 3.59 3.58 3.57 3.57 3.59 3.62 3.62 3.61 3.63 3.63| | Conventional..................| 3.97 3.88 3.68 3.72 3.60 3.49 3.36 3.28 3.19 3.12 3.05 3.01 2.97 2.93 2.90 2.88 2.86 2.84 2.82 2.81 2.80| | Enhanced Oil Recovery.........| 0.66 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.69 0.66 0.63 0.60 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.61 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.82 0.84| | Lower 48 Offshore...............| 0.95 1.02 1.07 0.96 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.72 0.70 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.72| | Alaska..........................| 1.77 1.80 1.71 1.47 1.30 1.16 1.09 1.06 1.03 0.96 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.71 0.65 0.60 0.54 0.58 0.59 0.62 0.74| | | +| | | U.S.End of Yr.Reserves (bill.bbl.)|27.56 25.93 24.97 23.75 22.88 21.81 21.87 21.18 20.28 19.47 18.84 18.58 18.20 17.89 17.66 17.46 17.34 17.99 17.81 17.65 18.31| | | +| | | Natural Gas | +| | | | +| | | Lower 48 Average Wellhead Price 2/| +| | | (1992$ per thousand cubic feet)...| 1.85 1.69 1.82 1.93 2.02 2.10 2.18 2.28 2.35 2.39 2.42 2.47 2.55 2.65 2.74 2.89 3.01 3.17 3.30 3.35 3.47| | | +| | | Production (trillion cubic ft.) 3/| +| | | U.S. Total........................|17.81 17.69 17.54 17.71 17.68 17.84 18.12 18.25 18.43 18.58 18.93 19.28 19.51 19.80 19.92 20.13 20.18 20.38 20.35 20.16 20.19| | Lower 48 Onshore................|12.15 12.24 12.26 12.75 13.06 13.58 14.22 14.61 14.75 14.75 14.87 14.90 14.86 14.91 14.81 14.82 14.71 14.77 14.66 14.49 14.55| | Associated-Dissolved 4/.......| 2.07 2.09 2.07 1.94 1.89 1.83 1.78 1.73 1.70 1.66 1.64 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.67| | Non-Associated................|10.08 10.15 10.20 10.81 11.17 11.74 12.44 12.88 13.06 13.09 13.22 13.27 13.24 13.28 13.18 13.18 13.07 13.12 13.00 12.83 12.88| | Conventional................| 8.63 8.43 8.37 8.74 8.89 9.18 9.51 9.80 9.90 9.88 9.95 9.96 9.90 9.90 9.80 9.78 9.69 9.71 9.61 9.48 9.51| | Unconventional..............| 1.45 1.72 1.83 2.07 2.28 2.56 2.93 3.07 3.16 3.21 3.27 3.31 3.33 3.38 3.38 3.40 3.38 3.41 3.40 3.35 3.38| | Tight Sands...............| 1.13 1.17 1.17 1.32 1.45 1.64 1.79 1.87 1.92 1.96 1.99 2.02 2.04 2.07 2.08 2.11 2.11 2.14 2.14 2.12 2.15| | Coal Bed Methane..........| 0.19 0.40 0.50 0.57 0.63 0.67 0.87 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.89| | Devonian Shale............| 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.26 0.27 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.33| | Lower 48 Offshore...............| 5.28 5.03 4.83 4.52 4.18 3.81 3.43 3.17 3.20 3.34 3.57 3.88 4.15 4.40 4.62 4.83 4.98 5.13 5.21 5.19 5.16| | Associated-Dissolved..........| 0.63 0.62 0.67 0.65 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59| | Non-Associated................| 4.65 4.41 4.17 3.88 3.55 3.19 2.82 2.57 2.61 2.76 2.99 3.30 3.58 3.84 4.05 4.26 4.41 4.55 4.63 4.60 4.57| | Alaska..........................| 0.38 0.41 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.47| | | +| | | U.S. End of Yr. Reserves (tril.cf)|169.3 167.1 165.0 165.1 165.7 166.1 166.4 166.6 166.4 165.9 164.8 163.3 161.6 159.9 158.2 156.7 155.5 154.4 153.6 152.9 152.4| | | +| | | Supplemental Gas Supplies.........| 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.07| | | +| | | Total Wells Completed (thousands).|31.15 28.86 22.96 24.56 26.28 28.11 30.08 32.18 34.43 36.83 39.40 42.16 45.10 48.25 51.62 55.23 59.08 63.21 67.62 72.35 77.40| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 30. Commercial Sector Supplementary Table | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Consumption and Delivered Energy |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Building Energy Consumption 1/ | +| | | (quadrillion Btu) | +| | | | +| | | Assembly........................| 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37| | Education.......................| 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.54 0.53| | Food Sales......................| 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21| | Food Service....................| 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32| | Health Care.....................| 0.43 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.50| | Lodging.........................| 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.40| | Office - Large..................| 0.71 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90| | Office - Small..................| 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.70| | Mercantile/Service..............| 1.09 1.12 1.13 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.31 1.34 1.36 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48| | Warehouse.......................| 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65| | Other...........................| 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38| | Total.........................| 5.89 5.98 6.02 6.07 6.10 6.15 6.20 6.23 6.28 6.29 6.33 6.36 6.39 6.41 6.41 6.42 6.44 6.44 6.45 6.44 6.45| | | +| | | Delivered Energy per Energy | +| | | Consumption | +| | | | +| | | Space Heating | +| | | (coefficient of performance) 2/| +| | | | +| | | Electricity...................| 1.19 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.42| | Natural Gas...................| 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80| | Distillate....................| 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81| | | +| | | Space Cooling | +| | | (coefficient of performance) 2/| +| | | | +| | | Electricity...................| 2.83 2.88 2.92 2.97 3.02 3.07 3.12 3.17 3.21 3.27 3.32 3.37 3.41 3.46 3.50 3.54 3.58 3.62 3.66 3.69 3.75| | Natural Gas...................| 1.04 1.08 1.11 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.23 1.24 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.26| | | +| | | Water Heating | +| | | (coefficient of performance) 2/| +| | | | +| | | Electricity...................| 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.85| | Natural Gas...................| 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74| | Distillate....................| 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74| | | +| | | Lighting Efficacy | +| | | (lumens/watt) 3/ | +| | | | +| | | Electricity...................|41.55 42.15 42.74 43.33 43.78 44.32 44.85 45.35 45.93 46.49 47.04 47.58 48.10 48.61 49.11 49.60 50.08 50.56 51.02 51.48 51.93| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 31. Industrial Sector Macroeconomic Indicators | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Macroeconomic Indicators |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | GDP...............................| 4877 4821 4920 5072 5235 5354 5491 5630 5756 5896 6041 6178 6316 6468 6607 6736 6867 7017 7148 7267 7397| | | +| | | Non-Agricultural Employment.......|109.8 108.3 108.4 109.6 112.2 114.9 117.2 119.3 121.0 122.7 124.5 126.2 127.8 129.6 131.3 132.8 134.2 135.8 137.2 138.4 139.6| | | +| | | Value of Gross Output | +| | | (billion 87 dollars) | +| | | | +| | | Nonmanufacturing Sector | +| | | Agricultural....................|178.8 178.7 185.4 189.0 192.6 196.3 200.2 203.5 205.9 209.0 211.8 214.3 216.7 219.4 222.4 224.5 227.1 230.2 233.2 235.7 238.3| | Mining..........................|130.8 129.9 130.4 130.4 130.5 130.5 130.4 130.4 130.5 130.8 131.8 132.8 133.3 134.7 135.6 136.2 136.7 138.3 139.6 140.3 141.8| | Construction....................|573.6 538.1 559.4 592.7 636.8 664.2 679.1 678.3 680.8 695.5 717.2 733.0 748.3 765.9 781.1 797.5 813.7 835.9 848.3 855.6 866.0| | | +| | | Manufacturing Sector | +| | | Food and Kindred Products.......|348.1 351.2 358.1 366.4 374.5 381.5 388.5 395.5 401.0 406.8 412.6 417.7 422.7 428.2 434.0 439.2 445.4 452.5 459.7 466.5 473.8| | Tobacco Products................| 30.1 29.0 28.9 28.6 28.2 27.9 27.4 27.2 26.8 26.7 26.5 26.3 26.1 26.0 25.9 25.5 25.4 25.4 25.5 25.5 25.7| | Textile Mill Products...........| 54.2 53.2 54.7 57.8 59.5 60.6 61.4 62.6 63.1 63.9 64.8 65.8 66.9 68.4 69.5 70.6 71.9 73.6 74.8 76.1 77.7| | Apparel and Other Textile | +| | | Products......................| 78.6 78.6 79.6 83.5 84.1 84.9 85.4 86.1 85.7 85.4 85.4 86.0 86.9 87.8 88.2 89.1 89.8 92.1 92.5 94.0 95.5| | Lumber and Wood Products........