Looking Forward

• Improve baseline estimates

  • Update/improve load shape data
  • Incorporate data from interval meters

• Reduce peak & make it more price-responsive

  • Which end uses/building components to target?

• Big challenge: population and economic growth swamp efficiency improvements

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Long-term policy perspective was lost during restructuring, but needs to be kept on the policy agenda now.

Issues about data availability in restructured market.

Even in scenario with most optimistic assumptions about demand reductions, CEC still forecasts about 15 GW of demand growth over next decade -- about 30 central station power plants.