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?p?@@`@AAPAAB@BBC0CCD DpDEE`EFFPFFG@GGH0HHI IpIJJ`JKKPKKL@LLM0MMN NpNOO`OZ4   Z0.TCHT d6(>N^N~n2BR^~"n.ElectronicsMotorHeatingLightingTechnology CategoryP @ P@ `P$@ @P @P@P@PP@P@P@P@P%@P&@P'@P(@P @ P @ `P @ @Electronics Motor,Heating8LightingP9P:@\(P;@zGP/@\(P.@zGxP-@GzHP!@(\(P"@P#@=p @P@P@QP@Gxh ހ .lHH(FG(HH(d'TCHTS4S4)"-A)hrv z ~ &"#$%&'(|)Z*@+z-t.R/( P[  P     Figure A-4 ( P YH     Figure A-2 ( P `l@     Figure A-3 ( P p     Figure A-5 ( P <(     Figure A-6 ( Q! Q'Q.hQ.Q'     Page #38 t(/P--/D /  / Comparison of AEO97 Estimates and LBNL Results (*P--D     Annual Growth Rate = 3.7% (*P--D     Annual Growth Rate = 3.4% (*P--     Annual Growth Rate = 4.6% (8P--80 8  8 Figure A-6: Comparison Graph of AEO97 and LBNL Forecast b(phP-b-bh0 h   ? z   . h  Our (LBNL) miscellaneous growth shown in this graph from 1996 to 2010 and our 2010 estimate of miscellaneous electricity includes expected growth from new products. This graph reflects the LBNL-Predicted Scenario Adjusted for New Products. We adjusted our predicted scenario forecasted to account for growth from new products as described in our methodology. (P--0    A-7 (*P--$L,     Growth Rate (1976-2010) (P--\,L$    Growth Rate (1996-2010) (P--$L,    Growth Rate (1976-1995) (*<P--<\,L$ <  % <  Figure A-5: Annual Growth Rates by Major End Use Category *(8P-*-*$L,   ; |  The end use category growth rates from 1996 to 2010 do not include an adjustment for new products. This graph reflects the LBNL-predicted scenario. (P--\,L$    A-6 T(b.P-T-T.$L, .     ! - . Lighting Motor Heating Consumer Electronics (P--4h    Growth Rate (1976-1995) (P--@h4    Growth Rate (1996-2010) (P--4h    Growth Rate (1976-2010) (*DP--D@h4 D  ? D Figure A-3: Growth Rate Comparison for Residential Electricity Use (P-- 4h    B X     Y   Data Sources: 1976: Total Residential Electricity=Pierce 1994; Miscellaneous=Sanchez 1995 and 2010: Total Residential Electricity=AEO97; Miscellaneous=Sanchez Our miscellaneous growth rate from 1976 to 2010 and 1996 to 2010 includes an adjustment for anticipated new products growth We adjusted our predicted scenario forecast to account for projected growth from new products as described in our methodology (P--@h4    A-4 (*IP--I, I  = I Figure A-2: Total Electricity Use in the Residential Sector (1976-2010) (P--( ,    B X     9 w  Data Sources: 1976: Total Residential Electricity=Pierce 1994; Miscellaneous=Sanchez 1995 and 2010: Total Residential Electricity=AEO97; Miscellaneous=Sanchez The projected estimate of 2010 miscellaneous consumption and forecasted miscellaneous growth from 1996 to 2010 include an adjustment for new products. We adjusted our predicted scenario forecast to include growth from new products as described in our methodology. (P--,    1976 e(P--(,    1995 e(P--,    2010 e(*P--(,     Growth (1976-1995) (*P--,     Growth (1996-2010) (*P--(,     Growth (1976-2010) (P--,    A-3 ( P l     Figure A-1 (*RP--R$ R  ; R Figure A-4: Disaggregation of Miscellaneous Energy Use by Major End Use Category 8(FP-8-8$   A    The estimated miscellaneous electricity consumption for 2010 and the projected miscellaneous growth from 1996 to 2010 does not include an adjustment for new products. This graph reflects the LBNL-predicted scenario described in the methodology. (P--$    A-5 ~(1P-~-~1 $ 1        $ 0 1 Lighting Motor Heating Consumer Electronics 8(FIP-8-8ITdL I  = F H I Figure A-1: Appliance shipments survival curve used in this analysis r (--(0,1    Other Other (--(0,1    Other Other Other (--(0,1    Other Other Other Other --(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other --(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other --(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other --(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other --(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other -(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other -(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other -r Other Other Other Other Other Other -(0,1    Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other -r Other Other Other Other Other Other -(0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other -r Other Other Other Other Other Other -(0,10,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,10,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,10,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other --,10,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,10,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -Other heOther Other -0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -Other heOther Other -0,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -,1  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -  r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other - r Other Other Other Other OtheOther Other Other Other heOther Other -TCHTZ) %.:hx- -& >A N7(^n~: J:Zx,V) H@P>pXhd AQ.8 VBf:TCHTDefault Transitionn None No TransitionitionV NoneWindow Shade Downnn NoneWindow Shade Rightn NoneShutter Close Horizontalp NoneShutter Open Verticaltalp NoneSlide UpOpen Verticaltalq None Slide Rightn Verticaltalq None Blinds Downn Verticaltalr None Blinds Right Verticaltalr None Random Squares Mediumtals None Rain Downuares Mediumtalt None Random Vertical Stripeslu None Corner Top Left Stripeslv None Corner Bottom Rightipeslv NoneTCHTT! LBNL Graphsphs    + "  "w Page #10%(Page #13(((Page #14)ͼ(<( Page #15*͸<P( Page #16+ʹPd(&Page #18-Ͱdx(-Page #287xx(APage #31:t(!Page #32;p(\&Page #35>h((Page #36?(*TCHT*4@N"2BR.>N^b6F^~nr&Vnx|fvTechnology CategoryElectronicsMotorHeatingLightingP@ P&@ `P9@ @P'?۫M8P(?,c0P)?TXP*?îld5P:?ǂCoP;?%\sPP ?ُ`3P ? nPP?0(Growth 1995-2010P?<}xP ?Q1_ P?\P?|P?\(P?\(P?\(P?\(P\dTCHT  >@0 pl P@0,`P@<(p`PL2 p`\*Year ElectronicsHeating$Motor0LightingP@ P @GzHP@zGP%@\(P1?zGxP@ P@GzHP@ =pP&@DžQP2? =pP@ P@\(`P@P'@P3?333330P@ P@QP@ՅQP(@QP4?333330P@ `P@(`P@zGxP)@P5@P@ P@Ͻp @P@GzP*@ =pP6@GzP@ P@p @P@p =pP+@fffffhP7@fffffhP@ @P@LP @fffffhP,@\(P8@Gx Growth 1980-1995P@zGP!@GzP-@\(P9@zG Growth 1995-2010P@zGxP"@\(`P.@zGxP:@\( Growth 1976-2010P@ǮzHP#@QP/@P;@W =pP@˰P@Q =qP@J =qP(@R =qTCHT   ,tT4 dD$"tT4<dD$TtT4b$dDl4tTvD$dT4tdD$tT4dD$tT4dD$Year+ Color TelevisionCompact Audio System+Black and While TV$Door Bell-RACK+6Clock?Cable BoxHOTHERQSmall RadioZmicrowavecVCRlTV/VCR Combo+ucomputerP@ P @P@\(P@333330P%@\(`P.P7?\(P@?PI@fffffhPRP[PdPmPvP@ P @ =pP@=p @P@P&@\(`P/P8@zGPA@333330PJ@PS@\(P\PePnPwP@ P @QPP@333330PP'@=p @P0P9@QPB@QPK@fffffhPT@=p @P]@ =pPfPoPxP@ P @zGxP@ =pPP(@ =pP1@333330P:PC@QPPL@PUP^@zGPg@QPpPyP@ `P@ң =pP@QP P)P2@QP;PD@GzPM@p =pPVP_@fffffhPh@=p @PqPzP@ P@ =pP@əP!P*P3P<PE@=p @PN@=p @PWP`@ =pPi@Pr@zGP{@zGP@ P@zGP@QP"P+P4P=PF@GzHPO@QPXPa@(\(Pj@zGxPs@P|@QP@ @P@GzHP@QPP#P,P5P>PG@PP@\(PYPb@fffffhPk@ =pPt@\(P}@(\(Ǫ2vTCHT   ,tT4 dD$"tT4<dD$TtT4b$dDl4tTvD$dT4tdD$tT4dD$tT4dD$Year Color TelevisionCompact Audio SystemBlack and While TV$Door Bell-RACK6Clock?Cable BoxHOTHERQSmall RadioZmicrowavecVCRlTV/VCR ComboVucomputerP@ P ?SMjP?C,zxP?P%?y (P.P7? I^8P@?oiDg8 PI?$/PRP[PdPmPvP@ P ?ohP?GzHP?!R<8P&?pP/P8?L_PA?4֡aPJ?Xy=ـPS?QPP\PePnPwP@ P ?qu!PP?1PP'?fAP0P9?Ƨ-PB?#PK?|QPT?fAP]?Ov_PfPoPxP@ P ?1&xP?@4pPP(?q P1?TɅpP:PC?tjPL?{pPUP^?4֡aPg?_FpPpPyP@ `P??P?5Xy=P P)P2?- qxP;PD?{m`PM?ᰉ(PVP_?حUPh?9XbMPqPzP@ P?m\P?73P!P*P3P<PE?A7KƨPN?6zPWP`?v_حPi?SPr?S&P{?,@P@ P?C\P?^P"P+P4P=PF?;5XxPO?Q PXPa?g8}HPj?O;dZ Ps?QP|?@8P@ @P?1&xP?eOP#P,P5P>PG?p =pPP?y (PYPb?ߤ? Pk?L_Pt? 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