| 66.4 61.9 64.8 68.0 70.4 71.8 73.4 74.3 74.5 76.1 78.3 79.8 81.2 82.8 84.4 86.1 87.7 90.6 91.4 91.6 92.4| | Furniture and Fixtures..........| 39.1 36.8 38.0 39.3 39.3 40.0 40.9 42.0 42.6 43.4 44.4 45.4 46.4 47.6 48.8 49.9 50.8 51.8 52.4 52.9 53.9| | Paper and Allied Products.......|110.6 110.2 113.4 117.3 121.2 124.3 127.6 130.6 132.9 135.3 138.1 140.6 143.0 146.0 148.9 151.3 153.8 156.8 159.9 162.6 165.6| | Printing and Publishing.........| 88.4 85.4 87.1 88.7 91.1 93.3 95.9 98.4 100.1 102.1 104.2 106.0 107.7 109.8 111.5 113.2 115.0 117.2 119.5 121.5 123.8| | Chemical and Allied Products....|251.2 244.5 253.3 263.4 272.2 278.5 285.0 292.1 297.8 305.0 312.6 319.3 326.0 334.7 342.9 348.6 354.8 362.8 370.7 378.3 386.7| | Bulk Chemicals................|146.5 140.8 146.2 151.7 156.9 160.5 164.5 168.9 172.2 177.0 182.2 186.7 191.4 197.7 203.6 207.3 211.4 216.5 221.5 226.4 231.8| | Other Chemicals and | +| | | Allied Products.............|104.6 103.7 107.0 111.7 115.3 118.0 120.5 123.2 125.6 127.9 130.4 132.6 134.7 137.0 139.3 141.3 143.4 146.3 149.2 151.9 154.9| | Petroleum and Coal Products.....|132.1 131.9 133.1 130.5 131.7 132.4 134.0 134.4 135.9 136.2 138.2 138.4 139.0 140.5 140.8 142.0 143.3 144.3 144.9 145.2 145.9| | Petroleum Refining............|116.3 116.9 117.6 114.2 114.6 115.0 116.5 116.7 118.0 118.0 119.7 119.5 119.8 120.8 120.8 121.6 122.6 123.1 123.3 123.4 123.7| | Other Petroleum and | +| | | Coal Products...............| 15.8 15.0 15.5 16.2 17.1 17.4 17.5 17.7 17.9 18.1 18.5 18.9 19.2 19.7 20.1 20.4 20.7 21.2 21.5 21.8 22.2| | Rubber and Miscellaneous | +| | | Plastic Products..............| 90.1 87.6 93.1 99.4 103.3 107.2 110.1 112.8 116.1 119.6 123.1 126.5 130.2 134.9 139.3 142.9 146.8 151.4 155.7 159.8 164.5| | Leather and Leather Products....| 10.3 9.6 10.3 10.3 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.4 11.7 11.9 12.2 12.5| | Stone, Clay, and Glass Products.| 61.7 56.7 58.9 63.6 68.1 70.4 71.4 71.9 72.3 73.7 75.6 77.1 78.6 80.4 82.2 83.7 85.1 87.3 88.5 89.5 90.8| | Glass and Glass Products......| 16.7 16.0 16.1 17.6 18.3 18.8 19.2 19.8 20.1 20.6 21.1 21.6 22.1 22.6 23.3 23.9 24.4 25.0 25.6 26.1 26.8| | Cement, Hydraulic.............| 4.0 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.7| | Other Stone, Clay, and | +| | | Glass Products..............| 41.0 37.1 39.0 41.8 45.1 46.6 47.2 47.3 47.3 48.1 49.4 50.3 51.3 52.4 53.4 54.3 55.0 56.6 57.1 57.6 58.3| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 31. Industrial Sector Macroeconomic Indicators (Continued) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Macroeconomic Indicators |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Primary Metals Industry.........|118.0 110.6 114.3 120.9 127.7 128.4 127.8 130.5 132.0 134.5 136.9 138.6 140.5 143.8 146.6 148.3 149.7 151.7 153.4 155.0 156.7| | Blast Furnace and Basic | +| | | Steel Products..............| 51.5 46.1 47.9 51.1 54.8 55.0 54.2 54.8 54.8 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.6 57.3 57.9 58.0 57.8 57.9 57.8 57.6 57.6| | Aluminum......................| 9.1 10.1 10.4 10.7 11.1 10.8 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.1 11.2 11.4 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.1| | Other Primary Metal Products..| 57.4 54.4 55.9 59.0 61.8 62.6 63.3 65.1 66.5 68.2 69.9 71.3 72.8 75.0 77.1 78.6 80.1 81.9 83.6 85.3 87.0| | Fabricated Metal Products.......|142.7 136.9 141.6 148.7 155.9 160.2 163.1 166.1 168.6 172.8 177.8 181.9 186.3 191.1 196.6 200.8 204.7 209.8 214.3 218.2 222.8| | Industrial Machinery and | +| | | Equipment.....................|221.7 207.4 210.6 224.8 241.4 251.4 261.4 277.4 289.2 302.7 316.7 330.0 343.8 359.5 376.1 390.0 403.7 419.7 436.6 453.1 470.8| | Electronic and Other Electric | +| | | Equipment.....................|248.0 247.4 265.9 286.1 301.2 307.9 318.6 334.7 350.8 367.2 385.7 401.6 417.6 435.4 455.2 471.0 487.5 506.5 525.6 545.5 567.1| | Transportation Equipment........|349.8 330.6 350.1 365.7 366.7 366.2 371.6 386.9 402.1 416.8 431.0 441.7 456.5 479.7 496.4 511.4 524.9 539.9 555.7 571.3 587.9| | Instruments and Related Products| 62.8 63.8 63.8 65.4 67.7 70.6 73.4 76.0 78.6 81.2 83.8 86.4 89.2 91.6 94.7 97.5 100.0 103.0 106.3 109.5 112.9| | Miscellaneous Manufacturing | +| | | Industries....................| 32.2 31.5 32.5 33.8 34.9 35.8 36.5 37.4 38.1 38.7 39.5 40.2 40.8 41.6 42.4 43.3 44.3 45.7 46.9 48.1 49.4| | | +| | | Total Industries................| 2751 2657 2754 2874 2974 3031 3093 3181 3256 3341 3437 3516 3602 3712 3814 3899 3984 4087 4184 4278 4382| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 33. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Refineries | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|116.3 116.9 117.6 114.2 114.6 115.0 116.5 116.7 118.0 118.0 119.7 119.5 119.8 120.8 120.8 121.6 122.6 123.1 123.3 123.4 123.7| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 80.1 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2 80.2| | Natural Gas 2/..................|683.3 704.7 714.3 600.2 564.8 628.9 656.2 599.0 637.5 662.1 715.5 755.9 754.0 774.9 767.4 760.9 756.1 755.2 756.2 755.9 772.3| | Steam Coal......................| 3.0 3.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Residual Oil....................| 61.6 61.8 59.8 303.5 343.4 224.7 210.2 235.0 232.0 239.5 216.1 174.2 181.5 148.2 156.1 170.0 169.3 168.3 165.8 155.6 164.3| | Distillate Oil..................| 2.3 2.6 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 37.8 34.8 44.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 1981 1930 1834 2173 2195 2298 2406 2423 2423 2405 2441 2419 2413 2422 2423 2418 2450 2466 2465 2481 2457| | Subtotal......................| 2849 2818 2739 3157 3184 3232 3353 3337 3372 3387 3452 3429 3429 3426 3427 3429 3456 3469 3467 3472 3474| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................| 2849 2818 2739 3157 3184 3232 3353 3337 3372 3387 3452 3429 3429 3426 3427 3429 3456 3469 3467 3472 3474| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 1.96 2.01 1.99 1.64 1.51 1.65 1.69 1.51 1.59 1.63 1.73 1.81 1.78 1.81 1.77 1.73 1.70 1.67 1.64 1.62 1.63| | Steam Coal......................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Residual Oil....................| 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.83 0.92 0.59 0.54 0.59 0.58 0.59 0.52 0.42 0.43 0.35 0.36 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.35| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 5.69 5.50 5.12 5.93 5.86 6.02 6.19 6.13 6.04 5.91 5.92 5.79 5.71 5.66 5.58 5.51 5.50 5.45 5.36 5.32 5.19| | Subtotal......................| 8.19 8.02 7.65 8.62 8.50 8.47 8.63 8.44 8.41 8.33 8.37 8.21 8.11 8.00 7.89 7.81 7.76 7.67 7.54 7.44 7.33| | Renewables......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.........................| 8.19 8.02 7.65 8.62 8.50 8.47 8.63 8.44 8.41 8.33 8.37 8.21 8.11 8.00 7.89 7.81 7.76 7.67 7.54 7.44 7.33| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 34. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Food Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|348.1 351.2 358.1 366.4 374.5 381.5 388.5 395.5 401.0 406.8 412.6 417.7 422.7 428.2 434.0 439.2 445.4 452.5 459.7 466.5 473.8| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|176.4 177.1 179.3 182.0 184.6 186.9 189.1 191.2 192.8 194.4 196.0 197.3 198.6 200.0 201.5 202.7 204.3 206.2 208.1 209.8 211.8| | Natural Gas 2/..................|408.6 413.8 428.6 431.4 438.2 438.0 442.8 444.4 443.7 445.7 445.9 445.3 442.5 441.8 442.0 443.1 444.4 443.2 445.9 445.9 448.7| | Steam Coal......................|149.8 144.1 139.7 149.2 150.3 158.8 159.5 164.4 169.5 171.5 175.2 179.6 186.5 190.4 194.4 196.1 199.2 207.4 209.6 215.2 217.2| | Residual Oil....................| 46.6 47.7 46.5 45.9 46.2 46.0 46.5 46.6 46.7 47.0 47.4 47.3 47.2 47.4 47.5 47.8 48.1 47.8 48.2 48.3 48.9| | Distillate Oil..................| 30.5 31.0 30.2 30.9 31.5 31.8 32.4 32.7 32.9 33.2 33.7 33.7 33.8 34.0 34.2 34.5 34.7 34.7 35.0 35.0 35.4| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.4| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 79.5 81.4 81.2 79.3 80.2 80.6 81.6 82.0 82.4 83.1 83.6 84.0 84.2 84.9 85.2 85.4 86.0 85.6 86.4 86.2 87.2| | Subtotal......................|898.4 902.0 912.3 925.4 937.7 948.8 958.8 968.3 975.1 981.9 989.0 994.5 1000 1006 1012 1017 1024 1032 1041 1048 1056| | Renewables......................| 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.4 11.6 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.8| | Total.........................|907.6 911.4 921.9 935.1 947.8 959.0 969.2 978.9 985.9 992.9 1000 1006 1011 1017 1024 1029 1036 1044 1053 1060 1069| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 1.17 1.18 1.20 1.18 1.17 1.15 1.14 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.08 1.07 1.05 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.00 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95| | Steam Coal......................| 0.43 0.41 0.39 0.41 0.40 0.42 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46| | Residual Oil....................| 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18| | Subtotal......................| 2.58 2.57 2.55 2.53 2.50 2.49 2.47 2.45 2.43 2.41 2.40 2.38 2.37 2.35 2.33 2.32 2.30 2.28 2.26 2.25 2.23| | Renewables......................| 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03| | Total.........................| 2.61 2.59 2.57 2.55 2.53 2.51 2.49 2.48 2.46 2.44 2.42 2.41 2.39 2.38 2.36 2.34 2.33 2.31 2.29 2.27 2.26| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 35. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Paper Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|110.6 110.2 113.4 117.3 121.2 124.3 127.6 130.6 132.9 135.3 138.1 140.6 143.0 146.0 148.9 151.3 153.8 156.8 159.9 162.6 165.6| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|189.9 190.0 190.6 192.2 193.9 194.7 195.6 196.3 196.5 196.7 197.3 197.7 198.3 199.0 199.6 199.7 200.2 200.8 201.5 201.7 202.4| | Natural Gas 2/..................|382.3 372.1 378.9 370.3 371.1 364.6 364.3 359.8 352.6 349.3 345.1 339.7 334.3 331.0 327.7 324.7 322.1 316.6 315.2 311.3 309.8| | Steam Coal......................|327.7 275.9 265.7 280.2 277.8 283.3 279.3 281.0 284.7 282.3 281.6 285.7 289.1 289.9 290.8 288.9 288.8 293.9 293.2 294.4 293.7| | Residual Oil....................|179.2 177.3 172.5 165.4 163.6 159.1 157.6 154.6 151.1 149.3 148.8 144.5 141.6 140.0 137.9 136.3 134.3 131.2 129.7 127.6 126.7| | Distillate Oil..................| 12.3 11.8 11.6 11.4 11.5 11.2 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.5| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 34.4 34.9 34.0 32.0 31.7 30.9 30.8 30.3 29.5 29.2 28.9 28.2 27.7 27.5 27.1 26.7 26.5 25.7 25.5 25.0 24.8| | Subtotal......................| 1129 1065 1056 1054 1052 1047 1042 1036 1028 1020 1015 1009 1004 1000 996.1 989.4 984.8 980.9 977.9 972.7 970.1| | Renewables......................| 1114 1110 1136 1171 1205 1231 1260 1286 1307 1328 1354 1377 1403 1430 1456 1477 1502 1529 1558 1581 1611| | Total.........................| 2243 2175 2192 2226 2257 2278 2302 2322 2335 2349 2370 2387 2407 2430 2452 2466 2487 2510 2536 2554 2581| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 1.72 1.72 1.68 1.64 1.60 1.57 1.53 1.50 1.48 1.45 1.43 1.41 1.39 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.30 1.28 1.26 1.24 1.22| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 3.46 3.38 3.34 3.16 3.06 2.93 2.86 2.76 2.65 2.58 2.50 2.42 2.34 2.27 2.20 2.15 2.09 2.02 1.97 1.91 1.87| | Steam Coal......................| 2.96 2.50 2.34 2.39 2.29 2.28 2.19 2.15 2.14 2.09 2.04 2.03 2.02 1.99 1.95 1.91 1.88 1.87 1.83 1.81 1.77| | Residual Oil....................| 1.62 1.61 1.52 1.41 1.35 1.28 1.24 1.18 1.14 1.10 1.08 1.03 0.99 0.96 0.93 0.90 0.87 0.84 0.81 0.78 0.77| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15| | Subtotal......................|10.21 9.66 9.31 8.99 8.68 8.42 8.17 7.93 7.74 7.54 7.35 7.18 7.02 6.85 6.69 6.54 6.40 6.26 6.12 5.98 5.86| | Renewables......................|10.08 10.08 10.02 9.99 9.94 9.91 9.88 9.85 9.83 9.82 9.81 9.80 9.81 9.80 9.78 9.76 9.77 9.75 9.75 9.73 9.73| | Total.........................|20.29 19.74 19.33 18.97 18.63 18.33 18.04 17.78 17.57 17.36 17.16 16.98 16.83 16.65 16.47 16.30 16.17 16.01 15.86 15.71 15.59| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 36. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Bulk Chemicals Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|251.2 244.5 253.3 263.4 272.2 278.5 285.0 292.1 297.8 305.0 312.6 319.3 326.0 334.7 342.9 348.6 354.8 362.8 370.7 378.3 386.7| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|667.7 644.4 664.3 684.0 701.9 713.6 726.5 741.2 751.8 768.0 785.4 800.1 815.1 835.9 855.1 866.4 879.0 895.1 910.9 926.1 942.9| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 2317 2271 2341 2388 2442 2475 2514 2551 2575 2616 2656 2693 2727 2779 2827 2856 2888 2929 2971 3015 3056| | Steam Coal......................|210.8 182.4 182.7 207.2 212.3 223.3 224.8 238.3 248.1 257.4 269.2 277.8 291.4 304.0 317.3 325.2 332.9 344.9 353.9 356.8 370.6| | Residual Oil....................| 99.6 96.6 96.1 96.7 98.6 98.9 100.6 101.8 102.5 104.1 106.1 107.4 108.6 110.8 112.8 114.0 115.2 116.7 118.5 120.9 122.5| | Distillate Oil..................| 15.1 14.6 14.7 15.0 15.4 15.6 15.9 16.1 16.3 16.6 16.9 17.1 17.3 17.7 18.0 18.2 18.4 18.7 19.0 19.3 19.6| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5| | Other Petroleum 3/..............|160.1 159.3 158.8 158.6 162.3 163.3 168.1 170.2 172.5 175.8 179.3 183.4 186.2 190.9 195.1 197.4 200.6 204.0 207.6 212.9 215.5| | Subtotal......................| 3473 3371 3460 3552 3636 3692 3753 3821 3870 3941 4017 4082 4149 4242 4329 4381 4439 4513 4585 4655 4732| | Renewables......................| 10.9 10.3 10.3 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.7 12.0 12.4 12.7 13.1 13.5 13.9 14.3 14.8 15.1 15.4 15.8 16.2 16.6 16.9| | Total.........................| 3484 3382 3470 3563 3647 3704 3765 3833 3882 3954 4030 4096 4163 4256 4344 4396 4454 4528 4601 4672 4749| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 9.2 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0 7.9| | Steam Coal......................| 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0| | Residual Oil....................| 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6| | Subtotal......................| 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.8 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.2| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................| 13.9 13.8 13.7 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.1 13.0 13.0 12.9 12.8 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.3| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 37. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Glass Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|16.72 15.99 16.13 17.64 18.32 18.83 19.22 19.76 20.12 20.59 21.10 21.58 22.07 22.65 23.35 23.86 24.42 24.99 25.58 26.12 26.78| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 35.8 34.1 34.2 36.1 37.0 37.6 37.9 38.5 38.8 39.3 39.9 40.4 40.9 41.5 42.3 42.9 43.5 44.1 44.7 45.2 45.9| | Natural Gas 2/..................|205.9 196.2 196.7 208.3 212.7 215.8 217.7 220.8 222.5 224.9 227.5 229.9 232.2 235.1 238.9 241.2 243.8 246.4 248.9 251.1 254.0| | Steam Coal......................| 8.0 7.6 7.7 8.1 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9| | Residual Oil....................| 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8| | Distillate Oil..................| 15.3 14.6 14.6 15.5 15.8 16.1 16.2 16.4 16.6 16.8 17.0 17.1 17.3 17.5 17.8 18.0 18.2 18.4 18.6 18.7 19.0| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6| | Subtotal......................|271.8 259.0 259.7 274.9 280.9 285.0 287.5 291.7 293.9 297.2 300.7 304.0 307.1 311.2 316.4 319.5 323.0 326.6 330.1 333.2 337.2| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................|271.8 259.0 259.7 274.9 280.9 285.0 287.5 291.7 293.9 297.2 300.7 304.0 307.1 311.2 316.4 319.5 323.0 326.6 330.1 333.2 337.2| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 2.14 2.13 2.12 2.05 2.02 2.00 1.97 1.95 1.93 1.91 1.89 1.87 1.85 1.83 1.81 1.80 1.78 1.76 1.75 1.73 1.71| | Natural Gas 2/..................|12.31 12.27 12.19 11.81 11.61 11.46 11.32 11.18 11.06 10.92 10.78 10.65 10.52 10.38 10.23 10.11 9.98 9.86 9.73 9.61 9.48| | Steam Coal......................| 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37| | Residual Oil....................| 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.71| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10| | Subtotal......................|16.25 16.20 16.10 15.58 15.33 15.13 14.96 14.77 14.61 14.43 14.25 14.08 13.91 13.74 13.55 13.39 13.23 13.07 12.91 12.76 12.59| | Renewables......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.........................|16.25 16.20 16.10 15.58 15.33 15.13 14.96 14.77 14.61 14.43 14.25 14.08 13.91 13.74 13.55 13.39 13.23 13.07 12.91 12.76 12.59| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 38. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Cement Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).| 3.98 3.52 3.83 4.19 4.73 4.92 4.98 4.91 4.90 5.03 5.14 5.22 5.27 5.39 5.49 5.55 5.69 5.74 5.80 5.75 5.72| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 69.7 61.5 65.3 69.6 77.4 79.8 80.4 79.6 79.0 80.6 82.0 82.7 83.2 84.8 85.9 86.6 88.3 88.7 89.4 88.4 87.7| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 80.0 70.4 74.4 76.5 81.1 82.2 82.1 81.8 80.9 81.4 81.8 81.8 81.6 82.1 82.3 82.3 82.9 82.7 82.6 81.6 80.7| | Steam Coal......................|274.3 241.5 255.2 262.6 278.3 282.1 281.9 280.5 277.4 279.3 280.6 280.7 280.1 281.7 282.5 282.4 284.4 283.6 283.4 279.9 276.9| | Residual Oil....................| 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2| | Distillate Oil..................| 12.0 10.6 11.2 11.5 12.2 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.1| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 61.0 53.6 56.7 58.3 61.8 62.7 62.6 62.3 61.6 62.1 62.4 62.4 62.2 62.6 62.8 62.7 63.2 63.0 62.9 62.2 61.5| | Subtotal......................|499.1 439.4 464.8 480.6 513.1 521.5 521.6 518.7 513.2 517.9 521.3 522.1 521.7 525.7 528.1 528.6 533.5 532.7 532.9 526.5 521.2| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................|499.1 439.4 464.8 480.6 513.1 521.5 521.6 518.7 513.2 517.9 521.3 522.1 521.7 525.7 528.1 528.6 533.5 532.7 532.9 526.5 521.2| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|17.52 17.48 17.04 16.61 16.34 16.23 16.16 16.21 16.12 16.02 15.93 15.86 15.80 15.72 15.65 15.59 15.51 15.46 15.41 15.37 15.33| | Natural Gas 2/..................|20.10 20.01 19.41 18.26 17.14 16.72 16.50 16.64 16.50 16.18 15.90 15.68 15.50 15.23 15.00 14.82 14.56 14.41 14.24 14.19 14.11| | Steam Coal......................|68.98 68.66 66.60 62.64 58.80 57.37 56.63 57.11 56.61 55.51 54.55 53.81 53.17 52.26 51.48 50.84 49.96 49.44 48.86 48.68 48.42| | Residual Oil....................| 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.50 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38| | Distillate Oil..................| 3.02 3.01 2.92 2.75 2.58 2.51 2.48 2.50 2.48 2.43 2.39 2.36 2.33 2.29 2.25 2.23 2.19 2.16 2.14 2.13 2.12| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Other Petroleum 3/..............|15.33 15.26 14.80 13.92 13.06 12.75 12.58 12.69 12.58 12.33 12.12 11.95 11.81 11.61 11.44 11.29 11.10 10.98 10.85 10.81 10.76| | Subtotal......................|125.5 125.0 121.3 114.7 108.4 106.0 104.8 105.6 104.7 102.9 101.3 100.1 99.0 97.52 96.24 95.17 93.71 92.85 91.90 91.56 91.12| | Renewables......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.........................|125.5 125.0 121.3 114.7 108.4 106.0 104.8 105.6 104.7 102.9 101.3 100.1 99.0 97.52 96.24 95.17 93.71 92.85 91.90 91.56 91.12| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 39. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Iron and Steel Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).|51.50 46.07 47.95 51.14 54.84 54.98 54.18 54.83 54.84 55.49 55.93 56.24 56.57 57.30 57.90 58.01 57.81 57.89 57.82 57.64 57.55| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|160.1 144.2 145.7 156.1 169.6 171.2 169.9 173.6 175.2 178.8 181.8 184.3 186.8 190.6 194.0 195.8 196.6 198.1 199.2 199.9 200.9| | Natural Gas 2/..................|484.1 438.9 451.6 456.8 472.2 467.8 460.4 462.7 461.4 464.8 467.5 468.5 469.9 474.8 478.9 480.3 479.3 480.4 481.0 481.4 482.1| | Steam Coal......................| 92.0 81.2 79.9 85.9 92.5 94.8 94.1 98.1 100.9 105.3 109.1 114.1 119.8 126.8 133.5 138.0 141.8 147.3 151.7 155.0 160.1| | Metallurgical Coal..............| 1062 950.7 942.0 914.6 888.1 862.4 837.4 813.1 789.5 766.6 744.4 722.8 701.8 681.5 661.7 642.5 623.9 605.8 588.2 571.2 554.6| | Net Coal Coke Imports...........| 53.5 42.2 35.5 51.3 79.6 83.8 82.3 90.7 94.9 102.4 108.2 112.7 116.8 122.1 126.2 128.0 128.1 128.6 128.4 127.5 126.5| | Residual Oil....................| 26.3 24.1 23.9 21.9 21.6 20.7 20.1 20.0 19.8 19.9 20.0 19.9 19.8 19.9 20.1 20.0 19.9 19.8 19.7 19.8 19.7| | Distillate Oil..................| 7.6 7.1 7.0 6.9 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 3.6 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 7.3 6.7 6.6 6.2 6.3 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7| | Subtotal......................| 1896 1698 1695 1703 1740 1716 1679 1673 1657 1653 1646 1638 1630 1631 1630 1620 1605 1595 1583 1570 1559| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................| 1896 1698 1695 1703 1740 1716 1679 1673 1657 1653 1646 1638 1630 1631 1630 1620 1605 1595 1583 1570 1559| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........| 3.11 3.13 3.04 3.05 3.09 3.11 3.14 3.17 3.20 3.22 3.25 3.28 3.30 3.33 3.35 3.38 3.40 3.42 3.45 3.47 3.49| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 9.40 9.53 9.42 8.93 8.61 8.51 8.50 8.44 8.41 8.38 8.36 8.33 8.31 8.29 8.27 8.28 8.29 8.30 8.32 8.35 8.38| | Steam Coal......................| 1.79 1.76 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.72 1.74 1.79 1.84 1.90 1.95 2.03 2.12 2.21 2.31 2.38 2.45 2.55 2.62 2.69 2.78| | Metallurgical Coal..............|20.61 20.64 19.65 17.89 16.20 15.69 15.45 14.83 14.40 13.82 13.31 12.85 12.41 11.89 11.43 11.08 10.79 10.47 10.17 9.91 9.64| | Net Coal Coke Imports...........| 1.04 0.92 0.74 1.00 1.45 1.52 1.52 1.65 1.73 1.84 1.93 2.00 2.07 2.13 2.18 2.21 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.21 2.20| | Residual Oil....................| 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10| | Subtotal......................|36.82 36.87 35.36 33.29 31.73 31.21 30.99 30.52 30.21 29.79 29.43 29.12 28.82 28.46 28.15 27.92 27.76 27.56 27.38 27.24 27.09| | Renewables......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.........................|36.82 36.87 35.36 33.29 31.73 31.21 30.99 30.52 30.21 29.79 29.43 29.12 28.82 28.46 28.15 27.92 27.76 27.56 27.38 27.24 27.09| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 40. Energy Consumption for Heat and Power by Aluminum Industry | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Industry Output and Consumption |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Industry Output (billion dollars).| 9.14 10.06 10.43 10.69 11.09 10.83 10.31 10.54 10.67 10.85 11.05 11.12 11.19 11.42 11.58 11.70 11.82 11.92 12.00 12.07 12.11| | | +| | | Energy Consumption (trill. Btu) 1/| +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|234.1 253.5 259.4 264.1 271.8 264.3 250.7 255.2 256.7 259.1 262.0 262.0 262.2 265.7 267.6 268.6 269.5 270.0 270.2 269.9 269.2| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 19.4 20.5 20.8 21.1 21.6 21.1 20.1 20.4 20.5 20.7 20.9 20.8 20.8 21.1 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.1 21.0| | Steam Coal......................| 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9| | Residual Oil....................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 8.9 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.4 10.1 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.3| | Subtotal......................|264.0 285.5 292.0 297.2 305.7 297.3 282.1 287.1 288.8 291.5 294.7 294.7 294.9 298.8 300.9 301.9 303.0 303.5 303.7 303.3 302.4| | Renewables......................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Total.........................|264.0 285.5 292.0 297.2 305.7 297.3 282.1 287.1 288.8 291.5 294.7 294.7 294.9 298.8 300.9 301.9 303.0 303.5 303.7 303.3 302.4| | | +| | | Energy Consumption per Unit of | +| | | Output (thousand) | +| | | Purchased Electricity...........|25.60 25.21 24.88 24.70 24.51 24.41 24.33 24.21 24.05 23.87 23.70 23.57 23.43 23.26 23.10 22.96 22.80 22.65 22.51 22.37 22.23| | Natural Gas 2/..................| 2.12 2.04 1.99 1.97 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.92 1.90 1.89 1.87 1.86 1.84 1.83 1.81 1.80 1.78 1.76 1.75 1.73| | Steam Coal......................| 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15| | Residual Oil....................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Distillate Oil..................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Liquefied Petroleum Gas.........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Other Petroleum 3/..............| 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85| | Subtotal......................|28.87 28.39 28.00 27.79 27.56 27.46 27.38 27.24 27.06 26.86 26.66 26.51 26.35 26.15 25.98 25.81 25.63 25.46 25.30 25.13 24.98| | Renewables......................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.........................|28.87 28.39 28.00 27.79 27.56 27.46 27.38 27.24 27.06 26.86 26.66 26.51 26.35 26.15 25.98 25.81 25.63 25.46 25.30 25.13 24.98| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 41. Summary Report, Transportation Sector Energy Use by Mode and Type (Trillion Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Mode and Type |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Energy Use by Mode | +| | | Highway | +| | | Light-Duty Vehicles...........|12738 12666 12812 13056 13258 13472 13596 13770 13941 14108 14295 14438 14592 14744 14874 15032 15180 15295 15414 15521 15640| | Automobiles.................|11318 11217 11275 11390 11461 11536 11551 11609 11662 11712 11789 11834 11893 11956 12009 12090 12171 12228 12292 12350 12418| | Light Trucks 1/.............| 1387 1418 1505 1633 1764 1903 2012 2128 2246 2363 2473 2570 2665 2754 2831 2906 2974 3032 3087 3136 3186| | Motorcycles.................| 32.5 32.2 32.4 32.7 32.9 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.5 33.6 33.8 34.0 34.1 34.3 34.5 34.7 34.9 35.1 35.3 35.4 35.6| | Buses.........................| 93.7 93.5 94.1 94.7 96.0 97.1 98.4 99.2 100.2 101.1 102.2 103.3 104.1 105.1 106.1 106.9 107.5 108.3 109.0 109.9 110.4| | Transit.....................| 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3| | Intercity...................| 71.9 71.7 72.1 72.6 73.6 74.5 75.4 76.0 76.9 77.5 78.4 79.2 79.8 80.6 81.4 81.9 82.4 83.0 83.6 84.3 84.7| | School......................| 21.6 21.5 21.6 21.8 22.1 22.3 22.6 22.8 23.1 23.3 23.5 23.8 24.0 24.2 24.4 24.6 24.7 24.9 25.1 25.3 25.4| | Freight Trucks 2/.............| 5039 5339 5505 5730 5936 6071 6128 6180 6215 6311 6423 6504 6599 6709 6797 6902 7010 7134 7224 7289 7392| | Small (< 10000 pounds).....| 1550 1637 1682 1744 1800 1835 1845 1854 1858 1880 1906 1923 1944 1969 1988 2011 2035 2063 2082 2092 2114| | Medium (10000-19500 pounds).|989.6 1050 1084 1131 1173 1201 1215 1227 1236 1257 1281 1299 1320 1344 1364 1387 1411 1438 1459 1474 1497| | Large (> 19500 pounds).....| 2499 2652 2739 2856 2963 3035 3068 3099 3121 3174 3236 3282 3335 3395 3445 3504 3564 3632 3684 3722 3781| | | +| | | Non-Highway | +| | | Air 3/........................| 2380 2401 2496 2603 2714 2806 2873 2955 3031 3103 3190 3258 3338 3414 3484 3552 3630 3705 3771 3830 3898| | General Aviation............|156.5 157.0 161.1 165.8 170.8 174.9 177.9 181.6 185.1 188.4 192.4 195.6 199.4 202.9 206.2 209.4 213.1 216.6 219.7 222.5 225.8| | Domestic Air Carriers.......| 1678 1671 1722 1784 1849 1900 1923 1959 1990 2026 2062 2092 2122 2157 2191 2226 2260 2297 2328 2356 2392| | International Air Carriers..|259.6 280.3 303.8 322.4 342.0 359.5 372.5 388.2 403.3 410.6 427.2 433.9 450.1 458.2 465.8 473.8 491.6 500.5 507.8 514.5 522.9| | Freight Carriers............|285.7 291.9 309.3 330.7 352.5 372.4 400.5 425.7 452.5 478.4 508.4 537.0 566.6 595.5 620.9 642.9 665.5 691.1 714.9 736.4 757.6| | Water 4/......................| 1535 1541 1586 1626 1666 1704 1737 1774 1808 1845 1884 1922 1962 2006 2045 2078 2113 2153 2192 2227 2264| | Freight.....................| 1291 1297 1341 1379 1416 1453 1484 1519 1552 1587 1625 1662 1700 1743 1780 1812 1845 1883 1922 1955 1990| | Domestic Shipping.........|308.6 301.1 306.4 311.2 316.7 319.7 321.5 323.6 325.8 328.8 333.2 337.4 341.1 346.6 351.2 354.9 358.5 364.4 369.5 373.4 378.8| | International Shipping....|982.4 995.6 1034 1068 1100 1133 1163 1195 1226 1258 1291 1324 1359 1396 1429 1457 1487 1519 1552 1582 1611| | Recreational Boats..........|244.0 243.9 245.7 247.6 249.8 251.9 253.3 254.8 256.2 257.6 259.1 260.4 261.8 263.2 264.7 266.2 267.7 269.3 270.7 272.2 273.8| | Rail..........................|512.9 521.9 530.9 540.1 548.2 553.2 555.1 557.8 559.4 562.4 566.7 572.5 577.8 584.3 591.1 596.2 601.2 608.0 615.0 619.2 626.6| | Freight.....................|456.9 466.1 474.9 483.8 491.6 496.5 498.4 501.1 502.7 505.7 510.0 515.6 520.7 527.2 533.8 538.6 543.5 550.3 557.2 561.4 568.6| | Passenger...................| 56.1 55.8 56.0 56.3 56.5 56.7 56.6 56.6 56.7 56.7 56.7 56.9 57.1 57.2 57.4 57.5 57.7 57.7 57.8 57.8 58.0| | Transit...................| 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8| | Commuter..................| 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.9 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.2 11.2 11.2| | Intercity.................| 40.6 40.4 40.6 40.8 40.9 41.1 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.2 41.3 41.4 41.5 41.7 41.8 41.8 41.9 41.9 42.0| | Lubricants....................|149.0 149.6 148.3 149.3 150.4 155.3 161.2 164.8 167.0 169.1 170.3 171.1 171.9 173.1 175.2 178.6 182.6 187.1 190.6 192.6 193.7| | Pipeline Fuel Natural Gas.....|680.3 619.5 673.7 667.8 672.6 671.4 673.9 674.7 675.0 679.0 691.0 699.4 709.1 720.6 724.4 722.6 719.7 730.0 731.8 725.1 726.6| | | +| | | Military Use....................|902.1 953.2 893.9 815.4 760.5 673.3 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 658.3 660.3 662.3 664.3 666.4 668.4 670.5| | Aviation 5/...................|795.0 828.2 776.7 708.4 660.8 585.0 570.1 570.1 570.1 570.1 570.1 570.1 570.1 570.1 571.9 573.7 575.4 577.2 579.0 580.8 582.5| | Residual Fuel Use.............| 15.6 18.4 17.3 15.7 14.7 13.0 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.8 12.8 12.9 12.9 12.9| | Distillate Fuel Use...........| 91.5 106.6 100.0 91.2 85.1 75.3 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.6 73.9 74.1 74.3 74.6 74.8 75.0| | | +| | | Total 6/..........................|22559 22727 23139 23619 24083 24451 24716 25060 25378 25739 26157 26488 26852 27230 27555 27905 28260 28610 28922 29180 29499| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 41. Summary Report, Transportation Sector Energy Use by Mode and Type (Trillion Btu) (Continued) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Mode and Type |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Energy Use by Type | +| | | Oil.............................|21814 22042 22399 22884 23318 23662 23899 24215 24505 24839 25228 25531 25856 26179 26449 26746 27049 27337 27599 27821 28098| | Motor Gasoline................|13577 13545 13709 13980 14173 14367 14455 14591 14720 14861 15030 15148 15262 15358 15417 15497 15569 15612 15661 15702 15761| | Distillate (diesel)...........| 3830 4027 4146 4294 4435 4530 4585 4640 4686 4769 4865 4946 5035 5137 5226 5324 5425 5540 5636 5713 5819| | Jet Fuel (kerosene & nap).....| 3129 3184 3229 3267 3331 3348 3400 3482 3558 3631 3718 3786 3866 3942 4013 4083 4163 4240 4308 4369 4439| | Residual Oil..................| 1030 1043 1080 1111 1142 1172 1200 1231 1261 1292 1324 1356 1390 1426 1459 1486 1515 1547 1580 1609 1638| | Aviation Gasoline.............| 45.4 44.8 44.3 43.9 43.6 43.3 43.1 42.9 42.8 42.7 42.6 42.5 42.4 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.2 42.2 42.2 42.2 42.1| | Liquid Petroleum Gas..........| 52.1 47.9 43.3 38.6 42.5 47.1 54.7 62.5 70.2 75.4 78.2 81.2 88.7 100.6 116.5 134.4 152.3 168.3 182.2 194.0 204.7| | Lubricants....................|149.0 149.6 148.3 149.3 150.4 155.3 161.2 164.8 167.0 169.1 170.3 171.1 171.9 173.1 175.2 178.6 182.6 187.1 190.6 192.6 193.7| | Methanol........................| 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.4 4.6 6.0 7.9 10.2 13.6 18.2 23.7 29.7 35.9 42.4 49.1 56.0 62.7| | Ethanol.........................| 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.0 3.0 4.3 5.9 8.0 10.6 13.9 17.6 22.0 26.7 31.6 36.4 41.2 46.0 50.7 55.2| | Electricity.....................| 59.6 59.3 59.6 59.9 63.2 66.5 69.4 73.7 78.1 81.8 84.7 90.2 96.1 107.6 119.9 132.6 145.3 157.4 169.3 180.5 191.2| | Compressed Natural Gas..........| 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.6 26.2 46.9 67.9 88.8 109.6 125.0 134.3 143.3 159.3 182.1 211.0 242.8 274.0 301.8 326.1 346.8 365.2| | Liquid Hydrogen.................| 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0| | Pipeline Fuel Natural Gas.......|680.3 619.5 673.7 667.8 672.6 671.4 673.9 674.7 675.0 679.0 691.0 699.4 709.1 720.6 724.4 722.6 719.7 730.0 731.8 725.1 726.6| | | +| | | Total Consumption.................|22559 22727 23139 23619 24083 24451 24716 25060 25378 25739 26157 26488 26852 27230 27555 27905 28260 28610 28922 29180 29499| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 42. Summary Transportation Sector Energy Use by Fuel Type Within a Mode (Trillion Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Mode and Fuel |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Light-Duty Vehicle 1/ | +| | | Motor Gasoline..................|12517 12455 12608 12860 13037 13225 13320 13464 13602 13743 13912 14033 14150 14246 14307 14389 14461 14504 14557 14605 14666| | Methanol........................| 0.09 0.34 0.62 0.98 1.41 1.97 2.59 3.43 4.57 5.97 7.87 10.21 13.64 18.19 23.66 29.67 35.92 42.36 49.11 55.96 62.72| | Ethanol.........................| 0.17 0.23 0.31 0.44 1.17 2.00 3.00 4.27 5.89 7.98 10.64 13.85 17.64 22.00 26.68 31.56 36.44 41.22 46.01 50.70 55.25| | Compressed Natural Gas..........| 6.78 6.86 6.94 7.09 27.76 48.54 69.47 90.36 111.2 126.6 135.9 144.9 160.9 183.8 212.7 244.5 275.7 303.6 327.9 348.6 367.0| | LPG.............................|39.04 34.08 28.99 23.77 27.08 31.31 38.72 46.46 54.00 58.94 61.48 64.20 71.42 83.01 98.64 116.3 133.9 149.5 163.1 174.8 185.2| | Electricity.....................| 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.43 3.46 6.50 9.57 13.85 18.21 21.96 24.83 30.07 35.80 47.22 59.23 71.73 84.28 96.42 108.2 119.3 129.9| | Liquid Hydrogen.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Distillate (diesel).............|175.2 169.7 166.4 163.3 159.9 156.3 152.0 148.5 145.3 143.3 142.5 142.1 142.7 144.4 146.3 149.3 153.0 157.5 162.3 167.3 173.7| | Total.............................|12738 12667 12812 13056 13258 13472 13596 13770 13941 14108 14295 14438 14592 14744 14874 15032 15180 15295 15414 15522 15640| | | +| | | Freight Trucks 2/ | +| | | Motor Gasoline..................| 2303 2415 2466 2541 2606 2640 2638 2635 2624 2639 2659 2666 2678 2695 2703 2717 2731 2750 2755 2750 2758| | Distillate (diesel).............| 2723 2910 3026 3175 3314 3416 3473 3529 3575 3656 3747 3821 3903 3996 4076 4167 4260 4365 4450 4520 4614| | Methanol........................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Compressed Natural Gas..........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | LPG.............................|13.05 13.83 14.27 14.86 15.41 15.78 15.94 16.09 16.20 16.46 16.77 17.00 17.26 17.57 17.81 18.11 18.41 18.75 19.01 19.20 19.49| | Total.............................| 5039 5339 5505 5730 5936 6071 6128 6180 6215 6311 6423 6504 6599 6709 6797 6902 7010 7134 7224 7289 7392| | | +| | | Freight Rail 3/ | +| | | Distillate (diesel).............|456.9 466.1 474.9 483.8 491.6 496.5 498.4 501.1 502.7 505.7 510.0 515.6 520.7 527.2 533.8 538.6 543.5 550.3 557.2 561.4 568.6| | Total.............................|456.9 466.1 474.9 483.8 491.6 496.5 498.4 501.1 502.7 505.7 510.0 515.6 520.7 527.2 533.8 538.6 543.5 550.3 557.2 561.4 568.6| | | +| | | Domestic Shipping | +| | | Distillate (diesel).............|214.2 209.1 212.7 216.0 219.8 221.9 223.1 224.6 226.1 228.2 231.2 234.2 236.8 240.6 243.8 246.4 248.8 252.9 256.5 259.2 263.0| | Residual Oil....................|94.37 92.06 93.66 95.17 96.86 97.80 98.34 98.99 99.7 100.6 101.9 103.2 104.3 106.0 107.4 108.5 109.6 111.4 113.0 114.2 115.8| | Motor Gasoline..................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total.............................|308.6 301.1 306.4 311.2 316.7 319.7 321.5 323.6 325.8 328.8 333.2 337.4 341.1 346.6 351.2 354.9 358.5 364.4 369.5 373.4 378.8| | | +| | | International Shipping | +| | | Distillate (diesel).............|62.20 63.07 65.52 67.60 69.62 71.70 73.58 75.64 77.58 79.62 81.74 83.83 86.01 88.37 90.47 92.27 94.13 96.19 98.29 100.2 102.1| | Residual Oil....................|920.2 932.6 968.7 1000 1030 1061 1089 1119 1148 1178 1210 1241 1273 1308 1338 1365 1392 1423 1454 1482 1509| | Total.............................|982.4 995.6 1034 1068 1100 1133 1163 1195 1226 1258 1291 1324 1359 1396 1429 1457 1487 1519 1552 1582 1611| | | +| | | Air Transportation | +| | | Jet Fuel........................| 2335 2356 2452 2559 2671 2763 2830 2912 2988 3061 3148 3216 3296 3372 3442 3510 3588 3663 3729 3788 3856| | Aviation Gasoline...............|45.36 44.79 44.32 43.93 43.61 43.34 43.12 42.94 42.79 42.66 42.56 42.48 42.41 42.35 42.30 42.26 42.23 42.20 42.18 42.16 42.14| | Total.............................| 2380 2401 2496 2603 2714 2806 2873 2955 3031 3103 3190 3258 3338 3414 3484 3552 3630 3705 3771 3830 3898| | | +| | | Miscellaneous Transportation | +| | | Military Use | +| | | Jet Fuel (kerosene)...........|451.6 485.4 455.2 415.2 387.3 342.9 334.1 334.1 334.1 334.1 334.1 334.1 334.1 334.1 335.2 336.2 337.3 338.3 339.3 340.4 341.4| | Jet Fuel (naphtha)............|343.4 342.8 321.5 293.2 273.5 242.1 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.0 236.7 237.4 238.2 238.9 239.6 240.4 241.1| | Residual Fuel.................|15.58 18.40 17.25 15.74 14.68 13.00 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.66 12.71 12.74 12.78 12.82 12.86 12.90 12.94| | Distillate....................|91.52 106.6 100.0 91.23 85.09 75.33 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.41 73.65 73.87 74.10 74.33 74.56 74.79 75.02| | Total...........................|902.1 953.2 893.9 815.4 760.5 673.3 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 656.2 658.3 660.3 662.3 664.3 666.4 668.4 670.5| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 42. Summary Transportation Sector Energy Use by Fuel Type Within a Mode (Trillion Btu) (Continued) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Mode and Fuel |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Bus Transportation | +| | | Transit Bus (motor gasoline)..| 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34| | Transit Bus (diesel)..........|71.87 71.69 72.12 72.59 73.62 74.45 75.41 76.03 76.87 77.55 78.37 79.18 79.84 80.56 81.37 81.93 82.44 83.03 83.60 84.26 84.69| | Intercity Bus (diesel)........|21.57 21.52 21.65 21.79 22.10 22.35 22.64 22.82 23.07 23.28 23.52 23.77 23.97 24.18 24.42 24.59 24.74 24.92 25.09 25.29 25.42| | School Bus (motor gasoline)...|27.23 27.18 27.36 27.54 27.95 28.27 28.64 28.89 29.21 29.48 29.80 30.12 30.38 30.65 30.97 31.19 31.39 31.63 31.85 32.11 32.28| | School Bus (diesel)...........|30.18 30.12 30.32 30.53 30.97 31.33 31.74 32.02 32.38 32.68 33.03 33.38 33.67 33.98 34.33 34.57 34.79 35.05 35.30 35.59 35.78| | Total...........................|151.1 150.8 151.7 152.7 154.9 156.7 158.7 160.1 161.8 163.3 165.0 166.8 168.2 169.7 171.4 172.6 173.7 175.0 176.2 177.6 178.5| | | +| | | Rail Transportation | +| | | Intercity Rail (electicity)...| 4.64 4.62 4.64 4.66 4.68 4.70 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.71 4.73 4.73 4.75 4.76 4.78 4.77 4.79 4.79 4.80| | Intercity Rail (diesel).......|10.84 10.79 10.83 10.88 10.92 10.96 10.95 10.95 10.95 10.95 10.95 10.99 11.03 11.05 11.08 11.12 11.15 11.14 11.17 11.17 11.20| | Transit Rail (electricity)....|40.59 40.41 40.58 40.75 40.92 41.07 41.01 41.01 41.02 41.02 41.02 41.17 41.33 41.40 41.53 41.67 41.79 41.77 41.87 41.88 41.99| | Commuter Rail (electricity)...|14.19 14.13 14.19 14.25 14.31 14.36 14.34 14.34 14.34 14.34 14.34 14.39 14.45 14.47 14.52 14.57 14.61 14.60 14.63 14.64 14.67| | Commuter Rail (diesel)........| 7.31 7.28 7.31 7.34 7.37 7.40 7.39 7.39 7.39 7.39 7.39 7.41 7.44 7.46 7.48 7.50 7.53 7.52 7.54 7.54 7.56| | Total...........................|77.57 77.23 77.55 77.88 78.21 78.50 78.37 78.37 78.39 78.39 78.39 78.67 78.97 79.10 79.35 79.62 79.85 79.81 79.99 80.02 80.21| | | +| | | Recreation Boats................|244.0 243.9 245.7 247.6 249.8 251.9 253.3 254.8 256.2 257.6 259.1 260.4 261.8 263.2 264.7 266.2 267.7 269.3 270.7 272.2 273.8| | Lubricants......................|149.0 149.6 148.3 149.3 150.4 155.3 161.2 164.8 167.0 169.1 170.3 171.1 171.9 173.1 175.2 178.6 182.6 187.1 190.6 192.6 193.7| | Pipeline Fuel Natural Gas.......|680.3 619.5 673.7 667.8 672.6 671.4 673.9 674.7 675.0 679.0 691.0 699.4 709.1 720.6 724.4 722.6 719.7 730.0 731.8 725.1 726.6| | | +| | | Total Miscellaneous.............| 2204 2194 2191 2111 2066 1987 1982 1989 1995 2004 2020 2033 2046 2062 2073 2080 2086 2105 2116 2116 2123| | | +| | | Total Consumption.................|22559 22727 23139 23619 24083 24451 24716 25060 25378 25739 26157 26488 26852 27230 27555 27905 28260 28610 28922 29180 29499| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 43. Summary of New Light-Duty Vehicle Size Class Attributes | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Class Attributes |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Personal Vehicles | +| | | New Fuel Efficiency EPA Rated | +| | | Conventional Cars (MPG) | +| | | Minicompact.................|27.97 28.17 27.71 27.16 27.59 27.89 28.37 28.49 28.74 28.90 29.15 29.42 29.56 29.74 30.03 30.12 30.19 30.40 30.55 30.75 30.78| | Subcompact..................|32.10 32.38 32.13 31.49 31.99 32.34 32.89 33.03 33.33 33.51 33.80 34.11 34.28 34.49 34.82 34.93 35.01 35.25 35.42 35.66 35.70| | Compact.....................|29.44 29.65 29.43 28.84 29.30 29.63 30.13 30.26 30.53 30.69 30.96 31.24 31.40 31.59 31.90 31.99 32.07 32.29 32.45 32.66 32.70| | Mid-size....................|26.46 26.88 26.53 26.00 26.42 26.71 27.16 27.28 27.52 27.67 27.91 28.16 28.31 28.48 28.75 28.84 28.91 29.11 29.25 29.44 29.47| | Large.......................|24.25 24.28 23.82 23.34 23.72 23.98 24.39 24.49 24.71 24.84 25.06 25.29 25.41 25.57 25.82 25.90 25.96 26.13 26.26 26.43 26.46| | Two Seater..................|30.60 30.83 30.30 29.69 30.17 30.50 31.02 31.15 31.43 31.60 31.87 32.17 32.33 32.52 32.84 32.94 33.02 33.24 33.41 33.63 33.66| | Average New Car...............|27.96 28.22 27.87 27.16 27.61 27.92 28.44 28.56 28.83 28.99 29.26 29.55 29.70 29.89 30.21 30.30 30.37 30.59 30.74 30.96 30.99| | Average New Car On-Road MPG...|23.88 23.99 23.65 23.01 23.34 23.56 23.93 23.97 24.13 24.20 24.35 24.53 24.60 24.70 24.91 24.93 24.95 25.09 25.19 25.34 25.33| | | +| | | Conventional Light Trucks | +| | | Small Pickup................|27.96 28.77 27.82 27.26 27.70 28.00 28.48 28.60 28.86 29.01 29.27 29.53 29.68 29.86 30.15 30.24 30.31 30.52 30.67 30.87 30.91| | Small Van...................|25.98 26.99 26.33 25.80 26.22 26.50 26.96 27.07 27.31 27.46 27.70 27.95 28.09 28.26 28.54 28.62 28.69 28.89 29.03 29.22 29.25| | Small Utility...............|25.08 25.72 24.86 24.36 24.75 25.03 25.45 25.56 25.79 25.93 26.15 26.39 26.52 26.69 26.94 27.03 27.09 27.28 27.41 27.59 27.62| | Large Pickup................|15.76 16.31 15.87 15.55 15.80 15.98 16.25 16.32 16.46 16.55 16.69 16.85 16.93 17.04 17.20 17.25 17.29 17.41 17.50 17.61 17.63| | Large Van...................|19.80 20.39 19.82 19.42 19.73 19.95 20.29 20.38 20.56 20.67 20.85 21.04 21.15 21.28 21.48 21.55 21.60 21.75 21.85 22.00 22.02| | Large Utility...............|17.60 18.07 17.46 17.11 17.38 17.58 17.88 17.95 18.11 18.21 18.37 18.54 18.63 18.74 18.92 18.98 19.03 19.16 19.25 19.38 19.40| | Average New Light Truck.......|20.61 21.29 20.69 20.33 20.72 21.01 21.40 21.51 21.73 21.87 22.08 22.30 22.43 22.56 22.80 22.89 22.96 23.14 23.27 23.44 23.49| | Average New LT On-Road MPG....|15.49 15.97 15.50 15.20 15.48 15.67 15.89 15.90 15.99 16.02 16.10 16.20 16.24 16.28 16.40 16.41 16.42 16.51 16.57 16.66 16.66| | | +| | | Degradation Factors 1/ | +| | | Cars..........................|0.854 0.850 0.849 0.847 0.845 0.844 0.841 0.839 0.837 0.835 0.832 0.830 0.828 0.826 0.825 0.823 0.822 0.820 0.819 0.818 0.817| | Light Trucks..................|0.854 0.850 0.849 0.847 0.845 0.844 0.841 0.839 0.837 0.835 0.832 0.830 0.828 0.826 0.825 0.823 0.822 0.820 0.819 0.818 0.817| | | +| | | New Fuel Efficiency by | +| | | Size Class 2/ | +| | | Alternative-Fuel Cars | +| | | Small.......................|32.41 32.55 32.19 31.43 31.75 32.02 32.50 40.36 39.95 39.34 39.05 41.79 41.57 43.85 44.15 44.23 44.31 44.53 44.60 44.76 44.71| | Medium......................|30.81 30.90 30.24 29.64 29.98 30.27 30.76 35.42 34.92 34.41 34.24 36.36 36.13 38.21 38.35 38.33 38.33 38.47 38.54 38.70 38.67| | Large.......................|27.14 27.35 26.85 26.03 26.32 26.55 26.96 31.81 31.51 31.08 30.93 33.12 32.98 34.94 35.19 35.23 35.27 35.47 35.57 35.77 35.75| | Average New Alternative Cars..|30.12 30.27 29.76 29.03 29.35 29.61 30.07 35.87 35.46 34.94 34.74 37.09 36.89 39.00 39.23 39.26 39.30 39.49 39.57 39.74 39.71| | | +| | | Alternative-Fuel Light Trucks | +| | | Small.......................|27.88 28.51 27.44 26.77 27.04 27.29 27.71 31.90 31.44 30.97 30.80 32.70 32.49 34.35 34.46 34.43 34.43 34.54 34.60 34.73 34.70| | Medium......................|30.87 30.99 30.36 29.78 30.12 30.40 30.87 38.35 37.98 37.41 37.14 39.76 39.56 41.75 42.05 42.14 42.22 42.44 42.52 42.68 42.64| | Large.......................|27.14 27.35 26.85 26.03 26.32 26.55 26.96 31.81 31.51 31.08 30.93 33.12 32.98 34.94 35.19 35.23 35.27 35.47 35.57 35.77 35.75| | Average New Alt. Light Trucks.|28.63 28.95 28.22 27.53 27.83 28.08 28.51 34.02 33.64 33.15 32.96 35.19 35.01 37.01 37.23 37.27 37.30 37.48 37.56 37.73 37.70| | | +| | | Fleet Vehicles | +| | | New Fuel Efficiency EPA Rated | +| | | Cars..........................|28.37 28.61 28.15 27.62 28.27 28.59 29.07 29.19 29.46 29.62 29.89 30.17 30.47 30.79 31.21 31.37 31.44 31.65 31.81 32.04 32.09| | Light Trucks..................|21.82 22.53 21.89 21.43 22.62 22.90 23.32 23.43 23.66 23.78 24.03 24.27 24.57 24.88 25.31 25.50 25.59 25.76 25.91 26.10 26.13| | | +| | | Average On Road MPG | +| | | Cars..........................|24.26 24.19 24.10 23.88 23.81 23.78 23.91 24.14 24.35 24.53 24.64 24.79 24.94 25.13 25.35 25.55 25.71 25.84 25.94 26.05 26.15| | Light Trucks..................|17.08 17.01 16.85 16.60 16.57 16.60 16.66 16.78 17.01 17.13 17.22 17.31 17.41 17.52 17.68 17.83 17.97 18.11 18.23 18.32 18.38| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 43. Summary of New Light-Duty Vehicle Size Class Attributes (Continued) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Class Attributes |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | New Vehicle Sales Shares (percent)| +| | | Conventional Cars | +| | | Minicompact...................|0.050 0.050 0.050 0.046 0.046 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044| | Subcompact....................|0.210 0.210 0.210 0.202 0.200 0.199 0.201 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.201 0.200 0.199 0.199 0.199 0.200 0.199| | Compact.......................|0.220 0.220 0.220 0.209 0.217 0.223 0.229 0.232 0.236 0.238 0.242 0.246 0.248 0.251 0.255 0.257 0.258 0.261 0.263 0.266 0.267| | Mid-Size......................|0.320 0.320 0.320 0.291 0.285 0.281 0.277 0.275 0.273 0.271 0.269 0.266 0.265 0.263 0.260 0.259 0.258 0.256 0.254 0.253 0.252| | Large.........................|0.160 0.160 0.160 0.195 0.195 0.195 0.191 0.191 0.189 0.189 0.188 0.186 0.185 0.184 0.182 0.183 0.183 0.182 0.182 0.180 0.181| | Two Seater....................|0.050 0.050 0.050 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057| | | +| | | Conventional Light Trucks | +| | | Small Pickup..................|0.140 0.140 0.140 0.152 0.148 0.145 0.141 0.139 0.137 0.136 0.134 0.132 0.130 0.129 0.127 0.126 0.125 0.124 0.123 0.121 0.121| | Small Van.....................|0.260 0.260 0.260 0.244 0.252 0.258 0.265 0.268 0.272 0.274 0.278 0.282 0.285 0.288 0.292 0.293 0.295 0.298 0.300 0.303 0.304| | Small Utility.................|0.130 0.130 0.130 0.138 0.142 0.146 0.147 0.148 0.150 0.151 0.152 0.153 0.154 0.155 0.156 0.157 0.158 0.159 0.160 0.160 0.161| | Large Pickup..................|0.330 0.330 0.330 0.323 0.316 0.310 0.307 0.305 0.302 0.300 0.297 0.295 0.293 0.291 0.288 0.286 0.284 0.282 0.280 0.279 0.277| | Large Van.....................|0.090 0.090 0.090 0.091 0.088 0.086 0.085 0.084 0.083 0.083 0.082 0.081 0.080 0.080 0.079 0.078 0.078 0.077 0.077 0.076 0.076| | Large Utility.................|0.050 0.050 0.050 0.052 0.054 0.055 0.055 0.056 0.056 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.058 0.058 0.059 0.059 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.061 0.061| | | +| | | New Vehicle Average Horse Power | +| | | Conventional Cars | +| | | Minicompact...................|83.03 84.38 97.78 106.6 97.05 102.8 90.44 94.53 96.17 81.49 84.22 85.48 88.61 86.67 87.95 94.41 100.5 105.3 105.4 107.2 95.39| | Subcompact....................|125.6 126.8 144.1 157.3 140.9 149.6 129.5 135.6 138.1 114.1 118.2 120.1 124.3 119.6 121.9 130.6 139.5 146.5 145.8 148.5 128.0| | Compact.......................|117.7 119.0 137.4 150.0 141.2 149.4 133.8 139.5 142.0 124.9 128.7 130.4 134.8 133.2 135.5 143.9 152.4 158.9 159.4 161.6 148.7| | Mid-Size......................|149.8 152.3 176.2 191.5 183.2 193.7 176.2 183.3 186.0 168.8 173.5 175.7 181.1 180.4 184.2 194.8 205.5 213.5 214.7 217.0 204.6| | Large.........................|236.4 238.3 277.0 305.7 299.3 316.3 290.2 301.6 306.9 287.5 295.1 298.6 307.6 308.2 315.3 331.2 347.9 360.8 363.1 366.6 350.6| | Two Seater....................|106.5 108.5 127.7 139.7 132.5 140.4 126.5 132.0 134.2 122.2 125.9 127.6 132.1 132.1 133.7 143.5 151.7 158.1 159.0 161.3 151.1| | Average New Car.................|147.5 149.3 172.5 191.3 181.4 191.8 172.1 179.3 181.9 163.3 167.7 169.4 174.7 173.0 176.0 186.4 197.0 204.8 205.3 207.5 193.0| | | +| | | Conventional Light Trucks | +| | | Small Pickup..................|115.3 115.9 129.9 141.5 129.1 137.3 133.6 139.0 141.2 145.2 148.8 150.4 154.7 136.8 141.5 154.0 162.3 168.9 168.8 171.3 183.0| | Small Van.....................|139.7 141.2 161.1 175.3 166.0 176.0 171.5 178.0 180.6 171.5 175.9 177.9 181.4 166.4 173.1 188.5 198.2 205.9 207.1 210.2 224.8| | Small Utility.................|160.6 161.7 185.2 202.0 192.8 204.5 199.4 206.9 210.1 207.2 212.2 214.5 218.0 202.3 211.1 229.6 240.8 249.8 251.5 254.3 270.3| | Large Pickup..................|162.8 164.2 187.5 203.9 189.9 201.7 196.6 204.2 207.3 209.7 214.7 217.0 222.3 199.5 206.8 226.0 237.7 246.9 247.2 250.7 267.7| | Large Van.....................|175.0 176.3 202.5 220.9 206.9 219.5 214.1 222.3 225.7 232.3 237.7 240.2 243.1 219.8 227.3 247.9 259.9 269.4 270.0 273.4 291.1| | Large Utility.................|188.1 189.2 218.1 239.3 229.4 243.0 237.1 245.9 249.7 256.8 262.7 265.4 269.3 251.7 260.8 284.9 297.9 308.2 310.1 312.7 333.2| | Average New Light Truck.........|152.2 153.5 175.2 190.6 178.9 189.9 185.2 192.4 195.3 194.6 199.3 201.5 205.6 187.0 194.2 211.7 222.4 230.9 231.8 234.9 250.6| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | AEO94B.D1221934 ....92MDPRC;............ | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E N E R G Y I N F O R M A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N 1 N A T I O N A L E N E R G Y M O D E L I N G S Y S T E M Phase I NEMS -- Software Test Platform -- Results for Testing Linkages Only + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Table 44. Light-Duty Vehicle Energy Consumption by Technology Type and Fuel Type (Trillion Btu) | + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Technology Type |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 | |___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____| + _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | +| | | Light-Duty Consum. by Tech. Type | +| | | Conventional Vehicles 1/ | +| | | Gasoline ICE Vehicles...........|12517 12455 12608 12859 13037 13225 13319 13461 13598 13737 13903 14020 14132 14221 14275 14349 14414 14450 14494 14534 14587| | Distillate (diesel) ICE.........|175.2 169.7 166.4 163.3 159.9 156.3 152.0 148.5 145.3 143.3 142.5 142.1 142.7 144.4 146.3 149.3 153.0 157.5 162.3 167.3 173.7| | | +| | | Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | +| | | Alcohol Fuel Technology | +| | | Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE........| 0.12 0.39 0.70 1.09 1.58 2.26 3.06 4.15 5.61 7.43 9.84 12.77 16.86 22.15 28.39 35.18 42.40 50.01 58.13 66.46 74.60| | Methanol-Neat ICE.............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.16 0.25 0.40 0.61 0.91 1.29 1.75 2.29 2.90 3.57| | Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE.........| 0.20 0.27 0.37 0.55 1.34 2.27 3.42 4.93 6.89 9.54 13.04 17.24 22.12 27.69 33.56 39.59 45.54 51.26 56.92 62.39 67.62| | Ethanol-Neat Ice..............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.36 0.56 0.84 1.19 1.62 2.13 2.69 3.31| | Total Alcohol...................| 0.32 0.66 1.08 1.64 2.93 4.54 6.51 9.13 12.58 17.09 23.06 30.30 39.46 50.60 63.12 76.52 90.41 104.6 119.5 134.4 149.1| | Natural Gas Technology | +| | | CNG ICE.......................| 5.43 5.44 5.48 5.58 26.20 46.95 67.87 88.75 109.6 125.0 134.3 143.3 159.3 182.1 211.0 242.8 274.0 301.8 326.1 346.8 365.3| | LPG ICE.......................|40.39 35.49 30.44 25.28 28.64 32.90 40.32 48.07 55.61 60.57 63.13 65.87 73.10 84.72 100.4 118.1 135.6 151.3 165.0 176.6 187.1| | Total Natural Gas...............|45.82 40.94 35.92 30.86 54.84 79.85 108.2 136.8 165.2 185.5 197.4 209.1 232.4 266.8 311.3 360.9 409.6 453.1 491.0 523.4 552.4| | Electric Technology | +| | | Electric Vehicle..............| 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.42 3.45 6.48 9.53 12.82 16.17 18.91 20.75 23.49 26.74 32.90 39.86 47.52 55.36 62.91 69.94 76.31 82.00| | Electric Hybrid...............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.08 2.04 4.04 6.05 8.06 12.96 17.77 27.82 37.26 45.95 53.93 61.02 67.53 73.18 77.94| | Electric Hybrid 2 Stroke......| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.20 0.34 0.80 1.47 2.43 3.82 5.81 8.62 12.28 16.82| | Electric Hybrid Turbine.......| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.19 0.36 0.64 1.12| | Total Electricity...............| 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.43 3.46 6.52 9.61 14.88 20.25 25.01 28.90 36.65 44.86 61.53 78.60 95.94 113.2 129.9 146.4 162.4 177.9| | | +| | | Turbine Technology | +| | | Gas Turbine Gasoline..........| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06| | Gas Turbine CNG...............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01| | Total Turbine...................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.07| | Fuel Cell Technology | +| | | Fuel Cell Methanol............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Fuel Cell Hydrogen............| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | Total Fuel Cell.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| | | +| | | Light-Duty Consump. by Fuel Type1/| +| | | Motor Gasoline..................|12517 12455 12608 12860 13037 13225 13320 13464 13602 13743 13912 14033 14150 14246 14307 14389 14461 14504 14557 14605 14666| | Distillate (diesel).............|175.2 169.7 166.4 163.3 159.9 156.3 152.0 148.5 145.3 143.3 142.5 142.1 142.7 144.4 146.3 149.3 153.0 157.5 162.3 167.3 173.7| | Methanol........................| 0.09 0.34 0.62 0.98 1.41 1.97 2.59 3.43 4.57 5.97 7.87 10.21 13.64 18.19 23.66 29.67 35.92 42.36 49.11 55.96 62.72| | Ethanol.........................| 0.17 0.23 0.31 0.44 1.17 2.00 3.00 4.27 5.89 7.98 10.64 13.85 17.64 22.00 26.68 31.56 36.44 41.22 46.01 50.70 55.25| | Compressed Natural Gas..........| 6.78 6.86 6.94 7.09 27.76 48.54 69.47 90.36 111.2 126.6 135.9 144.9 160.9 183.8 212.7 244.5 275.7 303.6 327.9 348.6 367.0| | LPG.............................|39.04 34.08 28.99 23.77 27.08 31.31 38.72 46.46 54.00 58.94 61.48 64.20 71.42 83.01 98.64 116.3 133.9 149.5 163.1 174.8 185.2| | Electricity.....................| 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.43 3.46 6.50 9.57 13.85 18.21 21.96 24.83 30.07 35.80 47.22 59.23 71.73 84.28 96.42 108.2 119.3 129.9| | Liquid Hydrogen.................| 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00| + ___________________________________________________________________________________________________